✗Model wrong — prediction Plymouth, result Bolton wins
R. Curtis
(ast. H. Kane)
57'
(pen.)
49'
J. Kenny
(og)
70'
M. Boateng
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plymouth a 57% win probability (draw 17%, Bolton 24%). The final result was Plymouth 1–2 Bolton. In 1 previous meetings, Plymouth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bolton.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
4
11
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
18'
Josh Sheehan
43'
John McAtee
45'+2
Rúben Rodrigues
46'
C. Forino-Joseph
/
T. Gale
49'
(pen.)
J. Kenny⚽
⚽R. Curtis
· ast. H. Kane
57'
O. Oseni
/ L. Tolaj
58'
J. MacKenzie
/ W. Harding
59'
64'
C. Christie
/
R. Rodrigues
64'
M. Burstow
/
J. Kenny
70'
(og)
M. Boateng⚽
O. Dale
/ C. Watts
71'
J. Edwards
/ X. Amaechi
80'
Pre-match prediction
57.93%
Plymouth
17.6%
X
24.47%
Bolton ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bolton)
24.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.70
—
—
1.56
—
—
Lineups
1
C. Hazard
G
3
J. MacKenzie
59'
D
15
A. Mitchell
D
2
M. Ross
D
8
J. Edwards
80'
D
J. Edwards
80'
D
35
O. Dale
71'
M
20
1 👟
M
19
M. Boateng
1 ⚽
M
M. Boateng
1 ⚽
M
28
R. Curtis
1 ⚽
M
27
A. Pepple
F
A. Pepple
F
18
O. Oseni
Bench
22
B. Galloway
D
17
C. Watts
19'
M
7
J. Paterson
F
9
L. Tolaj
32'
F
L. Tolaj
32'
F
1
G
25
Max Conway
D
Max Conway
D
6
George Johnston
D
George Johnston
D
18
Eoin Toal
D
Eoin Toal
D
14
J. Osei-Tutu
D
J. Osei-Tutu
D
27
Rúben Rodrigues
64'
M
Rúben Rodrigues
64'
M
8
J. Sheehan
M
J. Sheehan
M
11
Thierry Gale
45'
M
Thierry Gale
45'
M
9
J. Kenny
1 ⚽
64'
M
45
John McAtee
43'
M
John McAtee
43'
M
10
Sam Dalby
F
Sam Dalby
F
Bench
3
Chris Forino
45'
D
Chris Forino
45'
D
29
Cyrus Christie
26'
D
Cyrus Christie
26'
D
20
Ibrahim Cissoko
F
Ibrahim Cissoko
F
48
Mason Paul James Burstow
26'
F
Mason Paul James Burstow
26'
F
15
R. Apter
M
Best on the pitch
R. Curtis
M · Plymouth
8.00
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 25 pass
M · Plymouth
7.60
1 👟
· 43 pass
G · Bolton
7.30
· 62 pass
A. Mitchell
D · Plymouth
7.00
· 47 pass
J. Kenny
M · Bolton
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 5 pass
Max Conway
D · Bolton
7.00
· 26 pass
Plymouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hazard | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. MacKenzie | D | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Mitchell | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 37% | — | — | — |
| M. Ross | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Edwards | D | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Dale | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 34% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Boateng | M | 90 | 6.70 | 1 | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| R. Curtis | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pepple | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| O. Oseni | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| C. Watts | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Tolaj | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Bolton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| Max Conway | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| George Johnston | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Eoin Toal | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Osei-Tutu | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Rúben Rodrigues | M | 64 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Sheehan | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| Thierry Gale | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Kenny | M | 64 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| John McAtee | M | 43 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | 1 |
| Sam Dalby | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Chris Forino | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Cyrus Christie | D | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Mason Paul James Burstow | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plymouth vs Bolton?
The final score was Plymouth 1–2 Bolton.
What did the model predict before Plymouth vs Bolton?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Plymouth win, 17% to a draw, and 24% to an Bolton win.