Czech Liga
· Regular Season - 30
April 19, 2026 18:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Plzen, result Pardubice wins
70'
(ast. T. Jelinek)
A. Tanko
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plzen a 66% win probability (draw 19%, Pardubice 13%). The final result was Plzen 0–1 Pardubice. In 1 previous meetings, Plzen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Pardubice.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
1.15
Actual xG
0.98
4
Saves
3
67%
Possession
33%
7
Corners
4
18
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
K. Spacil
/ A. Memic
40'
P. Adu
/ T. Ladra
40'
45'+2
E. Godwin
A. Sojka
/ L. Cerv
46'
60'
T. Boledovic
/
R. Saarma
61'
A. Tanko
/
G. Botos
68'
V. Samuel
/
V. Patrak
M. Toure
/ J. Panos
69'
70'
ast. T. Jelinek ·
A. Tanko⚽
C. Souare
/ D. Vasulin
76'
M. Doski
81'
86'
J. Tredl
89'
L. Krobot
/
D. Smekal
89'
M. Konecny
/
J. Tredl
Pre-match prediction
66.23%
Plzen
19.93%
X
13.84%
Pardubice ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Pardubice)
13.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.26
1.15
-1.11
0.86
0.98
+0.12
xG dominance was balanced (1.15 – 0.98).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
44
G
5
Karel Spáčil
40'
D
Karel Spáčil
40'
D
40
S. Dweh
D
S. Dweh
D
37
D. Krčík
D
D. Krčík
D
14
Merchas Doski
81'
M
Merchas Doski
81'
M
17
M
12
A. Sojka
45'
M
A. Sojka
45'
M
9
D. Višinský
M
D. Višinský
M
80
P. Adu
40'
F
P. Adu
40'
F
10
M. Toure
69'
F
M. Toure
69'
F
19
C. Souaré
76'
F
C. Souaré
76'
F
Bench
16
Adam Kadlec
D
Adam Kadlec
D
99
A. Memić
50'
M
A. Memić
50'
M
20
Jiří Maxim Panoš
21'
M
Jiří Maxim Panoš
21'
M
6
L. Červ
45'
M
L. Červ
45'
M
18
T. Ladra
50'
F
T. Ladra
50'
F
99
G
12
J. Trédl
89'
D
J. Trédl
89'
D
44
Simon Bammens
D
Simon Bammens
D
43
D
77
R. Saarma
60'
M
R. Saarma
60'
M
19
M. Hlavatý
M
M. Hlavatý
M
16
T. Jelínek
1 👟
M
T. Jelínek
1 👟
M
15
E. Godwin
M
E. Godwin
M
8
Vojtěch Patrák
68'
F
Vojtěch Patrák
68'
F
90
G. Botos
61'
F
G. Botos
61'
F
9
D. Smékal
89'
F
D. Smékal
89'
F
Bench
28
A. Tanko
1 ⚽
29'
F
A. Tanko
1 ⚽
29'
F
10
F. Vecheta
F
F. Vecheta
F
5
Jiri Hamza
D
Jiri Hamza
D
39
S. Kopásek
D
S. Kopásek
D
18
Stepan Misek
M
Stepan Misek
M
40
T. Boledovic
30'
D
T. Boledovic
30'
D
35
V. Samuel
22'
F
V. Samuel
22'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Memić
M · Plzen
7.90
1 shots
· 24 pass
G · Pardubice
7.70
· 36 pass
S. Dweh
D · Plzen
7.60
· 83 pass
T. Ladra
F · Plzen
7.60
4 shots
· 22 pass
A. Tanko
F · Pardubice
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
R. Saarma
M · Pardubice
7.20
· 21 pass
Plzen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| Karel Spáčil | D | 40 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Dweh | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 83 | 72% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Krčík | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Merchas Doski | M | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | 1 |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 50% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. Sojka | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Višinský | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| P. Adu | F | 40 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Toure | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Souaré | F | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 33% | — | — | — |
| A. Memić | M | 50 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Jiří Maxim Panoš | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Červ | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Ladra | F | 50 | 7.60 | — | — | 4 | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
Pardubice — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| J. Trédl | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Simon Bammens | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — | |
| R. Saarma | M | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Hlavatý | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Jelínek | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Godwin | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Vojtěch Patrák | F | 68 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Botos | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Smékal | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Tanko | F | 29 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| T. Boledovic | D | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| V. Samuel | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Plzen vs Pardubice?
The final score was Plzen 0–1 Pardubice.
What did the model predict before Plzen vs Pardubice?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Plzen win, 19% to a draw, and 13% to an Pardubice win.