Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 3
April 30, 2026 00:00
Tomas Nasif
(ast. Guido Mainero)
57'
Mateo Mendia
(ast. Guido Mainero)
63'
90'+4
(ast. Emanuel Olivera)
Franco Fagúndez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Platense a 43% win probability (draw 29%, Santa Fe 26%). The final result was Platense 2–1 Santa Fe. In 1 previous meetings, Platense have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Santa Fe.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
1
0.64
Actual xG
0.38
0
Saves
5
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
1
25
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Víctor Cuesta
13'
20'
Ivan Gómez
21'
29'
Luis Palacios
Ivan Gómez
/ Martín Barrios
46'
46'
Juan Quintero
/
Victor Moreno
⚽Tomas Nasif
· ast. Guido Mainero
57'
60'
Kilian Toscano
⚽Mateo Mendia
· ast. Guido Mainero
63'
70'
Jader Obrian
/
Luis Palacios
74'
Jhojan Torres
/
Kilian Toscano
75'
Nahuel Bustos
/
Hugo Rodallega
Tomas Nasif
/ Gonzalo Lencina
76'
Nicolás Retamar
/ Santiago Dalmasso
82'
Guido Mainero
/ Bautista Merlini
87'
88'
Daniel Torres
Franco Zapiola
/ Celías Ingenthron
88'
89'
Alexis Zapata
/
Daniel Torres
90'+4
ast. Emanuel Olivera ·
Franco Fagúndez⚽
Pre-match prediction
43.91%
Platense ←
29.66%
X
26.43%
Santa
we assigned to the actual result (Platense)
43.91%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
0.64
-0.56
0.88
0.38
-0.5
xG dominance was balanced (0.64 – 0.38).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
20
G
3
Tomás Ariel Silva
D
Tomás Ariel Silva
D
31
Víctor Cuesta
D
Víctor Cuesta
D
34
Mateo Mendia
1 ⚽
D
Mateo Mendia
1 ⚽
D
4
Agustín Lagos
D
Agustín Lagos
D
26
Pablo Ferreira
M
Pablo Ferreira
M
5
Ivan Gómez
45'
M
Ivan Gómez
45'
M
10
Franco Zapiola
88'
M
Franco Zapiola
88'
M
43
Nicolás Retamar
82'
M
Nicolás Retamar
82'
M
7
G. Mainero
2 👟
87'
M
G. Mainero
2 👟
87'
M
9
T. Nasif
1 ⚽
76'
F
Bench
18
Bautista Merlini
9'
F
Bautista Merlini
9'
F
38
Celías Ingenthron
8'
D
Celías Ingenthron
8'
D
6
E. Raggio
D
E. Raggio
D
99
Gonzalo Lencina
20'
F
Gonzalo Lencina
20'
F
25
J. Saborido
D
J. Saborido
D
33
Juan Gauto
F
Juan Gauto
F
24
Martín Barrios
51'
M
Martín Barrios
51'
M
1
A. Mosquera
G
A. Mosquera
G
32
C. Mafla
D
C. Mafla
D
3
V. Moreno
45'
D
V. Moreno
45'
D
18
E. Olivera
1 👟
D
E. Olivera
1 👟
D
13
H. Palacios
D
H. Palacios
D
6
K. Toscano
74'
M
K. Toscano
74'
M
16
D. Torres
89'
M
D. Torres
89'
M
8
O. Fernández
M
O. Fernández
M
9
F. Fagúndez
1 ⚽
M
F. Fagúndez
1 ⚽
M
14
L. Palacios
70'
M
L. Palacios
70'
M
11
H. Rodallega
75'
F
H. Rodallega
75'
F
Bench
10
A. Zapata
7'
M
A. Zapata
7'
M
15
I. Scarpeta
D
I. Scarpeta
D
7
Jhojan Torres
22'
F
Jhojan Torres
22'
F
19
N. Bustos
21'
F
N. Bustos
21'
F
27
Y. Perlaza
D
Y. Perlaza
D
Best on the pitch
T. Nasif
F · Platense
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
G. Mainero
M · Platense
7.90
2 👟
2 shots
· 29 pass
Pablo Ferreira
M · Platense
7.30
· 50 pass
Mateo Mendia
D · Platense
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Franco Zapiola
M · Platense
7.20
3 shots
· 24 pass
F. Fagúndez
M · Santa
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 42 pass
Platense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Tomás Ariel Silva | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 6 | — | — |
| Víctor Cuesta | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mateo Mendia | D | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Agustín Lagos | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Pablo Ferreira | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Ivan Gómez | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Franco Zapiola | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolás Retamar | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Mainero | M | 87 | 7.90 | — | 2 | 2 | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Nasif | F | 76 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Bautista Merlini | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Celías Ingenthron | D | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Lencina | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Martín Barrios | M | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mosquera | G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Mafla | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Olivera | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Toscano | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D. Torres | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Fernández | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| F. Fagúndez | M | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 42 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Palacios | M | 70 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Rodallega | F | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Zapata | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| N. Bustos | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Platense vs Santa Fe?
The final score was Platense 2–1 Santa Fe.
What did the model predict before Platense vs Santa Fe?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Platense win, 29% to a draw, and 26% to an Santa Fe win.