← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 46 May 02, 2026 13:30
Preston
#14 · 60 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Southampton
#4 · 80 pts
L. Dobbin (ast. D. Cornell) 61'
12' (ast. Welington) T. Harwood-Bellis
47' (ast. C. Archer) R. Stewart
90'+1 (ast. S. Edozie) C. Larin

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 51% win probability (draw 20%, Preston 27%). The final result was Preston 1–3 Southampton. In 1 previous meetings, Preston have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Southampton.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
5
1.72
Actual xG
2.21
0
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
10
Corners
5
9
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Storey
10'
12'
ast. Welington · T. Harwood-Bellis⚽
A. Moran
34'
↕ D. Iversen / D. Cornell
46'
↕ J. Storey / O. Offiah
46'
47'
ast. C. Archer · R. Stewart⚽
↕ D. Jebbison / M. Osmajic
58'
↕ A. Devine / J. Thompson
58'
⚽L. Dobbin · ast. D. Cornell
61'
68'
J. Bree / C. Bragg ↕
68'
C. Larin / R. Stewart ↕
69'
F. Azaz / C. Archer ↕
↕ A. Moran / R. Brady
75'
77'
R. Manning / Welington ↕
81'
F. Azaz
84'
S. Edozie / T. Fellows ↕
90'+1
ast. S. Edozie · C. Larin⚽
A. Vukcevic
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
27.77%
Preston
20.57%
X
51.66%
Southampton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Southampton) 51.66% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Preston
1.53
1.72
+0.19
Southampton
2.25
2.21
-0.04
Southampton dominated by xG (2.21 vs 1.72). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Preston Preston 4-4-2
1
D. Iversen 45' G 6.00
3
A. Vukcevic D 5.90
16
A. Hughes D 7.00
6
Liam Lindsay D 6.70
14
Jordan Storey 45' D 6.20
23
A. Moran 75' M 6.60
21
A. Devine 58' M 7.00
4
B. Whiteman M 7.70
44
B. Potts M 6.50
9
D. Jebbison 58' F 6.00
17 L. Dobbin L. Dobbin 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
15
J. Thompson 37' M 6.30
28
M. Osmajic 37' F 6.30
42
O. Offiah 50' D 6.60
2
P. Valentin D
26
T. Small D
Southampton Southampton 4-2-3-1
41
G 6.90
34 Welington Welington 1 👟 77' D 7.30
15
D 7.00
6 Taylor Harwood-Bellis Taylor Harwood-Bellis 1 ⚽ D 8.30
24 Shea Charles Shea Charles D 7.70
20 Caspar Jander Caspar Jander M 7.20
48 Cameron Bragg Cameron Bragg 68' M 6.90
13 Léo Scienza Léo Scienza M 7.00
19 Cameron Archer Cameron Archer 1 👟 69' M 6.20
18 Tom Fellows Tom Fellows 84' M 7.20
11 Ross Stewart Ross Stewart 1 ⚽ 68' F 8.00
Bench
9 C. Larin C. Larin 1 ⚽ 27' F 6.90
10 F. Azaz F. Azaz 26' M 6.70
14 James Bree James Bree 27' D 6.90
3 Ryan Manning Ryan Manning 18' D 7.20
23 Samuel Edozie Samuel Edozie 1 👟 11' M 8.00
Best on the pitch
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D · Southampton
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 52 pass
L. Dobbin
L. Dobbin
F · Preston
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 28 pass
Samuel Edozie
Samuel Edozie
M · Southampton
8.00
1 👟
· 3 pass
Ross Stewart
Ross Stewart
F · Southampton
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 24 pass
Shea Charles
Shea Charles
D · Southampton
7.70
1 shots · 56 pass
B. Whiteman
M · Preston
7.70
1 shots · 49 pass
Preston Preston — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Iversen G 45 6.00 — — — 12 7% — — —
A. Vukcevic D 95 5.90 — — — 13 11% 1 1 —
A. Hughes D 95 7.00 — — — 44 37% — — —
Liam Lindsay D 95 6.70 — — 2 59 56% 2 — —
Jordan Storey D 45 6.20 — — — 15 13% — 1 —
A. Moran M 75 6.60 — — 1 30 21% 1 1 —
A. Devine M 58 7.00 — — 2 35 30% — — —
B. Whiteman M 95 7.70 — — 1 49 41% 1 — —
B. Potts M 95 6.50 — — 1 26 21% 1 — —
D. Jebbison F 58 6.00 — — — 12 10% — — —
L. Dobbin F 95 8.20 1 — 3 28 24% — — —
J. Thompson M 37 6.30 — — — 19 16% — — —
M. Osmajic F 37 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
O. Offiah D 50 6.60 — — — 11 9% 3 — —
Southampton Southampton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.90 — — — 44 27% — — —
Welington D 77 7.30 — 1 — 39 35% 1 — —
D 95 7.00 — — — 47 45% 2 — —
Taylor Harwood-Bellis D 95 8.30 1 — 1 52 47% 1 — —
Shea Charles D 95 7.70 — — 1 56 46% 3 — —
Caspar Jander M 95 7.20 — — — 53 48% 4 — —
Cameron Bragg M 68 6.90 — — — 51 50% 3 — —
Léo Scienza M 95 7.00 — — 2 42 37% — — —
Cameron Archer M 69 6.20 — 1 2 15 9% 1 — —
Tom Fellows M 84 7.20 — — 1 17 14% — — —
Ross Stewart F 68 8.00 1 — 2 24 19% 1 — —
C. Larin F 27 6.90 1 — 1 2 2% — — —
F. Azaz M 26 6.70 — — — 13 12% — 1 —
James Bree D 27 6.90 — — — 8 8% — — —
Ryan Manning D 18 7.20 — — 1 11 10% — — —
Samuel Edozie M 11 8.00 — 1 — 3 1% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Preston vs Southampton?
The final score was Preston 1–3 Southampton.
What did the model predict before Preston vs Southampton?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Preston win, 20% to a draw, and 51% to an Southampton win.