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Czech Liga · Regular Season - 30 April 19, 2026 18:30
Plzen
#9 · 16 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Pardubice
#12 · 14 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Plzen, result Pardubice wins
70' (ast. T. Jelinek) A. Tanko
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plzen a 66% win probability (draw 19%, Pardubice 13%). The final result was Plzen 0–1 Pardubice. In 2 previous meetings, Plzen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Pardubice.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
1.15
Actual xG
0.98
4
Saves
3
67%
Possession
33%
7
Corners
4
18
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
↕ K. Spacil / A. Memic
40'
↕ P. Adu / T. Ladra
40'
45'+2
E. Godwin
↕ A. Sojka / L. Cerv
46'
60'
T. Boledovic / R. Saarma ↕
61'
A. Tanko / G. Botos ↕
68'
V. Samuel / V. Patrak ↕
↕ M. Toure / J. Panos
69'
70'
ast. T. Jelinek · A. Tanko⚽
↕ C. Souare / D. Vasulin
76'
M. Doski
81'
86'
J. Tredl
89'
L. Krobot / D. Smekal ↕
89'
M. Konecny / J. Tredl ↕
Pre-match prediction
66.23%
Plzen
19.93%
X
13.84%
Pardubice ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Pardubice) 13.84% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Plzen
2.26
1.15
-1.11
Pardubice
0.86
0.98
+0.12
xG dominance was balanced (1.15 – 0.98). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 12 28
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 12 22
3 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 12 21
4 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 12 21
5 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 11 20
6 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 12 20
7 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 12 20
8 Teplice Teplice 12 18
9 Plzen Plzen 12 16
10 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 11 16
11 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 12 15
12 Pardubice Pardubice 12 14
13 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 11 11
14 Artis Artis 11 9
15 Karviná Karviná 0 0
15 Slovácko Slovácko 12 7
16 Zlin Zlin 12 2
Lineups
Plzen Plzen 3-4-3
44
G 6.60
5 Karel Spáčil Karel Spáčil 40' D 6.90
40 S. Dweh S. Dweh D 7.60
37 D. Krčík D. Krčík D 6.20
14 Merchas Doski Merchas Doski 81' M 6.30
17
M 6.90
12 A. Sojka A. Sojka 45' M 6.90
9 D. Višinský D. Višinský M 6.70
80 Prince Kwabena Adu Prince Kwabena Adu 40' F 6.90
10 M. Toure M. Toure 69' F 6.20
19 C. Souaré C. Souaré 76' F 6.60
Bench
16 Adam Kadlec Adam Kadlec D
99 A. Memić A. Memić 50' M 7.90
20 Jiří Maxim Panoš Jiří Maxim Panoš 21' M 6.60
6 L. Červ L. Červ 45' M 6.90
18 T. Ladra T. Ladra 50' F 7.60
Pardubice Pardubice 3-4-3
99
G 7.70
12 J. Trédl J. Trédl 89' D 6.60
44 Simon Bammens Simon Bammens D 6.60
43
D 6.90
77 R. Saarma R. Saarma 60' M 7.20
19 M. Hlavatý M. Hlavatý M 6.60
16 T. Jelínek T. Jelínek 1 👟 M 7.00
15 E. Godwin E. Godwin M 6.90
8 Vojtěch Patrák Vojtěch Patrák 68' F 7.20
90 G. Botos G. Botos 61' F 6.20
9 D. Smékal D. Smékal 89' F 6.20
Bench
28 A. Tanko A. Tanko 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.50
10 Filip Vecheta Filip Vecheta F
5 Jiri Hamza Jiri Hamza D
39 S. Kopásek S. Kopásek D
18 Stepan Misek Stepan Misek M
40 T. Boledovic T. Boledovic 30' D 6.60
35 V. Samuel V. Samuel 22' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
A. Memić
A. Memić
M · Plzen
7.90
1 shots · 24 pass
G · Pardubice
7.70
· 36 pass
S. Dweh
S. Dweh
D · Plzen
7.60
· 83 pass
T. Ladra
T. Ladra
F · Plzen
7.60
4 shots · 22 pass
A. Tanko
A. Tanko
F · Pardubice
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
R. Saarma
R. Saarma
M · Pardubice
7.20
· 21 pass
Plzen Plzen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 50 40% — — —
Karel Spáčil D 40 6.90 — — — 26 21% 1 — —
S. Dweh D 90 7.60 — — — 83 72% 3 — —
D. Krčík D 90 6.20 — — 2 53 40% — — —
Merchas Doski M 81 6.30 — — — 30 25% 1 — 1
M 90 6.90 — — — 59 50% 1 — —
A. Sojka M 45 6.90 — — — 19 17% 3 — —
D. Višinský M 90 6.70 — — — 38 32% — — —
Prince Kwabena Adu F 40 6.90 — — 1 16 12% 2 — —
M. Toure F 69 6.20 — — 1 15 12% 1 — —
C. Souaré F 76 6.60 — — 2 44 33% — — —
A. Memić M 50 7.90 — — 1 24 20% 2 — —
Jiří Maxim Panoš M 21 6.60 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
L. Červ M 45 6.90 — — — 29 24% 1 — —
T. Ladra F 50 7.60 — — 4 22 15% 2 — —
Pardubice Pardubice — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.70 — — — 36 23% — — —
J. Trédl D 89 6.60 — — — 23 16% — 1 —
Simon Bammens D 90 6.60 — — 1 27 13% 1 — —
D 90 6.90 — — 2 19 14% 1 — —
R. Saarma M 60 7.20 — — — 21 16% 2 — —
M. Hlavatý M 90 6.60 — — — 27 21% 1 — —
T. Jelínek M 90 7.00 — 1 — 25 15% 2 — —
E. Godwin M 90 6.90 — — 1 18 13% 4 1 —
Vojtěch Patrák F 68 7.20 — — 2 12 9% 2 — —
G. Botos F 61 6.20 — — — 14 9% — — —
D. Smékal F 89 6.20 — — 1 19 8% — — —
A. Tanko F 29 7.50 1 — 1 4 1% — — —
T. Boledovic D 30 6.60 — — — 3 2% — — —
V. Samuel F 22 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plzen vs Pardubice?
The final score was Plzen 0–1 Pardubice.
What did the model predict before Plzen vs Pardubice?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Plzen win, 19% to a draw, and 13% to an Pardubice win.