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#5 · 22 pts
2 – 1
Final score
✓Model correct — prediction Plymouth
A. Pepple (ast. L. Tolaj) 3'
A. Pepple (ast. O. Dale) 47'
14' (ast. J. Shipley) C. Hall
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plymouth a 73% win probability (draw 18%, Port Vale 8%). The final result was Plymouth 2–1 Port Vale. In 1 previous meetings, Plymouth have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Port Vale.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
6
0
Saves
2
28%
Possession
72%
6
Corners
8
15
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽A. Pepple · ast. L. Tolaj
3'
C. Hazard
5'
↕ C. Watts / L. Ashby-Hammond
8'
14'
ast. J. Shipley · C. Hall⚽
16'
E. Archer
25'
C. Hall
46'
L. Gordon / C. Hall ↕
⚽A. Pepple · ast. O. Dale
47'
56'
G. Ward / J. Shipley ↕
56'
R. Walters / R. Croasdale ↕
O. Dale
64'
↕ R. Curtis / M. Sorinola
66'
71'
G. Hall / E. Archer ↕
↕ A. Pepple / B. Wiredu
73'
80'
D. Brown / J. Headley ↕
B. Wiredu
82'
Pre-match prediction
73.34%
Plymouth ←
18.02%
X
8.64%
Port
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Plymouth) 73.34% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Plymouth
1.99
—
—
Port
0.40
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Huddersfield Huddersfield 12 25
2 Stockport County Stockport County 13 23
3 Oxford United Oxford United 11 22
4 Bradford Bradford 12 22
5 Plymouth Plymouth 13 22
6 Reading Reading 12 21
7 Cambridge United Cambridge United 13 21
8 Luton Luton 12 20
9 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 12 19
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 11 18
11 Leicester Leicester 12 18
12 Burton Albion Burton Albion 13 17
13 Stevenage Stevenage 11 15
14 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 12 15
15 Wycombe Wycombe 12 15
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 12 14
17 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 12 13
18 Doncaster Doncaster 12 12
19 Notts County Notts County 11 11
20 Blackpool Blackpool 11 11
21 Peterborough Peterborough 12 10
22 Bromley Bromley 12 9
23 Barnsley Barnsley 11 8
24 Wigan Wigan 12 7
Lineups
Plymouth Plymouth 4-4-2
1 C. Hazard C. Hazard 5' G 3.00
45
88' D 6.60
15 A. Mitchell A. Mitchell 88' D 6.30
2 M. Ross M. Ross 88' D 6.30
8 J. Edwards J. Edwards 88' D 7.20
35
O. Dale 1 👟 88' M 6.90
17 C. Watts C. Watts 8' M 6.30
19 Malachi Boateng Malachi Boateng 88' M 6.90
28 R. Curtis R. Curtis 66' M 6.90
27 A. Pepple A. Pepple 2 ⚽ 73' F 8.90
9 L. Tolaj L. Tolaj 1 👟 88' F 6.90
Bench
4 Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu 15' M 6.90
29 M. Sorinola M. Sorinola 22' D 6.90
Port Vale Port Vale 3-4-3
46
88' G 6.60
25 Cameron Humphreys Cameron Humphreys 88' D 7.20
5 Connor Hall Connor Hall 1 ⚽ 45' D 7.30
6 Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel 88' D 7.00
3 Jaheim Headley Jaheim Headley 80' M 6.90
26 J. Shipley J. Shipley 1 👟 56' M 7.20
18 Ryan Croasdale Ryan Croasdale 56' M 6.30
50 Onel Hernández Onel Hernández 88' M 6.60
11 E. Archer E. Archer 71' F 6.20
21
Martin Sherif 88' F 6.50
19 B. Waine B. Waine 88' F 6.70
Bench
10 D. Brown D. Brown 8' F 6.70
33 George Hall George Hall 17' M 6.50
28
G. Ward 32' M 6.60
15 L. Gordon L. Gordon 43' D 6.60
12 Rhys Walters Rhys Walters 32' M 6.90
35
T. Magloire D
Best on the pitch
A. Pepple
A. Pepple
F · Plymouth
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 6 pass
Connor Hall
Connor Hall
D · Port
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
J. Shipley
J. Shipley
M · Port
7.20
1 👟
2 shots · 38 pass
J. Edwards
J. Edwards
D · Plymouth
7.20
· 17 pass
Cameron Humphreys
Cameron Humphreys
D · Port
7.20
· 54 pass
Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel
Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel
D · Port
7.00
· 60 pass
Plymouth Plymouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Hazard G 5 3.00 — — — 4 1% — — 1
D 88 6.60 — — — 11 9% 2 — —
A. Mitchell D 88 6.30 — — 1 5 4% 1 — —
M. Ross D 88 6.30 — — — 14 9% — — —
J. Edwards D 88 7.20 — — — 17 12% 3 — —
O. Dale M 88 6.90 — 1 1 11 8% 2 1 —
C. Watts M 8 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Malachi Boateng M 88 6.90 — — — 20 12% 2 — —
R. Curtis M 66 6.90 — — — 21 12% — — —
A. Pepple F 73 8.90 2 — 3 6 4% — — —
L. Tolaj F 88 6.90 — 1 4 13 10% — — —
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu M 15 6.90 — — — — — 3 1 —
M. Sorinola D 22 6.90 — — — 2 1% 2 — —
Port Vale Port Vale — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 88 6.60 — — — 24 17% — — —
Cameron Humphreys D 88 7.20 — — — 54 51% 1 — —
Connor Hall D 45 7.30 1 — 1 27 22% — 1 —
Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel D 88 7.00 — — — 60 54% 1 — —
Jaheim Headley M 80 6.90 — — — 38 31% 4 — —
J. Shipley M 56 7.20 — 1 2 38 35% — — —
Ryan Croasdale M 56 6.30 — — 2 20 18% 1 — —
Onel Hernández M 88 6.60 — — 1 36 32% — — —
E. Archer F 71 6.20 — — — 18 13% 2 1 —
Martin Sherif F 88 6.50 — — 2 9 7% — — —
B. Waine F 88 6.70 — — — 12 10% — — —
D. Brown F 8 6.70 — — — — — — — —
George Hall M 17 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
G. Ward M 32 6.60 — — — 25 25% — — —
L. Gordon D 43 6.60 — — — 44 37% 2 — —
Rhys Walters M 32 6.90 — — — 26 25% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plymouth vs Port Vale?
The final score was Plymouth 2–1 Port Vale.
What did the model predict before Plymouth vs Port Vale?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Plymouth win, 18% to a draw, and 8% to an Port Vale win.