Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 29 April 18, 2026 22:15

Pogon Szczecin

#11 · 41 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Lech Poznan

#1 · 56 pts

Paul Mukairu (ast. Kellyn Acosta) 80'

35' Antoni Kozubal

62' (ast. Ali Gholizadeh) Luis Palma

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 47% win probability (draw 24%, Pogon Szczecin 27%). The final result was Pogon Szczecin 1–2 Lech Poznan. In 1 previous meetings, Pogon Szczecin have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lech Poznan.

Match statistics

4

Total shots

19

3

Shots on target

11

0.50

Actual xG

3.27

9

Saves

1

55%

Possession

45%

5

Corners

6

8

Tackles

15

3

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

33'

Pablo Rodríguez

35'

Antoni Kozubal⚽

Kellyn Acosta

45'

46'

Filip Jagiello / Pablo Rodríguez ↕

↕ Kamil Grosicki / Karol Angielski

53'

↕ Danijel Lončar / Mads Agger

54'

62'

ast. Ali Gholizadeh · Luis Palma⚽

63'

Timothy Ouma / Luis Palma ↕

63'

Daniel Håkans / Patrik Wålemark ↕

↕ Jan Biegański / Jacek Czaplinski

69'

71'

Yannick Agnero / Mikael Ishak ↕

Natan Ława

78'

79'

Robert Gumny

79'

Taofeek Ismaheel / Ali Gholizadeh ↕

⚽Paul Mukairu · ast. Kellyn Acosta

80'

↕ Natan Ława / Mor Ndiaye

85'

↕ Léo Borges / Leonardo Koutris

85'

86'

Taofeek Ismaheel

Dimitrios Keramitsis

90'+6

Pre-match prediction

27.8%

Pogon

24.53%

X

47.67%

Lech ←

we assigned to the actual result (Lech Poznan) 47.67% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Pogon

1.06

0.50

-0.56

Lech

1.84

3.27

+1.43

Lech Poznan dominated by xG (3.27 vs 0.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	32	56
2	Jagiellonia	32	52
3	Gornik Zabrze	32	50
4	Raków Częstochowa	32	49
5	GKS Katowice	32	48
6	Zaglebie Lubin	32	48
7	Wisla Plock	32	45
8	Radomiak Radom	32	44
9	Legia Warszawa	32	43
10	Motor Lublin	32	42
11	Pogon Szczecin	32	41
12	Piast Gliwice	32	41
13	Cracovia Krakow	32	40
14	Widzew Łódź	32	39
15	Korona Kielce	32	39
16	Lechia Gdansk	32	38
17	Arka Gdynia	32	36
18	Nieciecza	32	28

Lineups

Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2

77

G 8.90

4

Leo Borges 85' D 6.30

41

D 6.20

22

Danijel Lončar 54' D 6.20

13

Dimitrios Keramitsis D 6.30

47

Natan Ława 85' M 6.70

8

F. Ulvestad M 6.90

6

Jan Biegański 69' M 6.20

3

K. Acosta 1 👟 M 6.50

11

Kamil Grosicki 53' F 6.20

18

Paul Mukairu 1 ⚽ F 8.30

Bench

10

F. Cuic F

30

J. Czaplinski 21' M 6.30

24

K. Angielski 37' F 6.60

32

Leonardo Koutris 18' D 6.90

25

Mads Agger 36' F 6.30

Lech Poznan 4-4-2

1

G 6.30

15

M. Gurgul D 7.20

27

D 7.00

20

R. Gumny D 6.50

2

J. Pereira D 6.60

77

L. Palma 1 ⚽ 63' M 8.00

99

Pablo Rodríguez 45' M 6.20

43

A. Kozubal 1 ⚽ M 7.20

8

A. Gholizadeh 1 👟 79' M 7.90

9 M. Ishak 71' F 6.60

10

Patrik Wålemark 63' F 7.20

Bench

11

D. Hakans 27' M 6.50

14

L. Bengtsson M

88 T. Ismaheel 11' M 6.30

6

T. Ouma 27' M 6.70

Best on the pitch

G · Pogon

8.90

· 37 pass

Paul Mukairu

F · Pogon

8.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 25 pass

L. Palma

M · Lech

8.00

1 ⚽

3 shots · 20 pass

A. Gholizadeh

M · Lech

7.90

1 👟

2 shots · 27 pass

Patrik Wålemark

F · Lech

7.20

4 shots · 9 pass

A. Kozubal

M · Lech

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 43 pass

Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	8.90	—	—	—	37	28%	—	—	—
Leo Borges	D	85	6.30	—	—	—	44	36%	1	—	—
	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	61	50%	—	—	—
Danijel Lončar	D	54	6.20	—	—	—	20	15%	—	—	—
Dimitrios Keramitsis	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	37	30%	2	1	—
Natan Ława	M	85	6.70	—	—	1	32	28%	—	1	—
F. Ulvestad	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	51	40%	3	—	—
Jan Biegański	M	69	6.20	—	—	—	37	34%	2	—	—
K. Acosta	M	90	6.50	—	1	1	36	28%	—	1	—
Kamil Grosicki	F	53	6.20	—	—	1	6	6%	—	—	—
Paul Mukairu	F	90	8.30	1	—	1	25	20%	—	—	—
J. Czaplinski	M	21	6.30	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—
K. Angielski	F	37	6.60	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
Leonardo Koutris	D	18	6.90	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
Mads Agger	F	36	6.30	—	—	—	12	7%	—	—	—

Lech Poznan — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	21	13%	—	—	—
M. Gurgul	D	90	7.20	—	—	2	30	24%	3	—	—
	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	40	36%	—	—	—
R. Gumny	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	35	31%	2	1	—
J. Pereira	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	44	33%	3	—	—
L. Palma	M	63	8.00	1	—	3	20	15%	—	—	—
Pablo Rodríguez	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	9	6%	—	1	—
A. Kozubal	M	90	7.20	1	—	2	43	35%	1	—	—
A. Gholizadeh	M	79	7.90	—	1	2	27	22%	1	—	—
M. Ishak	F	71	6.60	—	—	4	15	13%	1	—	—
Patrik Wålemark	F	63	7.20	—	—	4	9	5%	2	—	—
D. Hakans	M	27	6.50	—	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—
T. Ismaheel	M	11	6.30	—	—	1	12	8%	—	1	—
T. Ouma	M	27	6.70	—	—	—	7	4%	2	—	—