✗Model wrong — prediction Plymouth, result Bolton wins
R. Curtis
(ast. H. Kane)
57'
(pen.)
49'
J. Kenny
(og)
70'
M. Boateng
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plymouth a 57% win probability (draw 17%, Bolton 24%). The final result was Plymouth 1–2 Bolton. In 1 previous meetings, Plymouth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bolton.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
4
11
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
18'
Josh Sheehan
43'
John McAtee
45'+2
Rúben Rodrigues
46'
C. Forino-Joseph
/
T. Gale
49'
(pen.)
J. Kenny⚽
⚽R. Curtis
· ast. H. Kane
57'
O. Oseni
/ L. Tolaj
58'
J. MacKenzie
/ W. Harding
59'
64'
C. Christie
/
R. Rodrigues
64'
M. Burstow
/
J. Kenny
70'
(og)
M. Boateng⚽
O. Dale
/ C. Watts
71'
J. Edwards
/ X. Amaechi
80'
Pre-match prediction
57.93%
Plymouth
17.6%
X
24.47%
Bolton ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bolton)
24.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.70
—
—
1.56
—
—
Lineups
1
C. Hazard
G
C. Hazard
G
3
J. MacKenzie
59'
D
15
A. Mitchell
D
A. Mitchell
D
2
M. Ross
D
M. Ross
D
8
J. Edwards
80'
D
J. Edwards
80'
D
35
O. Dale
71'
M
20
1 👟
M
19
Malachi Boateng
1 ⚽
M
Malachi Boateng
1 ⚽
M
28
R. Curtis
1 ⚽
M
R. Curtis
1 ⚽
M
27
A. Pepple
F
A. Pepple
F
18
O. Oseni
Bench
22
B. Galloway
D
17
C. Watts
19'
M
C. Watts
19'
M
7
J. Paterson
F
9
L. Tolaj
32'
F
L. Tolaj
32'
F
1
G
25
M. Conway
D
M. Conway
D
6
G. Johnston
D
G. Johnston
D
18
E. Toal
D
E. Toal
D
14
J. Osei-Tutu
D
J. Osei-Tutu
D
27
Ruben Rodrigues
64'
M
Ruben Rodrigues
64'
M
8
J. Sheehan
M
J. Sheehan
M
11
T. Gale
45'
M
T. Gale
45'
M
9
J. Kenny
1 ⚽
64'
M
J. Kenny
1 ⚽
64'
M
45
J. McAtee
43'
M
J. McAtee
43'
M
10
S. Dalby
F
S. Dalby
F
Bench
3
C. Forino-Joseph
45'
D
C. Forino-Joseph
45'
D
29
Cyrus Christie
26'
D
Cyrus Christie
26'
D
20
I. Cissoko
F
I. Cissoko
F
48
Mason Paul James Burstow
26'
F
Mason Paul James Burstow
26'
F
15
R. Apter
M
R. Apter
M
Best on the pitch
R. Curtis
M · Plymouth
8.00
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 25 pass
M · Plymouth
7.60
1 👟
· 43 pass
G · Bolton
7.30
· 62 pass
A. Mitchell
D · Plymouth
7.00
· 47 pass
J. Kenny
M · Bolton
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 5 pass
M. Conway
D · Bolton
7.00
· 26 pass
Plymouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hazard | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. MacKenzie | D | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Mitchell | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 37% | — | — | — |
| M. Ross | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Edwards | D | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Dale | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 34% | 1 | — | — | |
| Malachi Boateng | M | 90 | 6.70 | 1 | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| R. Curtis | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pepple | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| O. Oseni | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| C. Watts | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Tolaj | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Bolton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| M. Conway | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Johnston | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Toal | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Osei-Tutu | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Ruben Rodrigues | M | 64 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Sheehan | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Gale | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Kenny | M | 64 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. McAtee | M | 43 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | 1 |
| S. Dalby | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| C. Forino-Joseph | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Cyrus Christie | D | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Mason Paul James Burstow | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plymouth vs Bolton?
The final score was Plymouth 1–2 Bolton.
What did the model predict before Plymouth vs Bolton?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Plymouth win, 17% to a draw, and 24% to an Bolton win.