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#11 · 18 pts
2 – 0
Final score
✗Model wrong — prediction Ipswich, result Portsmouth wins
C. Shaughnessy (ast. A. Segecic) 42'
C. Bishop 44'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ipswich a 50% win probability (draw 25%, Portsmouth 23%). The final result was Portsmouth 2–0 Ipswich. In 1 previous meetings, Portsmouth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ipswich.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
1.70
Actual xG
0.78
2
Saves
1
41%
Possession
59%
3
Corners
7
13
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Pack
35'
⚽C. Shaughnessy · ast. A. Segecic
42'
⚽C. Bishop
44'
58'
A. Mehmeti / A. Matusiwa ↕
58'
B. Johnson / D. Furlong ↕
58'
J. Philogene / K. McAteer ↕
↕ J. Swift / K. Anderson
71'
71'
S. W. Egeli / J. Clarke ↕
71'
C. Akpom / D. Neil ↕
81'
M. Nunez
T. Devlin
82'
↕ A. Segecic / J. Brown
85'
90'+1
J. Philogene
↕ M. Alli / I. Bowat
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
23.87%
Portsmouth ←
25.6%
X
50.53%
Ipswich
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Portsmouth) 23.87% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Portsmouth
0.76
1.70
+0.94
Ipswich
1.64
0.78
-0.86
Portsmouth dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.78). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
2 J. Williams J. Williams D 7.20
6 C. Shaughnessy C. Shaughnessy 1 ⚽ D 8.20
5 R. Poole R. Poole D 7.30
24 T. Devlin T. Devlin D 7.00
21 A. Dozzell A. Dozzell M 7.00
7 M. Pack M. Pack M 7.20
27 M. Alli M. Alli M 7.20
8 J. Swift J. Swift 71' M 7.00
10 A. Segecic A. Segecic 1 👟 85' M 6.20
9 C. Bishop C. Bishop 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
29 H. Blair H. Blair F
17 I. Bowat I. Bowat 1' D
40 J. Brown J. Brown 10' F 6.60
26 J. Bursik J. Bursik G
37 K. Anderson K. Anderson 24' M 6.90
16 Luke Le Roux Luke Le Roux M
55 M. Dia M. Dia D
Ipswich Ipswich 4-2-3-1
28
G 6.90
24 J. Greaves J. Greaves D 6.30
4 C. Kipré C. Kipré D 7.20
26
D 7.90
19 D. Furlong D. Furlong 58' D 5.60
6 D. Neil D. Neil 71' M 6.90
5 A. Matusiwa A. Matusiwa 58' M 6.70
47 J. Clarke J. Clarke 71' M 6.30
32 M. Núñez M. Núñez M 6.20
20 K. McAteer K. McAteer 58' M 6.50
9 G. Hirst G. Hirst F 6.30
Bench
33 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti 37' M 6.90
18 B. Johnson B. Johnson 37' D 7.00
31 Iván Azón Iván Azón F
11 J. Philogene J. Philogene 37' F 6.70
14
J. Taylor M
Best on the pitch
C. Shaughnessy
C. Shaughnessy
D · Portsmouth
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 40 pass
D · Ipswich
7.90
1 shots · 56 pass
C. Bishop
C. Bishop
F · Portsmouth
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 25 pass
R. Poole
R. Poole
D · Portsmouth
7.30
· 35 pass
J. Williams
J. Williams
D · Portsmouth
7.20
· 23 pass
M. Pack
M. Pack
M · Portsmouth
7.20
1 shots · 40 pass
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.90 — — — 50 20% — — —
J. Williams D 95 7.20 — — — 23 18% 2 — —
C. Shaughnessy D 95 8.20 1 — 1 40 33% 3 — —
R. Poole D 95 7.30 — — — 35 27% 1 — —
T. Devlin D 95 7.00 — — — 30 23% 3 1 —
A. Dozzell M 95 7.00 — — — 31 26% — — —
M. Pack M 95 7.20 — — 1 40 35% 1 1 —
M. Alli M 94 7.20 — — 1 18 12% — — —
J. Swift M 71 7.00 — — 3 14 13% 1 — —
A. Segecic M 85 6.20 — 1 2 22 18% — — —
C. Bishop F 95 7.50 1 — 1 25 15% — — —
I. Bowat D 1 — — — — — — — — —
J. Brown F 10 6.60 — — — 1 1% 2 — —
K. Anderson M 24 6.90 — — — 7 6% — — —
Ipswich Ipswich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.90 — — — 46 38% — — —
J. Greaves D 95 6.30 — — — 56 49% — — —
C. Kipré D 95 7.20 — — — 61 56% 1 — —
D 95 7.90 — — 1 56 50% 1 — —
D. Furlong D 58 5.60 — — — 41 32% — — —
D. Neil M 71 6.90 — — 1 36 32% 2 — —
A. Matusiwa M 58 6.70 — — — 33 27% 1 — —
J. Clarke M 71 6.30 — — — 23 18% 1 — —
M. Núñez M 95 6.20 — — 1 42 34% — 1 —
K. McAteer M 58 6.50 — — — 16 14% 1 — —
G. Hirst F 95 6.30 — — 1 16 9% — — —
A. Mehmeti M 37 6.90 — — 1 11 10% 2 — —
B. Johnson D 37 7.00 — — — 18 15% 1 — —
J. Philogene F 37 6.70 — — 1 12 10% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Ipswich?
The final score was Portsmouth 2–0 Ipswich.
What did the model predict before Portsmouth vs Ipswich?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Portsmouth win, 25% to a draw, and 50% to an Ipswich win.