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League One · Regular Season - 41 April 03, 2026 16:00 Home Park, Plymouth
Plymouth
#6 · 10 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Bolton
✗Model wrong — prediction Plymouth, result Bolton wins
R. Curtis (ast. H. Kane) 57'
(pen.) 49' J. Kenny
(og) 70' M. Boateng
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plymouth a 57% win probability (draw 17%, Bolton 24%). The final result was Plymouth 1–2 Bolton. In 1 previous meetings, Plymouth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bolton.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
4
11
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
18'
Josh Sheehan
43'
John McAtee
45'+2
Rúben Rodrigues
46'
C. Forino-Joseph / T. Gale ↕
49'
(pen.) J. Kenny⚽
⚽R. Curtis · ast. H. Kane
57'
↕ O. Oseni / L. Tolaj
58'
↕ J. MacKenzie / W. Harding
59'
64'
C. Christie / R. Rodrigues ↕
64'
M. Burstow / J. Kenny ↕
70'
(og) M. Boateng⚽
↕ O. Dale / C. Watts
71'
↕ J. Edwards / X. Amaechi
80'
Pre-match prediction
57.93%
Plymouth
17.6%
X
24.47%
Bolton ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bolton) 24.47% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Plymouth
2.70
—
—
Bolton
1.56
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 6 13
2 Huddersfield Huddersfield 6 12
3 Bradford Bradford 6 12
4 Cambridge United Cambridge United 6 11
5 Oxford United Oxford United 5 10
6 Plymouth Plymouth 6 10
7 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 6 10
8 Stockport County Stockport County 6 9
9 Stevenage Stevenage 6 9
10 Blackpool Blackpool 6 8
11 Burton Albion Burton Albion 6 8
12 Luton Luton 6 8
13 Leicester Leicester 6 8
14 Reading Reading 5 7
15 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 6 7
16 Notts County Notts County 6 7
17 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 6 7
18 Barnsley Barnsley 6 7
19 Wycombe Wycombe 6 6
20 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 6 5
21 Peterborough Peterborough 6 5
22 Bromley Bromley 6 5
23 Wigan Wigan 6 4
24 Doncaster Doncaster 6 3
Lineups
Plymouth Plymouth 4-4-2
1 C. Hazard C. Hazard G 6.30
3
J. MacKenzie 59' D 6.60
15 A. Mitchell A. Mitchell D 7.00
2 M. Ross M. Ross D 6.50
8 J. Edwards J. Edwards 80' D 6.30
35
O. Dale 71' M 6.30
20
1 👟 M 7.60
19 Malachi Boateng Malachi Boateng 1 ⚽ M 6.70
28 R. Curtis R. Curtis 1 ⚽ M 8.00
27 A. Pepple A. Pepple F 6.20
18
O. Oseni
Bench
22
B. Galloway D
17 C. Watts C. Watts 19' M 6.30
7
J. Paterson F
9 L. Tolaj L. Tolaj 32' F 6.70
Bolton Bolton 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.30
25 M. Conway M. Conway D 7.00
6 G. Johnston G. Johnston D 6.60
18 E. Toal E. Toal D 6.90
14 J. Osei-Tutu J. Osei-Tutu D 6.90
27 Ruben Rodrigues Ruben Rodrigues 64' M 5.90
8 J. Sheehan J. Sheehan M 6.20
11 T. Gale T. Gale 45' M 6.50
9 J. Kenny J. Kenny 1 ⚽ 64' M 7.00
45 J. McAtee J. McAtee 43' M 5.30
10 S. Dalby S. Dalby F 6.60
Bench
3 C. Forino-Joseph C. Forino-Joseph 45' D 6.50
29 Cyrus Christie Cyrus Christie 26' D 6.90
20 I. Cissoko I. Cissoko F
48 Mason Paul James Burstow Mason Paul James Burstow 26' F 6.50
15 R. Apter R. Apter M
Best on the pitch
R. Curtis
R. Curtis
M · Plymouth
8.00
1 ⚽
4 shots · 25 pass
M · Plymouth
7.60
1 👟
· 43 pass
G · Bolton
7.30
· 62 pass
A. Mitchell
A. Mitchell
D · Plymouth
7.00
· 47 pass
J. Kenny
J. Kenny
M · Bolton
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 5 pass
M. Conway
M. Conway
D · Bolton
7.00
· 26 pass
Plymouth Plymouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Hazard G 90 6.30 — — — 24 9% — — —
J. MacKenzie D 59 6.60 — — — 9 6% 4 — —
A. Mitchell D 90 7.00 — — — 47 37% — — —
M. Ross D 90 6.50 — — — 37 31% 4 — —
J. Edwards D 80 6.30 — — 2 23 12% 1 — —
O. Dale M 71 6.30 — — 1 10 8% — — —
M 90 7.60 — 1 — 43 34% 1 — —
Malachi Boateng M 90 6.70 1 — — 33 26% — — —
R. Curtis M 90 8.00 1 — 4 25 17% 1 — —
A. Pepple F 90 6.20 — — — 12 7% — — —
O. Oseni — — — — — — — — — —
C. Watts M 19 6.30 — — 1 13 7% — — —
L. Tolaj F 32 6.70 — — 2 2 2% — — —
Bolton Bolton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 62 35% — — —
M. Conway D 90 7.00 — — — 26 17% 2 — —
G. Johnston D 90 6.60 — — 1 52 39% 2 — —
E. Toal D 90 6.90 — — — 40 34% 1 — —
J. Osei-Tutu D 90 6.90 — — 1 27 23% 2 — —
Ruben Rodrigues M 64 5.90 — — — 21 13% 1 1 —
J. Sheehan M 90 6.20 — — — 43 31% — 1 —
T. Gale M 45 6.50 — — 1 6 4% — — —
J. Kenny M 64 7.00 1 — 2 5 2% — — —
J. McAtee M 43 5.30 — — 1 10 6% — — 1
S. Dalby F 90 6.60 — — — 20 12% — — —
C. Forino-Joseph D 45 6.50 — — 1 7 5% — — —
Cyrus Christie D 26 6.90 — — — 9 8% — — —
Mason Paul James Burstow F 26 6.50 — — — 6 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plymouth vs Bolton?
The final score was Plymouth 1–2 Bolton.
What did the model predict before Plymouth vs Bolton?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Plymouth win, 17% to a draw, and 24% to an Bolton win.