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#10 · 10 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#13 · 5 pts
Model wrong — prediction Plzen, result Pardubice wins
70' (ast. T. Jelinek) A. Tanko
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plzen a 66% win probability (draw 19%, Pardubice 13%). The final result was Plzen 0–1 Pardubice. In 1 previous meetings, Plzen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Pardubice.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
1.15
Actual xG
0.98
4
Saves
3
67%
Possession
33%
7
Corners
4
18
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
K. Spacil / A. Memic
40'
P. Adu / T. Ladra
40'
45'+2
E. Godwin
A. Sojka / L. Cerv
46'
60'
T. Boledovic / R. Saarma
61'
A. Tanko / G. Botos
68'
V. Samuel / V. Patrak
M. Toure / J. Panos
69'
70'
ast. T. Jelinek · A. Tanko
C. Souare / D. Vasulin
76'
M. Doski
81'
86'
J. Tredl
89'
L. Krobot / D. Smekal
89'
M. Konecny / J. Tredl
Pre-match prediction
66.23%
Plzen
19.93%
X
13.84%
Pardubice ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Pardubice) 13.84% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Plzen
2.26
1.15
-1.11
Pardubice
0.86
0.98
+0.12
xG dominance was balanced (1.15 – 0.98). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 8 19
2 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 7 17
3 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 8 16
4 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 8 16
5 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 7 14
6 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 8 14
7 Teplice Teplice 7 13
8 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 8 13
9 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 8 12
10 Plzen Plzen 8 10
11 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 7 9
12 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 8 9
13 Pardubice Pardubice 8 5
14 Artis Artis 8 4
15 Karviná Karviná 0 0
15 Slovácko Slovácko 8 3
16 Zlin Zlin 8 0
Lineups
Plzen Plzen 3-4-3
44
G 6.60
5 Karel Spáčil Karel Spáčil 40' D 6.90
40 S. Dweh S. Dweh D 7.60
37 D. Krčík D. Krčík D 6.20
14 Merchas Doski Merchas Doski 81' M 6.30
17
M 6.90
12 A. Sojka A. Sojka 45' M 6.90
9 D. Višinský D. Višinský M 6.70
80 P. Adu P. Adu 40' F 6.90
10 M. Toure M. Toure 69' F 6.20
19 C. Souaré C. Souaré 76' F 6.60
Bench
16 Adam Kadlec Adam Kadlec D
99 A. Memić A. Memić 50' M 7.90
20 Jiří Maxim Panoš Jiří Maxim Panoš 21' M 6.60
6 L. Červ L. Červ 45' M 6.90
18 T. Ladra T. Ladra 50' F 7.60
Pardubice Pardubice 3-4-3
99
G 7.70
12 J. Trédl J. Trédl 89' D 6.60
44 Simon Bammens Simon Bammens D 6.60
43
D 6.90
77 R. Saarma R. Saarma 60' M 7.20
19 M. Hlavatý M. Hlavatý M 6.60
16 T. Jelínek T. Jelínek 1 👟 M 7.00
15 E. Godwin E. Godwin M 6.90
8 Vojtěch Patrák Vojtěch Patrák 68' F 7.20
90 G. Botos G. Botos 61' F 6.20
9 D. Smékal D. Smékal 89' F 6.20
Bench
28 A. Tanko A. Tanko 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.50
10 F. Vecheta F. Vecheta F
5 Jiri Hamza Jiri Hamza D
39 S. Kopásek S. Kopásek D
18 Stepan Misek Stepan Misek M
40 T. Boledovic T. Boledovic 30' D 6.60
35 V. Samuel V. Samuel 22' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
A. Memić
A. Memić
M · Plzen
7.90
1 shots · 24 pass
G · Pardubice
7.70
· 36 pass
S. Dweh
S. Dweh
D · Plzen
7.60
· 83 pass
T. Ladra
T. Ladra
F · Plzen
7.60
4 shots · 22 pass
A. Tanko
A. Tanko
F · Pardubice
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
R. Saarma
R. Saarma
M · Pardubice
7.20
· 21 pass
Plzen Plzen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 50 40%
Karel Spáčil D 40 6.90 26 21% 1
S. Dweh D 90 7.60 83 72% 3
D. Krčík D 90 6.20 2 53 40%
Merchas Doski M 81 6.30 30 25% 1 1
M 90 6.90 59 50% 1
A. Sojka M 45 6.90 19 17% 3
D. Višinský M 90 6.70 38 32%
P. Adu F 40 6.90 1 16 12% 2
M. Toure F 69 6.20 1 15 12% 1
C. Souaré F 76 6.60 2 44 33%
A. Memić M 50 7.90 1 24 20% 2
Jiří Maxim Panoš M 21 6.60 6 5% 1
L. Červ M 45 6.90 29 24% 1
T. Ladra F 50 7.60 4 22 15% 2
Pardubice Pardubice — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.70 36 23%
J. Trédl D 89 6.60 23 16% 1
Simon Bammens D 90 6.60 1 27 13% 1
D 90 6.90 2 19 14% 1
R. Saarma M 60 7.20 21 16% 2
M. Hlavatý M 90 6.60 27 21% 1
T. Jelínek M 90 7.00 1 25 15% 2
E. Godwin M 90 6.90 1 18 13% 4 1
Vojtěch Patrák F 68 7.20 2 12 9% 2
G. Botos F 61 6.20 14 9%
D. Smékal F 89 6.20 1 19 8%
A. Tanko F 29 7.50 1 1 4 1%
T. Boledovic D 30 6.60 3 2%
V. Samuel F 22 6.30 5 5%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plzen vs Pardubice?
The final score was Plzen 0–1 Pardubice.
What did the model predict before Plzen vs Pardubice?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Plzen win, 19% to a draw, and 13% to an Pardubice win.