Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City — pre-match prediction — MLS — May 10, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 12 May 10, 2026 04:30

Portland Timbers

#8 · 32 pts

6 – 0

Final score

Sporting Kansas City

#15 · 15 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Portland Timbers

K. Velde (ast. D. Da Costa) 6'

K. Kelsy (ast. D. Da Costa) 15'

C. Bassett (ast. K. Kelsy) 22'

J. Davis 26' (og)

A. Lassiter 71'

K. Kelsy (ast. A. Lassiter) 74'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portland Timbers a 56% win probability (draw 24%, Sporting Kansas City 18%). The final result was Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.34

Actual xG

0.50

Saves

63%

Possession

37%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽K. Velde · ast. D. Da Costa

⚽K. Kelsy · ast. D. Da Costa

15'

19'

L. Johnsen

⚽C. Bassett · ast. K. Kelsy

22'

⚽J. Davis (og)

26'

J. Caicedo

33'

41'

J. Davis

45'+3

J. Reid

46'

C. Harris / M. Garcia ↕

46'

I. James / S. Suleymanov ↕

↕ J. Caicedo / D. Chara

46'

53'

E. Bartlow

61'

Z. Bassong / L. Johnsen ↕

↕ D. Da Costa / A. Lassiter

61'

↕ J. Fory / I. Smith

61'

↕ C. Bassett / J. Ortiz

61'

↕ Antony / A. Aravena

61'

⚽A. Lassiter

71'

72'

T. Calheira / D. Joveljic ↕

⚽K. Kelsy · ast. A. Lassiter

74'

76'

Capita

76'

S. Afrifa / Capita ↕

Pre-match prediction

56.14%

Portland ←

24.92%

18.93%

Sporting

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Portland Timbers) 56.14% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Portland

2.25

1.34

-0.91

Sporting

0.81

0.50

-0.31

Portland Timbers dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	23	46
2	Houston Dynamo	24	43
3	Los Angeles FC	25	40
4	FC Dallas	24	40
5	San Jose Earthquakes	24	38
6	St. Louis City	24	38
7	Colorado Rapids	24	32
8	Portland Timbers	24	32
9	San Diego	24	30
10	Real Salt Lake	23	29
11	Minnesota United FC	24	29
12	Los Angeles Galaxy	25	29
13	Seattle Sounders	22	27
14	Austin	24	26
15	Sporting Kansas City	23	15

Lineups

Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1

J. Pantemis G 7.30

J. Fory 61' D 6.90

K. Miller D 8.20

F. Surman D 7.50

Brandon Bye D 6.90

J. Caicedo 45' M 7.30

C. Bassett 1 ⚽ 61' M 8.20

Antony 61' M 7.30

David Pereira da Costa 2 👟 61' M 7.60

K. Velde 1 ⚽ M 8.30

K. Kelsy 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.00

Bench

A. Bonetig D

A. Lassiter 1 ⚽ 1 👟 29' F 8.00

Alexander Aravena 29' F 6.60

D. Chará 45' M 6.90

Felipe Mora F

Ian Smith 29' D 7.50

J. Ortiz 29' M 6.90

Sawyer Jura D

Trey Muse G

Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2

S. Cleveland G 5.30

Jayden Reid D 5.30

Wyatt Meyer D 5.20

E. Bartlow D 5.60

Jacob Davis 1 ⚽ D 5.00

M. Suleymanov 45' M 6.30

J. Bartlett M 6.00

L. Johnsen 61' M 6.30

Capita 76' M 5.90

D. Joveljić 72' F 6.70

Manu García 45' F 6.30

Bench

Calvin Harris 45' F 6.30

Ian James 45' D 6.20

J. Pulskamp G

Macielo Tschantret M

Pierre Lurot D

Ryan Schewe G

S. Afrifa 14' F 6.30

T. Calheira 18' F 6.30

Zorhan Bassong 29' D 6.20

Best on the pitch

K. Kelsy

F · Portland

9.00

2 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 21 pass

K. Velde

M · Portland

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 62 pass

K. Miller

D · Portland

8.20

· 93 pass

C. Bassett

M · Portland

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 57 pass

A. Lassiter

F · Portland

8.00

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 13 pass

David Pereira da Costa

M · Portland

7.60

2 👟

· 53 pass

Portland Timbers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Pantemis	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	26	24%	—	—	—
J. Fory	D	61	6.90	—	—	—	57	52%	—	—	—
K. Miller	D	90	8.20	—	—	—	93	88%	—	—	—
F. Surman	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	85	83%	1	—	—
Brandon Bye	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	53	48%	2	—	—
J. Caicedo	M	45	7.30	—	—	—	63	58%	1	1	—
C. Bassett	M	61	8.20	1	—	1	57	55%	—	—	—
Antony	M	61	7.30	—	—	—	42	40%	3	—	—
David Pereira da Costa	M	61	7.60	—	2	—	53	51%	—	—	—
K. Velde	M	90	8.30	1	—	2	62	53%	2	—	—
K. Kelsy	F	90	9.00	2	1	5	21	19%	—	—	—
A. Lassiter	F	29	8.00	1	1	2	13	10%	—	—	—
Alexander Aravena	F	29	6.60	—	—	1	14	12%	—	—	—
D. Chará	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	38	37%	—	—	—
Ian Smith	D	29	7.50	—	—	—	23	21%	1	—	—
J. Ortiz	M	29	6.90	—	—	—	26	26%	—	—	—

Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Cleveland	G	90	5.30	—	—	—	21	18%	—	—	—
Jayden Reid	D	90	5.30	—	—	1	44	39%	2	1	—
Wyatt Meyer	D	90	5.20	—	—	—	43	38%	—	—	—
E. Bartlow	D	90	5.60	—	—	—	59	51%	—	1	—
Jacob Davis	D	90	5.00	1	—	—	47	39%	2	1	—
M. Suleymanov	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	11	10%	—	—	—
J. Bartlett	M	90	6.00	—	—	—	46	42%	—	—	—
L. Johnsen	M	61	6.30	—	—	—	28	26%	—	1	—
Capita	M	76	5.90	—	—	2	5	4%	3	1	—
D. Joveljić	F	72	6.70	—	—	1	20	17%	—	—	—
Manu García	F	45	6.30	—	—	1	9	6%	—	—	—
Calvin Harris	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	13	11%	—	—	—
Ian James	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	22	18%	—	—	—
S. Afrifa	F	14	6.30	—	—	—	8	7%	1	—	—
T. Calheira	F	18	6.30	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
Zorhan Bassong	D	29	6.20	—	—	—	30	29%	2	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?

The final score was Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City.

What did the model predict before Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?

The model assigned 56% probability to a Portland Timbers win, 24% to a draw, and 18% to an Sporting Kansas City win.