Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City — pre-match prediction — MLS — May 10, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 12 May 10, 2026 04:30

Portland Timbers

#8 · 43 pts

6 – 0

Final score

Sporting Kansas City

#15 · 23 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Portland Timbers

K. Velde (ast. D. Da Costa) 6'

K. Kelsy (ast. D. Da Costa) 15'

C. Bassett (ast. K. Kelsy) 22'

J. Davis 26' (og)

A. Lassiter 71'

K. Kelsy (ast. A. Lassiter) 74'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portland Timbers a 56% win probability (draw 24%, Sporting Kansas City 18%). The final result was Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City. In 1 previous meetings, Portland Timbers have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sporting Kansas City.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.34

Actual xG

0.50

Saves

63%

Possession

37%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽K. Velde · ast. D. Da Costa

⚽K. Kelsy · ast. D. Da Costa

15'

19'

L. Johnsen

⚽C. Bassett · ast. K. Kelsy

22'

⚽J. Davis (og)

26'

J. Caicedo

33'

41'

J. Davis

45'+3

J. Reid

46'

C. Harris / M. Garcia ↕

46'

I. James / S. Suleymanov ↕

↕ J. Caicedo / D. Chara

46'

53'

E. Bartlow

61'

Z. Bassong / L. Johnsen ↕

↕ D. Da Costa / A. Lassiter

61'

↕ J. Fory / I. Smith

61'

↕ C. Bassett / J. Ortiz

61'

↕ Antony / A. Aravena

61'

⚽A. Lassiter

71'

72'

T. Calheira / D. Joveljic ↕

⚽K. Kelsy · ast. A. Lassiter

74'

76'

Capita

76'

S. Afrifa / Capita ↕

Pre-match prediction

56.14%

Portland ←

24.92%

18.93%

Sporting

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Portland Timbers) 56.14% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Portland

2.25

1.34

-0.91

Sporting

0.81

0.50

-0.31

Portland Timbers dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	33	61
2	FC Dallas	33	55
3	San Jose Earthquakes	33	52
4	St. Louis City	33	51
5	Houston Dynamo	33	51
6	Los Angeles FC	33	47
7	Los Angeles Galaxy	33	44
8	Portland Timbers	33	43
9	Colorado Rapids	33	43
10	Seattle Sounders	33	43
11	Real Salt Lake	33	42
12	Minnesota United FC	33	41
13	San Diego	33	38
14	Austin	33	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	33	23

Lineups

Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1

J. Pantemis G 7.30

J. Fory 61' D 6.90

K. Miller D 8.20

F. Surman D 7.50

Brandon Bye D 6.90

J. Caicedo 45' M 7.30

C. Bassett 1 ⚽ 61' M 8.20

Antony 61' M 7.30

David Pereira da Costa 2 👟 61' M 7.60

K. Velde 1 ⚽ M 8.30

K. Kelsy 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.00

Bench

A. Aravena 29' F 6.60

A. Bonetig D

A. Lassiter 1 ⚽ 1 👟 29' F 8.00

D. Chará 45' M 6.90

F. Mora F

Ian Smith 29' D 7.50

J. Ortiz 29' M 6.90

S. Jura D

T. Muse G

Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2

S. Cleveland G 5.30

J. Reid D 5.30

Wyatt Meyer D 5.20

E. Bartlow D 5.60

J. Davis 1 ⚽ D 5.00

M. Suleymanov 45' M 6.30

J. Bartlett M 6.00

L. Johnsen 61' M 6.30

Capita 76' M 5.90

D. Joveljić 72' F 6.70

Manu García 45' F 6.30

Bench

C. Harris 45' F 6.30

I. James 45' D 6.20

J. Pulskamp G

M. Tschantret M

Pierre Lurot D

Ryan Schewe G

S. Afrifa 14' F 6.30

T. Calheira 18' F 6.30

Z. Bassong 29' D 6.20

Best on the pitch

K. Kelsy

F · Portland

9.00

2 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 21 pass

K. Velde

M · Portland

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 62 pass

K. Miller

D · Portland

8.20

· 93 pass

C. Bassett

M · Portland

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 57 pass

A. Lassiter

F · Portland

8.00

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 13 pass

David Pereira da Costa

M · Portland

7.60

2 👟

· 53 pass

Portland Timbers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Pantemis	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	26	24%	—	—	—
J. Fory	D	61	6.90	—	—	—	57	52%	—	—	—
K. Miller	D	90	8.20	—	—	—	93	88%	—	—	—
F. Surman	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	85	83%	1	—	—
Brandon Bye	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	53	48%	2	—	—
J. Caicedo	M	45	7.30	—	—	—	63	58%	1	1	—
C. Bassett	M	61	8.20	1	—	1	57	55%	—	—	—
Antony	M	61	7.30	—	—	—	42	40%	3	—	—
David Pereira da Costa	M	61	7.60	—	2	—	53	51%	—	—	—
K. Velde	M	90	8.30	1	—	2	62	53%	2	—	—
K. Kelsy	F	90	9.00	2	1	5	21	19%	—	—	—
A. Aravena	F	29	6.60	—	—	1	14	12%	—	—	—
A. Lassiter	F	29	8.00	1	1	2	13	10%	—	—	—
D. Chará	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	38	37%	—	—	—
Ian Smith	D	29	7.50	—	—	—	23	21%	1	—	—
J. Ortiz	M	29	6.90	—	—	—	26	26%	—	—	—

Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Cleveland	G	90	5.30	—	—	—	21	18%	—	—	—
J. Reid	D	90	5.30	—	—	1	44	39%	2	1	—
Wyatt Meyer	D	90	5.20	—	—	—	43	38%	—	—	—
E. Bartlow	D	90	5.60	—	—	—	59	51%	—	1	—
J. Davis	D	90	5.00	1	—	—	47	39%	2	1	—
M. Suleymanov	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	11	10%	—	—	—
J. Bartlett	M	90	6.00	—	—	—	46	42%	—	—	—
L. Johnsen	M	61	6.30	—	—	—	28	26%	—	1	—
Capita	M	76	5.90	—	—	2	5	4%	3	1	—
D. Joveljić	F	72	6.70	—	—	1	20	17%	—	—	—
Manu García	F	45	6.30	—	—	1	9	6%	—	—	—
C. Harris	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	13	11%	—	—	—
I. James	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	22	18%	—	—	—
S. Afrifa	F	14	6.30	—	—	—	8	7%	1	—	—
T. Calheira	F	18	6.30	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
Z. Bassong	D	29	6.20	—	—	—	30	29%	2	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?

The final score was Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City.

What did the model predict before Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?

The model assigned 56% probability to a Portland Timbers win, 24% to a draw, and 18% to an Sporting Kansas City win.