Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 29 April 18, 2026 20:15 Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin

#5 · 12 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Lech Poznan

#3 · 16 pts

Paul Mukairu (ast. Kellyn Acosta) 80'

35' Antoni Kozubal

62' (ast. Ali Gholizadeh) Luis Palma

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 47% win probability (draw 24%, Pogon Szczecin 27%). The final result was Pogon Szczecin 1–2 Lech Poznan. In 1 previous meetings, Pogon Szczecin have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lech Poznan.

Match statistics

4

Total shots

19

3

Shots on target

11

0.50

Actual xG

3.27

9

Saves

1

55%

Possession

45%

5

Corners

6

8

Tackles

15

3

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

33'

Pablo Rodríguez

35'

Antoni Kozubal⚽

Kellyn Acosta

45'

46'

Filip Jagiello / Pablo Rodríguez ↕

↕ Kamil Grosicki / Karol Angielski

53'

↕ Danijel Lončar / Mads Agger

54'

62'

ast. Ali Gholizadeh · Luis Palma⚽

63'

Timothy Ouma / Luis Palma ↕

63'

Daniel Håkans / Patrik Wålemark ↕

↕ Jan Biegański / Jacek Czaplinski

69'

71'

Yannick Agnero / Mikael Ishak ↕

Natan Ława

78'

79'

Robert Gumny

79'

Taofeek Ismaheel / Ali Gholizadeh ↕

⚽Paul Mukairu · ast. Kellyn Acosta

80'

↕ Natan Ława / Mor Ndiaye

85'

↕ Léo Borges / Leonardo Koutris

85'

86'

Taofeek Ismaheel

Dimitrios Keramitsis

90'+6

Pre-match prediction

27.8%

Pogon

24.53%

X

47.67%

Lech ←

we assigned to the actual result (Lech Poznan) 47.67% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Pogon

1.06

0.50

-0.56

Lech

1.84

3.27

+1.43

Lech Poznan dominated by xG (3.27 vs 0.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	7	18
2	Legia Warszawa	8	16
3	Lech Poznan	7	16
4	Wisla Krakow	8	14
5	Pogon Szczecin	7	12
6	Korona Kielce	7	12
7	Zaglebie Lubin	7	12
8	Jagiellonia	7	12
9	Piast Gliwice	7	10
10	GKS Katowice	7	9
11	Widzew Łódź	8	8
12	Cracovia Krakow	8	8
13	Wisla Plock	7	8
14	Radomiak Radom	7	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	8	6
16	Motor Lublin	8	5
17	Wieczysta Kraków	7	4
18	Raków Częstochowa	7	3

Lineups

Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2

77

G 8.90

4 Léo Borges 85' D 6.30

41

D 6.20

22 Danijel Lončar 54' D 6.20

13 D. Keramitsis D 6.30

47 N. Lawa 85' M 6.70

8 F. Ulvestad M 6.90

6 J. Biegański 69' M 6.20

3 K. Acosta 1 👟 M 6.50

11 K. Grosicki 53' F 6.20

18 P. Mukairu 1 ⚽ F 8.30

Bench

10 Filip Čuić F

30 J. Czaplinski 21' M 6.30

24

Karol Angielski 37' F 6.60

32 Leonardo Koutris 18' D 6.90

25 M. Agger 36' F 6.30

Lech Poznan 4-4-2

1

G 6.30

15 M. Gurgul D 7.20

27

D 7.00

20 R. Gumny D 6.50

2 Joel Pereira D 6.60

77 L. Palma 1 ⚽ 63' M 8.00

99 Pablo Rodríguez 45' M 6.20

43 Antoni Kozubal 1 ⚽ M 7.20

8

A. Gholizadeh 1 👟 79' M 7.90

9 M. Ishak 71' F 6.60

10 P. Wålemark 63' F 7.20

Bench

11 D. Håkans 27' M 6.50

14 L. Bengtsson M

88 Taofeek Ismaheel 11' M 6.30

6 Timothy Ouma 27' M 6.70

Best on the pitch

G · Pogon

8.90

· 37 pass

P. Mukairu

F · Pogon

8.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 25 pass

L. Palma

M · Lech

8.00

1 ⚽

3 shots · 20 pass

A. Gholizadeh

M · Lech

7.90

1 👟

2 shots · 27 pass

P. Wålemark

F · Lech

7.20

4 shots · 9 pass

Antoni Kozubal

M · Lech

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 43 pass

Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	8.90	—	—	—	37	28%	—	—	—
Léo Borges	D	85	6.30	—	—	—	44	36%	1	—	—
	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	61	50%	—	—	—
Danijel Lončar	D	54	6.20	—	—	—	20	15%	—	—	—
D. Keramitsis	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	37	30%	2	1	—
N. Lawa	M	85	6.70	—	—	1	32	28%	—	1	—
F. Ulvestad	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	51	40%	3	—	—
J. Biegański	M	69	6.20	—	—	—	37	34%	2	—	—
K. Acosta	M	90	6.50	—	1	1	36	28%	—	1	—
K. Grosicki	F	53	6.20	—	—	1	6	6%	—	—	—
P. Mukairu	F	90	8.30	1	—	1	25	20%	—	—	—
J. Czaplinski	M	21	6.30	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—
Karol Angielski	F	37	6.60	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
Leonardo Koutris	D	18	6.90	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
M. Agger	F	36	6.30	—	—	—	12	7%	—	—	—

Lech Poznan — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	21	13%	—	—	—
M. Gurgul	D	90	7.20	—	—	2	30	24%	3	—	—
	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	40	36%	—	—	—
R. Gumny	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	35	31%	2	1	—
Joel Pereira	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	44	33%	3	—	—
L. Palma	M	63	8.00	1	—	3	20	15%	—	—	—
Pablo Rodríguez	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	9	6%	—	1	—
Antoni Kozubal	M	90	7.20	1	—	2	43	35%	1	—	—
A. Gholizadeh	M	79	7.90	—	1	2	27	22%	1	—	—
M. Ishak	F	71	6.60	—	—	4	15	13%	1	—	—
P. Wålemark	F	63	7.20	—	—	4	9	5%	2	—	—
D. Håkans	M	27	6.50	—	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—
Taofeek Ismaheel	M	11	6.30	—	—	1	12	8%	—	1	—
Timothy Ouma	M	27	6.70	—	—	—	7	4%	2	—	—