Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City — pre-match prediction — MLS — May 10, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 13 May 10, 2026 04:30

Portland Timbers

#12 · 14 pts

6 – 0

Final score

Sporting Kansas City

#15 · 8 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Portland Timbers

K. Velde (ast. D. Da Costa) 6'

K. Kelsy (ast. D. Da Costa) 15'

C. Bassett (ast. K. Kelsy) 22'

J. Davis 26' (og)

A. Lassiter 71'

K. Kelsy (ast. A. Lassiter) 74'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portland Timbers a 56% win probability (draw 24%, Sporting Kansas City 18%). The final result was Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.34

Actual xG

0.50

Saves

63%

Possession

37%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽K. Velde · ast. D. Da Costa

⚽K. Kelsy · ast. D. Da Costa

15'

19'

L. Johnsen

⚽C. Bassett · ast. K. Kelsy

22'

⚽J. Davis (og)

26'

J. Caicedo

33'

41'

J. Davis

45'+3

J. Reid

46'

C. Harris / M. Garcia ↕

46'

I. James / S. Suleymanov ↕

↕ J. Caicedo / D. Chara

46'

53'

E. Bartlow

61'

Z. Bassong / L. Johnsen ↕

↕ D. Da Costa / A. Lassiter

61'

↕ J. Fory / I. Smith

61'

↕ C. Bassett / J. Ortiz

61'

↕ Antony / A. Aravena

61'

⚽A. Lassiter

71'

72'

T. Calheira / D. Joveljic ↕

⚽K. Kelsy · ast. A. Lassiter

74'

76'

Capita

76'

S. Afrifa / Capita ↕

Pre-match prediction

56.14%

Portland ←

24.92%

18.93%

Sporting

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Portland Timbers) 56.14% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Portland

2.25

1.34

-0.91

Sporting

0.81

0.50

-0.31

Portland Timbers dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	12	29
1	Nashville SC	12	27
2	San Jose Earthquakes	13	29
2	Inter Miami	13	25
3	Seattle Sounders	11	24
3	New England Revolution	12	22
4	Chicago Fire	12	20
4	Real Salt Lake	12	22
5	Los Angeles FC	13	21
5	New York City FC	13	18
6	Minnesota United FC	13	21
6	New York Red Bulls	13	18
7	DC United	13	16
7	FC Dallas	13	19
8	Houston Dynamo	12	18
8	FC Cincinnati	13	16
9	Charlotte	13	15
9	Colorado Rapids	13	16
10	San Diego	13	16
10	Toronto FC	12	14
11	CF Montreal	12	13
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	13	16
12	Orlando City SC	13	13
12	Portland Timbers	12	14
13	Austin	13	14
13	Columbus Crew	13	12
14	St. Louis City	12	12
14	Atlanta United FC	12	10
15	Sporting Kansas City	12	8
15	Philadelphia Union	13	6

Lineups

Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1

James Pantemis G 7.30

Jímer Fory 61' D 6.90

Kamal Miller D 8.20

Finn Surman D 7.50

Brandon Bye D 6.90

José Caicedo 45' M 7.30

Cole Bassett 1 ⚽ 61' M 8.20

Antony Alves 61' M 7.30

David Pereira Da Costa 2 👟 61' M 7.60

Kristoffer Velde 1 ⚽ M 8.30

Kevin Kelsy 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.00

Bench

Alexander Aravena 29' F 6.60

Alex Bonetig D

Ariel Lassiter 1 ⚽ 1 👟 29' F 8.00

Diego Chará 45' M 6.90

Felipe Mora F

Ian Smith 29' D 7.50

Joao Ortíz 29' M 6.90

Sawyer Jura D

Trey Muse G

Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2

Stefan Cleveland G 5.30

Jayden Reid D 5.30

Wyatt Meyer D 5.20

Ethan Bartlow D 5.60

Jacob Davis 1 ⚽ D 5.00

Shapi Suleymanov 45' M 6.30

Jacob Bartlett M 6.00

Lasse Berg Johnsen 61' M 6.30

Capita 76' M 5.90

Dejan Joveljić 72' F 6.70

Manu García 45' F 6.30

Bench

Calvin Harris 45' F 6.30

Ian James 45' D 6.20

John Pulskamp G

Macielo Tschantret M

Pierre Lurot D

Ryan Schewe G

Stephen Afrifa 14' F 6.30

Taylor Calheira 18' F 6.30

Zorhan Bassong 29' D 6.20

Best on the pitch

Kevin Kelsy

F · Portland

9.00

2 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 21 pass

Kristoffer Velde

M · Portland

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 62 pass

Kamal Miller

D · Portland

8.20

· 93 pass

Cole Bassett

M · Portland

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 57 pass

Ariel Lassiter

F · Portland

8.00

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 13 pass

David Pereira Da Costa

M · Portland

7.60

2 👟

· 53 pass

Portland Timbers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
James Pantemis	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	26	24%	—	—	—
Jímer Fory	D	61	6.90	—	—	—	57	52%	—	—	—
Kamal Miller	D	90	8.20	—	—	—	93	88%	—	—	—
Finn Surman	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	85	83%	1	—	—
Brandon Bye	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	53	48%	2	—	—
José Caicedo	M	45	7.30	—	—	—	63	58%	1	1	—
Cole Bassett	M	61	8.20	1	—	1	57	55%	—	—	—
Antony Alves	M	61	7.30	—	—	—	42	40%	3	—	—
David Pereira Da Costa	M	61	7.60	—	2	—	53	51%	—	—	—
Kristoffer Velde	M	90	8.30	1	—	2	62	53%	2	—	—
Kevin Kelsy	F	90	9.00	2	1	5	21	19%	—	—	—
Alexander Aravena	F	29	6.60	—	—	1	14	12%	—	—	—
Ariel Lassiter	F	29	8.00	1	1	2	13	10%	—	—	—
Diego Chará	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	38	37%	—	—	—
Ian Smith	D	29	7.50	—	—	—	23	21%	1	—	—
Joao Ortíz	M	29	6.90	—	—	—	26	26%	—	—	—

Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Stefan Cleveland	G	90	5.30	—	—	—	21	18%	—	—	—
Jayden Reid	D	90	5.30	—	—	1	44	39%	2	1	—
Wyatt Meyer	D	90	5.20	—	—	—	43	38%	—	—	—
Ethan Bartlow	D	90	5.60	—	—	—	59	51%	—	1	—
Jacob Davis	D	90	5.00	1	—	—	47	39%	2	1	—
Shapi Suleymanov	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	11	10%	—	—	—
Jacob Bartlett	M	90	6.00	—	—	—	46	42%	—	—	—
Lasse Berg Johnsen	M	61	6.30	—	—	—	28	26%	—	1	—
Capita	M	76	5.90	—	—	2	5	4%	3	1	—
Dejan Joveljić	F	72	6.70	—	—	1	20	17%	—	—	—
Manu García	F	45	6.30	—	—	1	9	6%	—	—	—
Calvin Harris	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	13	11%	—	—	—
Ian James	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	22	18%	—	—	—
Stephen Afrifa	F	14	6.30	—	—	—	8	7%	1	—	—
Taylor Calheira	F	18	6.30	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
Zorhan Bassong	D	29	6.20	—	—	—	30	29%	2	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?

The final score was Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City.

What did the model predict before Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?

The model assigned 56% probability to a Portland Timbers win, 24% to a draw, and 18% to an Sporting Kansas City win.