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Championship · Regular Season - 43 April 18, 2026 13:30
Portsmouth
#18 · 55 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Leicester
#23 · 46 pts
I. Bowat (ast. A. Segecic) 63'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portsmouth a 38% win probability (draw 33%, Leicester 27%). The final result was Portsmouth 1–0 Leicester. In 1 previous meetings, Portsmouth have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Leicester.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
3
0.78
Actual xG
1.04
3
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
7
14
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
↕ K. Anderson / A. Segecic
8'
↕ T. Devlin / I. Bowat
17'
⚽I. Bowat · ast. A. Segecic
63'
70'
H. Choudhury
70'
J. James / H. Choudhury ↕
71'
D. Mukasa / S. Mavididi ↕
75'
P. Daka
76'
J. Ayew / B. De Cordova-Reid ↕
↕ A. Segecic / J. Brown
77'
↕ C. Chaplin / E. Adams
77'
90'+1
O. Aluko / R. Pereira ↕
J. Brown
90'+2
M. Pack
90'
90'
J. Ayew
Pre-match prediction
38.38%
Portsmouth ←
33.73%
X
27.89%
Leicester
we assigned to the actual result (Portsmouth) 38.38% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Portsmouth
0.86
0.78
-0.08
Leicester
0.98
1.04
+0.07
xG dominance was balanced (0.78 – 1.04). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.60
2
J. Williams D 6.90
6
C. Shaughnessy D 7.70
5
R. Poole D 7.00
24
T. Devlin 17' D 7.00
21
A. Dozzell M 7.20
7 M. Pack M. Pack M 7.20
37
K. Anderson 8' M 6.30
36
C. Chaplin 77' M 6.30
27
M. Alli M 6.30
9
C. Bishop F 7.30
Bench
10
A. Segecic 1 👟 69' M 7.20
38
E. Adams 19' M 6.50
29
H. Blair F
17
I. Bowat 1 ⚽ 79' D 8.20
40
Jacob Brown 19' F 6.70
26
J. Bursik G
8
J. Swift M
55
M. Dia D
Leicester Leicester 4-2-3-1
31
G 6.30
33 L. Thomas L. Thomas D 6.50
23
J. Vestergaard D 6.60
24
J. Lascelles D 6.60
21
R. Pereira D 7.30
8
H. Winks M 7.20
17
H. Choudhury 70' M 6.50
10
S. Mavididi 71' M 6.20
14 B. De Cordova-Reid B. De Cordova-Reid 76' M 6.30
7 A. Fatawu A. Fatawu M 6.90
20
P. Daka F 5.60
Bench
29
D. Mukasa 25' M 6.70
15
H. Souttar D
9
J. Ayew 20' F 6.60
6 J. James J. James 26' M 6.60
28
J. Monga M
22
O. Skipp M
Best on the pitch
I. Bowat
D · Portsmouth
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
C. Shaughnessy
D · Portsmouth
7.70
· 28 pass
G · Portsmouth
7.60
· 35 pass
R. Pereira
D · Leicester
7.30
· 40 pass
C. Bishop
F · Portsmouth
7.30
1 shots · 19 pass
H. Winks
M · Leicester
7.20
· 29 pass
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 7.60 — — — 35 16% — — —
J. Williams D 96 6.90 — — — 20 14% 3 — —
C. Shaughnessy D 96 7.70 — — — 28 21% 2 — —
R. Poole D 96 7.00 — — 1 27 19% 1 — —
T. Devlin D 17 7.00 — — — 4 4% 2 — —
A. Dozzell M 96 7.20 — — — 28 18% 2 — —
M. Pack M 96 7.20 — — — 36 21% — 1 —
K. Anderson M 8 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
C. Chaplin M 77 6.30 — — 2 25 15% 1 — —
M. Alli M 96 6.30 — — — 8 3% 1 — —
C. Bishop F 96 7.30 — — 1 19 9% 1 — —
A. Segecic M 69 7.20 — 1 1 8 8% — — —
E. Adams M 19 6.50 — — — 4 1% — — —
I. Bowat D 79 8.20 1 — 1 19 11% 1 — —
Jacob Brown F 19 6.70 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
Leicester Leicester — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.30 — — — 31 12% — — —
L. Thomas D 96 6.50 — — — 31 19% 1 — —
J. Vestergaard D 96 6.60 — — — 32 23% 1 — —
J. Lascelles D 96 6.60 — — — 27 25% — — —
R. Pereira D 91 7.30 — — — 40 21% 7 — —
H. Winks M 96 7.20 — — — 29 23% 1 — —
H. Choudhury M 70 6.50 — — 1 18 6% — 1 —
S. Mavididi M 71 6.20 — — 1 8 6% 1 — —
B. De Cordova-Reid M 76 6.30 — — 2 18 15% — — —
A. Fatawu M 96 6.90 — — — 29 22% — — —
P. Daka F 96 5.60 — — 3 16 9% — 1 —
D. Mukasa M 25 6.70 — — 1 8 6% — — —
J. Ayew F 20 6.60 — — — 2 2% — 1 —
J. James M 26 6.60 — — — 7 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Leicester?
The final score was Portsmouth 1–0 Leicester.
What did the model predict before Portsmouth vs Leicester?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Portsmouth win, 33% to a draw, and 27% to an Leicester win.