← Czech Liga
#3 · 60 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#8 · 41 pts
Model wrong — prediction Plzen, result Pardubice vince
70' (ast. T. Jelinek) A. Tanko

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plzen a 66% win probability (draw 19%, Pardubice 13%). The final result was Plzen 0–1 Pardubice. In 1 previous meetings, Plzen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Pardubice.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
1.15
Actual xG
0.98
4
Saves
3
67%
Possession
33%
7
Corners
4
18
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
K. Spacil / A. Memic
40'
P. Adu / T. Ladra
40'
45'+2
E. Godwin
A. Sojka / L. Cerv
46'
60'
T. Boledovic / R. Saarma
61'
A. Tanko / G. Botos
68'
V. Samuel / V. Patrak
M. Toure / J. Panos
69'
70'
ast. T. Jelinek · A. Tanko
C. Souare / D. Vasulin
76'
M. Doski
81'
86'
J. Tredl
89'
L. Krobot / D. Smekal
89'
M. Konecny / J. Tredl
Pre-match prediction
66.23%
Plzen
19.93%
X
13.84%
Pardubice ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Pardubice) 13.84% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Plzen
2.26
1.15
-1.11
Pardubice
0.86
0.98
+0.12
xG dominance was balanced (1.15 – 0.98). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zlin Zlin 33 38
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 33 77
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 30 71
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 33 70
2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 33 37
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 30 63
3 Plzen Plzen 33 60
3 Teplice Teplice 33 36
3 Plzen Plzen 30 53
4 Slovácko Slovácko 33 30
4 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 33 53
4 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 30 51
5 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 33 52
5 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 33 26
5 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 30 49
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 30 46
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 33 46
6 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 33 23
7 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 30 43
8 Pardubice Pardubice 30 41
9 Karviná Karviná 30 39
10 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 30 36
11 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 30 35
12 Zlin Zlin 30 34
13 Teplice Teplice 30 29
14 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 30 23
15 Slovácko Slovácko 30 23
16 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 30 22
Lineups
Plzen Plzen 3-4-3
44
G 6.60
5 Karel Spáčil Karel Spáčil 40' D 6.90
40 Sampson Dweh Sampson Dweh D 7.60
37 Dávid Krčík Dávid Krčík D 6.20
14 Merchas Doski Merchas Doski 81' M 6.30
17
M 6.90
12 Alexandr Sojka Alexandr Sojka 45' M 6.90
9 Denis Višinský Denis Višinský M 6.70
80 Prince Kwabena Adu Prince Kwabena Adu 40' F 6.90
10 Mohamed Toure Mohamed Toure 69' F 6.20
19 Cheick Souaré Cheick Souaré 76' F 6.60
Bench
16
A. Kadlec D
99 Amar Memić Amar Memić 50' M 7.90
20 Jiří Panoš Jiří Panoš 21' M 6.60
6 Lukáš Červ Lukáš Červ 45' M 6.90
18 Tomáš Ladra Tomáš Ladra 50' F 7.60
Pardubice Pardubice 3-4-3
99
G 7.70
12 Jan Trédl Jan Trédl 89' D 6.60
44 Simon Bammens Simon Bammens D 6.60
43
D 6.90
77 Robi Saarma Robi Saarma 60' M 7.20
19 Michal Hlavatý Michal Hlavatý M 6.60
16 Tomáš Jelínek Tomáš Jelínek 1 👟 M 7.00
15
E. Godwin M 6.90
8 Vojtěch Patrák Vojtěch Patrák 68' F 7.20
90
G. Botos 61' F 6.20
9 Daniel Smékal Daniel Smékal 89' F 6.20
Bench
28 Abdoull Tanko Abdoull Tanko 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.50
10 Filip Vecheta Filip Vecheta F
5 Jiri Hamza Jiri Hamza D
39 S. Kopásek S. Kopásek D
18 Stepan Misek Stepan Misek M
40 Tobias Boledovic Tobias Boledovic 30' D 6.60
35 Victor Samuel Victor Samuel 22' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Amar Memić
Amar Memić
M · Plzen
7.90
1 shots · 24 pass
G · Pardubice
7.70
· 36 pass
Sampson Dweh
Sampson Dweh
D · Plzen
7.60
· 83 pass
Tomáš Ladra
Tomáš Ladra
F · Plzen
7.60
4 shots · 22 pass
Abdoull Tanko
Abdoull Tanko
F · Pardubice
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
Robi Saarma
Robi Saarma
M · Pardubice
7.20
· 21 pass
Plzen Plzen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 50 40%
Karel Spáčil D 40 6.90 26 21% 1
Sampson Dweh D 90 7.60 83 72% 3
Dávid Krčík D 90 6.20 2 53 40%
Merchas Doski M 81 6.30 30 25% 1 1
M 90 6.90 59 50% 1
Alexandr Sojka M 45 6.90 19 17% 3
Denis Višinský M 90 6.70 38 32%
Prince Kwabena Adu F 40 6.90 1 16 12% 2
Mohamed Toure F 69 6.20 1 15 12% 1
Cheick Souaré F 76 6.60 2 44 33%
Amar Memić M 50 7.90 1 24 20% 2
Jiří Panoš M 21 6.60 6 5% 1
Lukáš Červ M 45 6.90 29 24% 1
Tomáš Ladra F 50 7.60 4 22 15% 2
Pardubice Pardubice — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.70 36 23%
Jan Trédl D 89 6.60 23 16% 1
Simon Bammens D 90 6.60 1 27 13% 1
D 90 6.90 2 19 14% 1
Robi Saarma M 60 7.20 21 16% 2
Michal Hlavatý M 90 6.60 27 21% 1
Tomáš Jelínek M 90 7.00 1 25 15% 2
E. Godwin M 90 6.90 1 18 13% 4 1
Vojtěch Patrák F 68 7.20 2 12 9% 2
G. Botos F 61 6.20 14 9%
Daniel Smékal F 89 6.20 1 19 8%
Abdoull Tanko F 29 7.50 1 1 4 1%
Tobias Boledovic D 30 6.60 3 2%
Victor Samuel F 22 6.30 5 5%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plzen vs Pardubice?
The final score was Plzen 0–1 Pardubice.
What did the model predict before Plzen vs Pardubice?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Plzen win, 19% to a draw, and 13% to an Pardubice win.