I. Bowat
(ast. A. Segecic)
63'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portsmouth a 38% win probability (draw 33%, Leicester 27%). The final result was Portsmouth 1–0 Leicester. In 1 previous meetings, Portsmouth have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Leicester.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
3
0.78
Actual xG
1.04
3
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
7
14
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
K. Anderson
/ A. Segecic
8'
T. Devlin
/ I. Bowat
17'
⚽I. Bowat
· ast. A. Segecic
63'
70'
H. Choudhury
70'
J. James
/
H. Choudhury
71'
D. Mukasa
/
S. Mavididi
75'
P. Daka
76'
J. Ayew
/
B. De Cordova-Reid
A. Segecic
/ J. Brown
77'
C. Chaplin
/ E. Adams
77'
90'+1
O. Aluko
/
R. Pereira
J. Brown
90'+2
M. Pack
90'
90'
J. Ayew
Pre-match prediction
38.38%
Portsmouth ←
33.73%
X
27.89%
Leicester
we assigned to the actual result (Portsmouth)
38.38%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.86
0.78
-0.08
0.98
1.04
+0.07
xG dominance was balanced (0.78 – 1.04).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
2
J. Williams
D
J. Williams
D
6
C. Shaughnessy
D
C. Shaughnessy
D
5
R. Poole
D
R. Poole
D
24
T. Devlin
17'
D
T. Devlin
17'
D
21
A. Dozzell
M
A. Dozzell
M
7
M. Pack
M
M. Pack
M
37
K. Anderson
8'
M
36
C. Chaplin
77'
M
C. Chaplin
77'
M
27
M. Alli
M
M. Alli
M
9
C. Bishop
F
C. Bishop
F
Bench
10
A. Segecic
1 👟
69'
M
A. Segecic
1 👟
69'
M
38
E. Adams
19'
M
E. Adams
19'
M
29
H. Blair
F
H. Blair
F
17
I. Bowat
1 ⚽
79'
D
I. Bowat
1 ⚽
79'
D
40
J. Brown
19'
F
J. Brown
19'
F
26
J. Bursik
G
J. Bursik
G
8
J. Swift
M
J. Swift
M
55
M. Dia
D
M. Dia
D
31
G
33
L. Thomas
D
L. Thomas
D
23
J. Vestergaard
D
24
J. Lascelles
D
21
R. Pereira
D
8
H. Winks
M
H. Winks
M
17
H. Choudhury
70'
M
H. Choudhury
70'
M
10
S. Mavididi
71'
M
S. Mavididi
71'
M
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
76'
M
B. De Cordova-Reid
76'
M
7
A. Fatawu
M
A. Fatawu
M
20
P. Daka
F
P. Daka
F
Bench
29
D. Mukasa
25'
M
D. Mukasa
25'
M
15
H. Souttar
D
H. Souttar
D
9
J. Ayew
20'
F
J. Ayew
20'
F
6
J. James
26'
M
J. James
26'
M
28
J. Monga
M
22
O. Skipp
M
O. Skipp
M
Best on the pitch
I. Bowat
D · Portsmouth
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
C. Shaughnessy
D · Portsmouth
7.70
· 28 pass
G · Portsmouth
7.60
· 35 pass
R. Pereira
D · Leicester
7.30
· 40 pass
C. Bishop
F · Portsmouth
7.30
1 shots
· 19 pass
H. Winks
M · Leicester
7.20
· 29 pass
Portsmouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| J. Williams | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Shaughnessy | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Poole | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Devlin | D | 17 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Dozzell | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Pack | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Anderson | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| C. Chaplin | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Alli | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Bishop | F | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Segecic | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Adams | M | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| I. Bowat | D | 79 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Brown | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Leicester — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| L. Thomas | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Vestergaard | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lascelles | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| R. Pereira | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 21% | 7 | — | — |
| H. Winks | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Choudhury | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Mavididi | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| B. De Cordova-Reid | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Fatawu | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| P. Daka | F | 96 | 5.60 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Mukasa | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Ayew | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| J. James | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Leicester?
The final score was Portsmouth 1–0 Leicester.
What did the model predict before Portsmouth vs Leicester?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Portsmouth win, 33% to a draw, and 27% to an Leicester win.