✗Model wrong — prediction Ipswich, result Portsmouth wins
C. Shaughnessy
(ast. A. Segecic)
42'
C. Bishop
44'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ipswich a 50% win probability (draw 25%, Portsmouth 23%). The final result was Portsmouth 2–0 Ipswich. In 1 previous meetings, Portsmouth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ipswich.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
1.70
Actual xG
0.78
2
Saves
1
41%
Possession
59%
3
Corners
7
13
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Pack
35'
⚽C. Shaughnessy
· ast. A. Segecic
42'
⚽C. Bishop
44'
58'
A. Mehmeti
/
A. Matusiwa
58'
B. Johnson
/
D. Furlong
58'
J. Philogene
/
K. McAteer
J. Swift
/ K. Anderson
71'
71'
S. W. Egeli
/
J. Clarke
71'
C. Akpom
/
D. Neil
81'
M. Nunez
T. Devlin
82'
A. Segecic
/ J. Brown
85'
90'+1
J. Philogene
M. Alli
/ I. Bowat
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
23.87%
Portsmouth ←
25.6%
X
50.53%
Ipswich
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Portsmouth)
23.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.76
1.70
+0.94
1.64
0.78
-0.86
Portsmouth dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.78).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
2
J. Williams
D
6
C. Shaughnessy
1 ⚽
D
5
R. Poole
D
24
T. Devlin
D
T. Devlin
D
21
Andre Dozzell
M
Andre Dozzell
M
7
M. Pack
M
M. Pack
M
27
Millenic Alli
M
Millenic Alli
M
8
J. Swift
71'
M
10
A. Segecic
1 👟
85'
M
9
C. Bishop
1 ⚽
F
Bench
29
H. Blair
F
17
I. Bowat
1'
D
40
Jacob Brown
10'
F
26
J. Bursik
G
37
K. Anderson
24'
M
16
L. Le Roux
M
55
M. Dia
D
28
G
24
J. Greaves
D
4
C. Kipre
D
26
D
19
D. Furlong
58'
D
D. Furlong
58'
D
6
D. Neil
71'
M
5
A. Matusiwa
58'
M
47
J. Clarke
71'
M
J. Clarke
71'
M
32
M. Núñez
M
M. Núñez
M
20
K. McAteer
58'
M
9
George Hirst
F
George Hirst
F
Bench
33
Anis Mehmeti
37'
M
Anis Mehmeti
37'
M
18
B. Johnson
37'
D
31
I. Azon
F
11
J. Philogene
37'
F
J. Philogene
37'
F
14
J. Taylor
M
Best on the pitch
C. Shaughnessy
D · Portsmouth
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 40 pass
D · Ipswich
7.90
1 shots
· 56 pass
C. Bishop
F · Portsmouth
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
R. Poole
D · Portsmouth
7.30
· 35 pass
J. Williams
D · Portsmouth
7.20
· 23 pass
M. Pack
M · Portsmouth
7.20
1 shots
· 40 pass
Portsmouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| J. Williams | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Shaughnessy | D | 95 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Poole | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Devlin | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Andre Dozzell | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Pack | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Millenic Alli | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Swift | M | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Segecic | M | 85 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| C. Bishop | F | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| I. Bowat | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Brown | F | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Anderson | M | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Ipswich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | — | — | — | |
| J. Greaves | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 49% | — | — | — |
| C. Kipre | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 50% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Furlong | D | 58 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | — | — | — |
| D. Neil | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Matusiwa | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Clarke | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Núñez | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| K. McAteer | M | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| George Hirst | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Anis Mehmeti | M | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Johnson | D | 37 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Philogene | F | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Ipswich?
The final score was Portsmouth 2–0 Ipswich.
What did the model predict before Portsmouth vs Ipswich?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Portsmouth win, 25% to a draw, and 50% to an Ipswich win.