Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 3
April 30, 2026 00:00
Tomas Nasif
(ast. Guido Mainero)
57'
Mateo Mendia
(ast. Guido Mainero)
63'
90'+4
(ast. Emanuel Olivera)
Franco Fagúndez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Platense a 43% win probability (draw 29%, Santa Fe 26%). The final result was Platense 2–1 Santa Fe.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
1
0.64
Actual xG
0.38
0
Saves
5
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
1
25
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Víctor Cuesta
13'
20'
Ivan Gómez
21'
29'
Luis Palacios
Ivan Gómez
/ Martín Barrios
46'
46'
Juan Quintero
/
Victor Moreno
⚽Tomas Nasif
· ast. Guido Mainero
57'
60'
Kilian Toscano
⚽Mateo Mendia
· ast. Guido Mainero
63'
70'
Jader Obrian
/
Luis Palacios
74'
Jhojan Torres
/
Kilian Toscano
75'
Nahuel Bustos
/
Hugo Rodallega
Tomas Nasif
/ Gonzalo Lencina
76'
Nicolás Retamar
/ Santiago Dalmasso
82'
Guido Mainero
/ Bautista Merlini
87'
88'
Daniel Torres
Franco Zapiola
/ Celías Ingenthron
88'
89'
Alexis Zapata
/
Daniel Torres
90'+4
ast. Emanuel Olivera ·
Franco Fagúndez⚽
Pre-match prediction
43.91%
Platense ←
29.66%
X
26.43%
Santa
we assigned to the actual result (Platense)
43.91%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
0.64
-0.56
0.88
0.38
-0.5
xG dominance was balanced (0.64 – 0.38).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
20
G
3
Tomás Ariel Silva
D
31
Victor Cuesta
D
34
Mateo Mendia
1 ⚽
D
4
Agustín Lagos
D
26
P. Ferreira
M
5
I. Gomez
45'
M
10
Franco Zapiola
88'
M
43
K. Retamar
82'
M
7
G. Mainero
2 👟
87'
M
G. Mainero
2 👟
87'
M
9
T. Nasif
1 ⚽
76'
F
Bench
18
B. Merlini
9'
F
38
Celías Ingenthron
8'
D
6
Eugenio Raggio
D
99
G. Lencina
20'
F
33
J. Gauto
F
25
J. Saborido
D
24
M. Barrios
51'
M
1
Andrés Mosquera
G
Andrés Mosquera
G
32
Christian Mafla
D
Christian Mafla
D
3
Victor Moreno
45'
D
Victor Moreno
45'
D
18
Emanuel Olivera
1 👟
D
13
H. Palacios
D
6
Kilian Toscano
74'
M
Kilian Toscano
74'
M
16
Daniel Torres
89'
M
Daniel Torres
89'
M
8
Omar Fernández
M
Omar Fernández
M
9
Franco Fagúndez
1 ⚽
M
Franco Fagúndez
1 ⚽
M
14
Luis Angel Palacios
70'
M
Luis Angel Palacios
70'
M
11
Hugo Rodallega
75'
F
Hugo Rodallega
75'
F
Bench
10
Alexis Zapata
7'
M
Alexis Zapata
7'
M
15
Ivan Scarpeta
D
Ivan Scarpeta
D
7
Jhojan Torres
22'
F
Jhojan Torres
22'
F
19
Nahuel Bustos
21'
F
Nahuel Bustos
21'
F
27
Yeicar Perlaza
D
Yeicar Perlaza
D
Best on the pitch
T. Nasif
F · Platense
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
G. Mainero
M · Platense
7.90
2 👟
2 shots
· 29 pass
P. Ferreira
M · Platense
7.30
· 50 pass
Mateo Mendia
D · Platense
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Franco Zapiola
M · Platense
7.20
3 shots
· 24 pass
Franco Fagúndez
M · Santa
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 42 pass
Platense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Tomás Ariel Silva | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 6 | — | — |
| Victor Cuesta | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mateo Mendia | D | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Agustín Lagos | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Ferreira | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Gomez | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Franco Zapiola | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Retamar | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Mainero | M | 87 | 7.90 | — | 2 | 2 | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Nasif | F | 76 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Merlini | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Celías Ingenthron | D | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| G. Lencina | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Barrios | M | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Mosquera | G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Christian Mafla | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Moreno | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Emanuel Olivera | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Kilian Toscano | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Torres | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| Omar Fernández | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Franco Fagúndez | M | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 42 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Angel Palacios | M | 70 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Hugo Rodallega | F | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Zapata | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Nahuel Bustos | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Platense vs Santa Fe?
The final score was Platense 2–1 Santa Fe.
What did the model predict before Platense vs Santa Fe?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Platense win, 29% to a draw, and 26% to an Santa Fe win.