Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City — pre-match prediction — MLS — May 10, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 13 May 10, 2026 04:30

Portland Timbers

#13 · 14 pts

6 – 0

Final score

Sporting Kansas City

#15 · 11 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Portland Timbers

K. Velde (ast. D. Da Costa) 6'

K. Kelsy (ast. D. Da Costa) 15'

C. Bassett (ast. K. Kelsy) 22'

J. Davis 26' (og)

A. Lassiter 71'

K. Kelsy (ast. A. Lassiter) 74'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portland Timbers a 56% win probability (draw 24%, Sporting Kansas City 18%). The final result was Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.34

Actual xG

0.50

Saves

63%

Possession

37%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽K. Velde · ast. D. Da Costa

⚽K. Kelsy · ast. D. Da Costa

15'

19'

L. Johnsen

⚽C. Bassett · ast. K. Kelsy

22'

⚽J. Davis (og)

26'

J. Caicedo

33'

41'

J. Davis

45'+3

J. Reid

46'

C. Harris / M. Garcia ↕

46'

I. James / S. Suleymanov ↕

↕ J. Caicedo / D. Chara

46'

53'

E. Bartlow

61'

Z. Bassong / L. Johnsen ↕

↕ D. Da Costa / A. Lassiter

61'

↕ J. Fory / I. Smith

61'

↕ C. Bassett / J. Ortiz

61'

↕ Antony / A. Aravena

61'

⚽A. Lassiter

71'

72'

T. Calheira / D. Joveljic ↕

⚽K. Kelsy · ast. A. Lassiter

74'

76'

Capita

76'

S. Afrifa / Capita ↕

Pre-match prediction

56.14%

Portland ←

24.92%

18.93%

Sporting

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Portland Timbers) 56.14% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Portland

2.25

1.34

-0.91

Sporting

0.81

0.50

-0.31

Portland Timbers dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	14	32
2	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
3	Real Salt Lake	14	26
4	FC Dallas	15	25
5	Los Angeles FC	15	24
6	Seattle Sounders	13	24
7	Houston Dynamo	14	22
8	Minnesota United FC	15	22
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
10	San Diego	15	17
11	Colorado Rapids	15	16
12	St. Louis City	14	16
13	Portland Timbers	14	14
14	Austin	15	14
15	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Lineups

Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1

James Pantemis G 7.30

J. Fory 61' D 6.90

K. Miller D 8.20

Finn Surman D 7.50

Brandon Bye D 6.90

José Caicedo 45' M 7.30

Cole Bassett 1 ⚽ 61' M 8.20

Antony Alves 61' M 7.30

David Pereira Da Costa 2 👟 61' M 7.60

Kristoffer Velde 1 ⚽ M 8.30

Kevin Kelsy 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.00

Bench

Alexander Aravena 29' F 6.60

Alex Bonetig D

Ariel Lassiter 1 ⚽ 1 👟 29' F 8.00

Diego Chará 45' M 6.90

Felipe Mora F

Ian Smith 29' D 7.50

Joao Ortíz 29' M 6.90

Sawyer Jura D

Trey Muse G

Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2

Stefan Cleveland G 5.30

Jayden Reid D 5.30

Wyatt Meyer D 5.20

Ethan Bartlow D 5.60

Jacob Davis 1 ⚽ D 5.00

Shapi Suleymanov 45' M 6.30

Jacob Bartlett M 6.00

Lasse Berg Johnsen 61' M 6.30

Capita 76' M 5.90

Dejan Joveljić 72' F 6.70

Manu García 45' F 6.30

Bench

Calvin Harris 45' F 6.30

Ian James 45' D 6.20

John Pulskamp G

Macielo Tschantret M

Pierre Lurot D

Ryan Schewe G

Stephen Afrifa 14' F 6.30

Taylor Calheira 18' F 6.30

Zorhan Bassong 29' D 6.20

Best on the pitch

Kevin Kelsy

F · Portland

9.00

2 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 21 pass

Kristoffer Velde

M · Portland

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 62 pass

K. Miller

D · Portland

8.20

· 93 pass

Cole Bassett

M · Portland

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 57 pass

Ariel Lassiter

F · Portland

8.00

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 13 pass

David Pereira Da Costa

M · Portland

7.60

2 👟

· 53 pass

Portland Timbers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
James Pantemis	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	26	24%	—	—	—
J. Fory	D	61	6.90	—	—	—	57	52%	—	—	—
K. Miller	D	90	8.20	—	—	—	93	88%	—	—	—
Finn Surman	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	85	83%	1	—	—
Brandon Bye	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	53	48%	2	—	—
José Caicedo	M	45	7.30	—	—	—	63	58%	1	1	—
Cole Bassett	M	61	8.20	1	—	1	57	55%	—	—	—
Antony Alves	M	61	7.30	—	—	—	42	40%	3	—	—
David Pereira Da Costa	M	61	7.60	—	2	—	53	51%	—	—	—
Kristoffer Velde	M	90	8.30	1	—	2	62	53%	2	—	—
Kevin Kelsy	F	90	9.00	2	1	5	21	19%	—	—	—
Alexander Aravena	F	29	6.60	—	—	1	14	12%	—	—	—
Ariel Lassiter	F	29	8.00	1	1	2	13	10%	—	—	—
Diego Chará	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	38	37%	—	—	—
Ian Smith	D	29	7.50	—	—	—	23	21%	1	—	—
Joao Ortíz	M	29	6.90	—	—	—	26	26%	—	—	—

Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Stefan Cleveland	G	90	5.30	—	—	—	21	18%	—	—	—
Jayden Reid	D	90	5.30	—	—	1	44	39%	2	1	—
Wyatt Meyer	D	90	5.20	—	—	—	43	38%	—	—	—
Ethan Bartlow	D	90	5.60	—	—	—	59	51%	—	1	—
Jacob Davis	D	90	5.00	1	—	—	47	39%	2	1	—
Shapi Suleymanov	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	11	10%	—	—	—
Jacob Bartlett	M	90	6.00	—	—	—	46	42%	—	—	—
Lasse Berg Johnsen	M	61	6.30	—	—	—	28	26%	—	1	—
Capita	M	76	5.90	—	—	2	5	4%	3	1	—
Dejan Joveljić	F	72	6.70	—	—	1	20	17%	—	—	—
Manu García	F	45	6.30	—	—	1	9	6%	—	—	—
Calvin Harris	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	13	11%	—	—	—
Ian James	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	22	18%	—	—	—
Stephen Afrifa	F	14	6.30	—	—	—	8	7%	1	—	—
Taylor Calheira	F	18	6.30	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
Zorhan Bassong	D	29	6.20	—	—	—	30	29%	2	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?

The final score was Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City.

What did the model predict before Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?

The model assigned 56% probability to a Portland Timbers win, 24% to a draw, and 18% to an Sporting Kansas City win.