← League One
League One · Regular Season - 41 April 03, 2026 16:00
Plymouth
#8 · 73 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Bolton
#5 · 75 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Plymouth, result Bolton vince
R. Curtis (ast. H. Kane) 57'
(pen.) 49' J. Kenny
(og) 70' M. Boateng

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plymouth a 57% win probability (draw 17%, Bolton 24%). The final result was Plymouth 1–2 Bolton. In 1 previous meetings, Plymouth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bolton.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
4
11
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
18'
Josh Sheehan
43'
John McAtee
45'+2
Rúben Rodrigues
46'
C. Forino-Joseph / T. Gale ↕
49'
(pen.) J. Kenny⚽
⚽R. Curtis · ast. H. Kane
57'
↕ O. Oseni / L. Tolaj
58'
↕ J. MacKenzie / W. Harding
59'
64'
C. Christie / R. Rodrigues ↕
64'
M. Burstow / J. Kenny ↕
70'
(og) M. Boateng⚽
↕ O. Dale / C. Watts
71'
↕ J. Edwards / X. Amaechi
80'
Pre-match prediction
57.93%
Plymouth
17.6%
X
24.47%
Bolton ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bolton) 24.47% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Plymouth
2.70
—
—
Bolton
1.56
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lincoln Lincoln 46 103
2 Cardiff Cardiff 46 91
3 Stockport County Stockport County 46 77
4 Bradford Bradford 46 77
5 Bolton Bolton 46 75
6 Stevenage Stevenage 46 75
7 Luton Luton 46 74
8 Plymouth Plymouth 46 73
9 Huddersfield Huddersfield 46 67
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 46 65
11 Wycombe Wycombe 46 63
12 Reading Reading 46 63
13 Blackpool Blackpool 46 60
14 Doncaster Doncaster 46 60
15 Barnsley Barnsley 46 59
16 Wigan Wigan 46 56
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion 46 54
18 Peterborough Peterborough 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 46 52
21 Exeter City Exeter City 46 49
22 Port Vale Port Vale 46 42
23 Rotherham Rotherham 46 41
24 Northampton Northampton 46 35
Lineups
Plymouth Plymouth 4-4-2
1
C. Hazard G 6.30
3
J. MacKenzie 59' D 6.60
15
A. Mitchell D 7.00
2
M. Ross D 6.50
8
J. Edwards 80' D 6.30
35
O. Dale 71' M 6.30
20
1 👟 M 7.60
19 M. Boateng M. Boateng 1 ⚽ M 6.70
28
R. Curtis 1 ⚽ M 8.00
27 A. Pepple A. Pepple F 6.20
18
O. Oseni
Bench
22
B. Galloway D
17
C. Watts 19' M 6.30
7
J. Paterson F
9 L. Tolaj L. Tolaj 32' F 6.70
Bolton Bolton 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.30
25 Max Conway Max Conway D 7.00
6 George Johnston George Johnston D 6.60
18 Eoin Toal Eoin Toal D 6.90
14 Jordi Osei-Tutu Jordi Osei-Tutu D 6.90
27 Rúben Rodrigues Rúben Rodrigues 64' M 5.90
8 Josh Sheehan Josh Sheehan M 6.20
11 Thierry Gale Thierry Gale 45' M 6.50
9
J. Kenny 1 ⚽ 64' M 7.00
45 John McAtee John McAtee 43' M 5.30
10 Sam Dalby Sam Dalby F 6.60
Bench
3 Chris Forino Chris Forino 45' D 6.50
29 Cyrus Christie Cyrus Christie 26' D 6.90
20 Ibrahim Cissoko Ibrahim Cissoko F
48 Mason Paul James Burstow Mason Paul James Burstow 26' F 6.50
15
R. Apter M
Best on the pitch
R. Curtis
M · Plymouth
8.00
1 ⚽
4 shots · 25 pass
M · Plymouth
7.60
1 👟
· 43 pass
G · Bolton
7.30
· 62 pass
A. Mitchell
D · Plymouth
7.00
· 47 pass
J. Kenny
M · Bolton
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 5 pass
Max Conway
Max Conway
D · Bolton
7.00
· 26 pass
Plymouth Plymouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Hazard G 90 6.30 — — — 24 9% — — —
J. MacKenzie D 59 6.60 — — — 9 6% 4 — —
A. Mitchell D 90 7.00 — — — 47 37% — — —
M. Ross D 90 6.50 — — — 37 31% 4 — —
J. Edwards D 80 6.30 — — 2 23 12% 1 — —
O. Dale M 71 6.30 — — 1 10 8% — — —
M 90 7.60 — 1 — 43 34% 1 — —
M. Boateng M 90 6.70 1 — — 33 26% — — —
R. Curtis M 90 8.00 1 — 4 25 17% 1 — —
A. Pepple F 90 6.20 — — — 12 7% — — —
O. Oseni — — — — — — — — — —
C. Watts M 19 6.30 — — 1 13 7% — — —
L. Tolaj F 32 6.70 — — 2 2 2% — — —
Bolton Bolton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 62 35% — — —
Max Conway D 90 7.00 — — — 26 17% 2 — —
George Johnston D 90 6.60 — — 1 52 39% 2 — —
Eoin Toal D 90 6.90 — — — 40 34% 1 — —
Jordi Osei-Tutu D 90 6.90 — — 1 27 23% 2 — —
Rúben Rodrigues M 64 5.90 — — — 21 13% 1 1 —
Josh Sheehan M 90 6.20 — — — 43 31% — 1 —
Thierry Gale M 45 6.50 — — 1 6 4% — — —
J. Kenny M 64 7.00 1 — 2 5 2% — — —
John McAtee M 43 5.30 — — 1 10 6% — — 1
Sam Dalby F 90 6.60 — — — 20 12% — — —
Chris Forino D 45 6.50 — — 1 7 5% — — —
Cyrus Christie D 26 6.90 — — — 9 8% — — —
Mason Paul James Burstow F 26 6.50 — — — 6 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plymouth vs Bolton?
The final score was Plymouth 1–2 Bolton.
What did the model predict before Plymouth vs Bolton?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Plymouth win, 17% to a draw, and 24% to an Bolton win.