I. Bowat
(ast. A. Segecic)
63'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portsmouth a 38% win probability (draw 33%, Leicester 27%). The final result was Portsmouth 1–0 Leicester. In 1 previous meetings, Portsmouth have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Leicester.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
3
0.78
Actual xG
1.04
3
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
7
14
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
K. Anderson
/ A. Segecic
8'
T. Devlin
/ I. Bowat
17'
⚽I. Bowat
· ast. A. Segecic
63'
70'
H. Choudhury
70'
J. James
/
H. Choudhury
71'
D. Mukasa
/
S. Mavididi
75'
P. Daka
76'
J. Ayew
/
B. De Cordova-Reid
A. Segecic
/ J. Brown
77'
C. Chaplin
/ E. Adams
77'
90'+1
O. Aluko
/
R. Pereira
J. Brown
90'+2
M. Pack
90'
90'
J. Ayew
Pre-match prediction
38.38%
Portsmouth ←
33.73%
X
27.89%
Leicester
we assigned to the actual result (Portsmouth)
38.38%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.86
0.78
-0.08
0.98
1.04
+0.07
xG dominance was balanced (0.78 – 1.04).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
2
J. Williams
D
6
C. Shaughnessy
D
5
R. Poole
D
24
T. Devlin
17'
D
T. Devlin
17'
D
21
A. Dozzell
M
7
M. Pack
M
M. Pack
M
37
K. Anderson
8'
M
36
C. Chaplin
77'
M
27
Millenic Alli
M
Millenic Alli
M
9
C. Bishop
F
Bench
10
A. Segecic
1 👟
69'
M
38
E. Adams
19'
M
E. Adams
19'
M
29
H. Blair
F
17
I. Bowat
1 ⚽
79'
D
40
Jacob Brown
19'
F
26
J. Bursik
G
8
J. Swift
M
55
M. Dia
D
31
G
33
L. Thomas
D
L. Thomas
D
23
J. Vestergaard
D
24
J. Lascelles
D
21
R. Pereira
D
8
H. Winks
M
17
Hamza Choudhury
70'
M
10
S. Mavididi
71'
M
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
76'
M
B. De Cordova-Reid
76'
M
7
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
M
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
M
20
P. Daka
F
Bench
29
D. Mukasa
25'
M
15
H. Souttar
D
H. Souttar
D
6
J. James
26'
M
J. James
26'
M
28
J. Monga
M
9
Jordan Ayew
20'
F
Jordan Ayew
20'
F
22
O. Skipp
M
Best on the pitch
I. Bowat
D · Portsmouth
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
C. Shaughnessy
D · Portsmouth
7.70
· 28 pass
G · Portsmouth
7.60
· 35 pass
R. Pereira
D · Leicester
7.30
· 40 pass
C. Bishop
F · Portsmouth
7.30
1 shots
· 19 pass
H. Winks
M · Leicester
7.20
· 29 pass
Portsmouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| J. Williams | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Shaughnessy | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Poole | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Devlin | D | 17 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Dozzell | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Pack | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Anderson | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| C. Chaplin | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Millenic Alli | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Bishop | F | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Segecic | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Adams | M | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| I. Bowat | D | 79 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Brown | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Leicester — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| L. Thomas | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Vestergaard | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lascelles | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| R. Pereira | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 21% | 7 | — | — |
| H. Winks | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Hamza Choudhury | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Mavididi | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| B. De Cordova-Reid | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Abdul Fatawu Issahaku | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| P. Daka | F | 96 | 5.60 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Mukasa | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. James | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Ayew | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Leicester?
The final score was Portsmouth 1–0 Leicester.
What did the model predict before Portsmouth vs Leicester?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Portsmouth win, 33% to a draw, and 27% to an Leicester win.