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League One · Regular Season - 45 April 25, 2026 16:00
Plymouth
#8 · 73 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Port Vale
#22 · 42 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Plymouth
A. Pepple (ast. L. Tolaj) 3'
A. Pepple (ast. O. Dale) 47'
14' (ast. J. Shipley) C. Hall

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plymouth a 73% win probability (draw 18%, Port Vale 8%). The final result was Plymouth 2–1 Port Vale. In 1 previous meetings, Plymouth have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Port Vale.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
6
0
Saves
2
28%
Possession
72%
6
Corners
8
15
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽A. Pepple · ast. L. Tolaj
3'
C. Hazard
5'
↕ C. Watts / L. Ashby-Hammond
8'
14'
ast. J. Shipley · C. Hall⚽
16'
E. Archer
25'
C. Hall
46'
L. Gordon / C. Hall ↕
⚽A. Pepple · ast. O. Dale
47'
56'
G. Ward / J. Shipley ↕
56'
R. Walters / R. Croasdale ↕
O. Dale
64'
↕ R. Curtis / M. Sorinola
66'
71'
G. Hall / E. Archer ↕
↕ A. Pepple / B. Wiredu
73'
80'
D. Brown / J. Headley ↕
B. Wiredu
82'
Pre-match prediction
73.34%
Plymouth ←
18.02%
X
8.64%
Port
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Plymouth) 73.34% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Plymouth
1.99
—
—
Port
0.40
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lincoln Lincoln 46 103
2 Cardiff Cardiff 46 91
3 Stockport County Stockport County 46 77
4 Bradford Bradford 46 77
5 Bolton Bolton 46 75
6 Stevenage Stevenage 46 75
7 Luton Luton 46 74
8 Plymouth Plymouth 46 73
9 Huddersfield Huddersfield 46 67
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 46 65
11 Wycombe Wycombe 46 63
12 Reading Reading 46 63
13 Blackpool Blackpool 46 60
14 Doncaster Doncaster 46 60
15 Barnsley Barnsley 46 59
16 Wigan Wigan 46 56
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion 46 54
18 Peterborough Peterborough 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 46 52
21 Exeter City Exeter City 46 49
22 Port Vale Port Vale 46 42
23 Rotherham Rotherham 46 41
24 Northampton Northampton 46 35
Lineups
Plymouth Plymouth 4-4-2
1
C. Hazard 5' G 3.00
45
88' D 6.60
15
A. Mitchell 88' D 6.30
2
M. Ross 88' D 6.30
8
J. Edwards 88' D 7.20
35
O. Dale 1 👟 88' M 6.90
17
C. Watts 8' M 6.30
19 M. Boateng M. Boateng 88' M 6.90
28
R. Curtis 66' M 6.90
27 A. Pepple A. Pepple 2 ⚽ 73' F 8.90
9 L. Tolaj L. Tolaj 1 👟 88' F 6.90
Bench
4
B. Wiredu 15' M 6.90
29 M. Sorinola M. Sorinola 22' D 6.90
Port Vale Port Vale 3-4-3
46
88' G 6.60
25
C. Humphreys 88' D 7.20
5
C. Hall 1 ⚽ 45' D 7.30
6
J. Lawrence-Gabriel 88' D 7.00
3
J. Headley 80' M 6.90
26
J. Shipley 1 👟 56' M 7.20
18
R. Croasdale 56' M 6.30
50
O. Hernandez 88' M 6.60
11
E. Archer 71' F 6.20
21
Martin Sherif 88' F 6.50
19
Ben Waine 88' F 6.70
Bench
10
D. Brown 8' F 6.70
33
G. Hall 17' M 6.50
28
G. Ward 32' M 6.60
15
L. Gordon 43' D 6.60
12
R. Walters 32' M 6.90
35
T. Magloire D
Best on the pitch
A. Pepple
A. Pepple
F · Plymouth
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 6 pass
C. Hall
D · Port
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
J. Shipley
M · Port
7.20
1 👟
2 shots · 38 pass
J. Edwards
D · Plymouth
7.20
· 17 pass
C. Humphreys
D · Port
7.20
· 54 pass
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
D · Port
7.00
· 60 pass
Plymouth Plymouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Hazard G 5 3.00 — — — 4 1% — — 1
D 88 6.60 — — — 11 9% 2 — —
A. Mitchell D 88 6.30 — — 1 5 4% 1 — —
M. Ross D 88 6.30 — — — 14 9% — — —
J. Edwards D 88 7.20 — — — 17 12% 3 — —
O. Dale M 88 6.90 — 1 1 11 8% 2 1 —
C. Watts M 8 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
M. Boateng M 88 6.90 — — — 20 12% 2 — —
R. Curtis M 66 6.90 — — — 21 12% — — —
A. Pepple F 73 8.90 2 — 3 6 4% — — —
L. Tolaj F 88 6.90 — 1 4 13 10% — — —
B. Wiredu M 15 6.90 — — — — — 3 1 —
M. Sorinola D 22 6.90 — — — 2 1% 2 — —
Port Vale Port Vale — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 88 6.60 — — — 24 17% — — —
C. Humphreys D 88 7.20 — — — 54 51% 1 — —
C. Hall D 45 7.30 1 — 1 27 22% — 1 —
J. Lawrence-Gabriel D 88 7.00 — — — 60 54% 1 — —
J. Headley M 80 6.90 — — — 38 31% 4 — —
J. Shipley M 56 7.20 — 1 2 38 35% — — —
R. Croasdale M 56 6.30 — — 2 20 18% 1 — —
O. Hernandez M 88 6.60 — — 1 36 32% — — —
E. Archer F 71 6.20 — — — 18 13% 2 1 —
Martin Sherif F 88 6.50 — — 2 9 7% — — —
Ben Waine F 88 6.70 — — — 12 10% — — —
D. Brown F 8 6.70 — — — — — — — —
G. Hall M 17 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
G. Ward M 32 6.60 — — — 25 25% — — —
L. Gordon D 43 6.60 — — — 44 37% 2 — —
R. Walters M 32 6.90 — — — 26 25% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plymouth vs Port Vale?
The final score was Plymouth 2–1 Port Vale.
What did the model predict before Plymouth vs Port Vale?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Plymouth win, 18% to a draw, and 8% to an Port Vale win.