← Championship
#18 · 55 pts
2 – 0
Final score
#2 · 84 pts
Model wrong — prediction Ipswich, result Portsmouth vince
C. Shaughnessy (ast. A. Segecic) 42'
C. Bishop 44'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ipswich a 50% win probability (draw 25%, Portsmouth 23%). The final result was Portsmouth 2–0 Ipswich. In 1 previous meetings, Portsmouth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ipswich.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
1.70
Actual xG
0.78
2
Saves
1
41%
Possession
59%
3
Corners
7
13
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Pack
35'
C. Shaughnessy · ast. A. Segecic
42'
C. Bishop
44'
58'
A. Mehmeti / A. Matusiwa
58'
B. Johnson / D. Furlong
58'
J. Philogene / K. McAteer
J. Swift / K. Anderson
71'
71'
S. W. Egeli / J. Clarke
71'
C. Akpom / D. Neil
81'
M. Nunez
T. Devlin
82'
A. Segecic / J. Brown
85'
90'+1
J. Philogene
M. Alli / I. Bowat
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
23.87%
Portsmouth ←
25.6%
X
50.53%
Ipswich
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Portsmouth) 23.87% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Portsmouth
0.76
1.70
+0.94
Ipswich
1.64
0.78
-0.86
Portsmouth dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.78). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
2
J. Williams D 7.20
6
C. Shaughnessy 1 ⚽ D 8.20
5
R. Poole D 7.30
24
T. Devlin D 7.00
21
A. Dozzell M 7.00
7 M. Pack M. Pack M 7.20
27
M. Alli M 7.20
8
J. Swift 71' M 7.00
10
A. Segecic 1 👟 85' M 6.20
9
C. Bishop 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
29
H. Blair F
17
I. Bowat 1' D
40
Jacob Brown 10' F 6.60
26
J. Bursik G
37
K. Anderson 24' M 6.90
16
L. Le Roux M
55
M. Dia D
Ipswich Ipswich 4-2-3-1
28
G 6.90
24
J. Greaves D 6.30
4
C. Kipre D 7.20
26
D 7.90
19 D. Furlong D. Furlong 58' D 5.60
6
D. Neil 71' M 6.90
5
A. Matusiwa 58' M 6.70
47 J. Clarke J. Clarke 71' M 6.30
32 M. Núñez M. Núñez M 6.20
20
K. McAteer 58' M 6.50
9 G. Hirst G. Hirst F 6.30
Bench
33
A. Mehmeti 37' M 6.90
18
B. Johnson 37' D 7.00
31
I. Azon F
11 J. Philogene J. Philogene 37' F 6.70
14
J. Taylor M
Best on the pitch
C. Shaughnessy
D · Portsmouth
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 40 pass
D · Ipswich
7.90
1 shots · 56 pass
C. Bishop
F · Portsmouth
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 25 pass
R. Poole
D · Portsmouth
7.30
· 35 pass
J. Williams
D · Portsmouth
7.20
· 23 pass
M. Pack
M. Pack
M · Portsmouth
7.20
1 shots · 40 pass
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.90 50 20%
J. Williams D 95 7.20 23 18% 2
C. Shaughnessy D 95 8.20 1 1 40 33% 3
R. Poole D 95 7.30 35 27% 1
T. Devlin D 95 7.00 30 23% 3 1
A. Dozzell M 95 7.00 31 26%
M. Pack M 95 7.20 1 40 35% 1 1
M. Alli M 94 7.20 1 18 12%
J. Swift M 71 7.00 3 14 13% 1
A. Segecic M 85 6.20 1 2 22 18%
C. Bishop F 95 7.50 1 1 25 15%
I. Bowat D 1
Jacob Brown F 10 6.60 1 1% 2
K. Anderson M 24 6.90 7 6%
Ipswich Ipswich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.90 46 38%
J. Greaves D 95 6.30 56 49%
C. Kipre D 95 7.20 61 56% 1
D 95 7.90 1 56 50% 1
D. Furlong D 58 5.60 41 32%
D. Neil M 71 6.90 1 36 32% 2
A. Matusiwa M 58 6.70 33 27% 1
J. Clarke M 71 6.30 23 18% 1
M. Núñez M 95 6.20 1 42 34% 1
K. McAteer M 58 6.50 16 14% 1
G. Hirst F 95 6.30 1 16 9%
A. Mehmeti M 37 6.90 1 11 10% 2
B. Johnson D 37 7.00 18 15% 1
J. Philogene F 37 6.70 1 12 10% 1 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Ipswich?
The final score was Portsmouth 2–0 Ipswich.
What did the model predict before Portsmouth vs Ipswich?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Portsmouth win, 25% to a draw, and 50% to an Ipswich win.