Czech Liga
· Regular Season - 30
April 19, 2026 18:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Plzen, result Pardubice wins
70'
(ast. T. Jelinek)
A. Tanko
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plzen a 66% win probability (draw 19%, Pardubice 13%). The final result was Plzen 0–1 Pardubice. In 1 previous meetings, Plzen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Pardubice.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
1.15
Actual xG
0.98
4
Saves
3
67%
Possession
33%
7
Corners
4
18
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
K. Spacil
/ A. Memic
40'
P. Adu
/ T. Ladra
40'
45'+2
E. Godwin
A. Sojka
/ L. Cerv
46'
60'
T. Boledovic
/
R. Saarma
61'
A. Tanko
/
G. Botos
68'
V. Samuel
/
V. Patrak
M. Toure
/ J. Panos
69'
70'
ast. T. Jelinek ·
A. Tanko⚽
C. Souare
/ D. Vasulin
76'
M. Doski
81'
86'
J. Tredl
89'
L. Krobot
/
D. Smekal
89'
M. Konecny
/
J. Tredl
Pre-match prediction
66.23%
Plzen
19.93%
X
13.84%
Pardubice ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Pardubice)
13.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.26
1.15
-1.11
0.86
0.98
+0.12
xG dominance was balanced (1.15 – 0.98).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
44
G
5
Karel Spáčil
40'
D
Karel Spáčil
40'
D
40
Sampson Dweh
D
Sampson Dweh
D
37
D. Krčík
D
D. Krčík
D
14
Merchas Doski
81'
M
Merchas Doski
81'
M
17
M
12
Alexandr Sojka
45'
M
Alexandr Sojka
45'
M
9
Denis Višinský
M
Denis Višinský
M
80
Prince Kwabena Adu
40'
F
Prince Kwabena Adu
40'
F
10
M. Toure
69'
F
M. Toure
69'
F
19
C. Souaré
76'
F
C. Souaré
76'
F
Bench
16
Adam Kadlec
D
Adam Kadlec
D
99
Amar Memić
50'
M
Amar Memić
50'
M
20
Jiří Panoš
21'
M
Jiří Panoš
21'
M
6
Lukáš Červ
45'
M
Lukáš Červ
45'
M
18
T. Ladra
50'
F
T. Ladra
50'
F
99
G
12
Jan Trédl
89'
D
Jan Trédl
89'
D
44
Simon Bammens
D
Simon Bammens
D
43
D
77
Robi Saarma
60'
M
Robi Saarma
60'
M
19
Michal Hlavatý
M
Michal Hlavatý
M
16
Tomáš Jelínek
1 👟
M
Tomáš Jelínek
1 👟
M
15
Emmanuel Godwin
M
Emmanuel Godwin
M
8
Vojtěch Patrák
68'
F
Vojtěch Patrák
68'
F
90
Giannis-Fivos Botos
61'
F
Giannis-Fivos Botos
61'
F
9
Daniel Smékal
89'
F
Daniel Smékal
89'
F
Bench
28
Abdoull Tanko
1 ⚽
29'
F
Abdoull Tanko
1 ⚽
29'
F
10
F. Vecheta
F
F. Vecheta
F
5
Jiri Hamza
D
Jiri Hamza
D
39
S. Kopásek
D
S. Kopásek
D
18
Stepan Misek
M
Stepan Misek
M
40
Tobias Boledovic
30'
D
Tobias Boledovic
30'
D
35
Victor Samuel
22'
F
Victor Samuel
22'
F
Best on the pitch
Amar Memić
M · Plzen
7.90
1 shots
· 24 pass
G · Pardubice
7.70
· 36 pass
Sampson Dweh
D · Plzen
7.60
· 83 pass
T. Ladra
F · Plzen
7.60
4 shots
· 22 pass
Abdoull Tanko
F · Pardubice
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
Robi Saarma
M · Pardubice
7.20
· 21 pass
Plzen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| Karel Spáčil | D | 40 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Sampson Dweh | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 83 | 72% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Krčík | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Merchas Doski | M | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | 1 |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 50% | 1 | — | — | |
| Alexandr Sojka | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Denis Višinský | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Prince Kwabena Adu | F | 40 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Toure | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Souaré | F | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Amar Memić | M | 50 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Jiří Panoš | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukáš Červ | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Ladra | F | 50 | 7.60 | — | — | 4 | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
Pardubice — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Jan Trédl | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Simon Bammens | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — | |
| Robi Saarma | M | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Michal Hlavatý | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomáš Jelínek | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Godwin | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Vojtěch Patrák | F | 68 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Giannis-Fivos Botos | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Smékal | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Abdoull Tanko | F | 29 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tobias Boledovic | D | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Victor Samuel | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plzen vs Pardubice?
The final score was Plzen 0–1 Pardubice.
What did the model predict before Plzen vs Pardubice?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Plzen win, 19% to a draw, and 13% to an Pardubice win.