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Championship · Regular Season - 46 May 02, 2026 13:30 Deepdale, Preston
Preston
#23 · 4 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Southampton
#13 · 10 pts
L. Dobbin (ast. D. Cornell) 61'
12' (ast. Welington) T. Harwood-Bellis
47' (ast. C. Archer) R. Stewart
90'+1 (ast. S. Edozie) C. Larin
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 51% win probability (draw 20%, Preston 27%). The final result was Preston 1–3 Southampton. In 1 previous meetings, Preston have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Southampton.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
5
1.72
Actual xG
2.21
0
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
10
Corners
5
9
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Storey
10'
12'
ast. Welington · T. Harwood-Bellis⚽
A. Moran
34'
↕ D. Iversen / D. Cornell
46'
↕ J. Storey / O. Offiah
46'
47'
ast. C. Archer · R. Stewart⚽
↕ D. Jebbison / M. Osmajic
58'
↕ A. Devine / J. Thompson
58'
⚽L. Dobbin · ast. D. Cornell
61'
68'
J. Bree / C. Bragg ↕
68'
C. Larin / R. Stewart ↕
69'
F. Azaz / C. Archer ↕
↕ A. Moran / R. Brady
75'
77'
R. Manning / Welington ↕
81'
F. Azaz
84'
S. Edozie / T. Fellows ↕
90'+1
ast. S. Edozie · C. Larin⚽
A. Vukcevic
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
27.77%
Preston
20.57%
X
51.66%
Southampton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Southampton) 51.66% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Preston
1.53
1.72
+0.19
Southampton
2.25
2.21
-0.04
Southampton dominated by xG (2.21 vs 1.72). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Swansea Swansea 8 17
2 West Ham West Ham 8 15
3 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 8 15
4 Wolves Wolves 7 14
5 West Brom West Brom 8 14
6 QPR QPR 8 13
7 Stoke City Stoke City 8 13
8 Bristol City Bristol City 8 13
9 Charlton Charlton 8 12
10 Birmingham Birmingham 8 11
11 Millwall Millwall 8 11
12 Lincoln Lincoln 8 11
13 Southampton Southampton 8 10
14 Wrexham Wrexham 8 10
15 Bolton Bolton 8 10
16 Blackburn Blackburn 8 9
17 Norwich Norwich 8 9
18 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 8 9
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth 7 8
20 Watford Watford 8 8
21 Cardiff Cardiff 8 7
22 Derby Derby 8 5
23 Preston Preston 8 4
24 Burnley Burnley 8 4
Lineups
Preston Preston 4-4-2
1 D. Iversen D. Iversen 45' G 6.00
3 A. Vukčević A. Vukčević D 5.90
16 A. Hughes A. Hughes D 7.00
6 L. Lindsay L. Lindsay D 6.70
14 J. Storey J. Storey 45' D 6.20
23 A. Moran A. Moran 75' M 6.60
21 A. Devine A. Devine 58' M 7.00
4 B. Whiteman B. Whiteman M 7.70
44
B. Potts M 6.50
9 Daniel Jebbison Daniel Jebbison 58' F 6.00
17 L. Dobbin L. Dobbin 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
15 J. Thompson J. Thompson 37' M 6.30
28 M. Osmajić M. Osmajić 37' F 6.30
42 O. Offiah O. Offiah 50' D 6.60
2 Pol Valentín Pol Valentín D
26 T. Small T. Small D
Southampton Southampton 4-2-3-1
41
G 6.90
34 Welington Welington 1 👟 77' D 7.30
15
D 7.00
6 T. Harwood-Bellis T. Harwood-Bellis 1 ⚽ D 8.30
24 S. Charles S. Charles D 7.70
20 Caspar Jander Caspar Jander M 7.20
48 Cameron Bragg Cameron Bragg 68' M 6.90
13 Léo Scienza Léo Scienza M 7.00
19 C. Archer C. Archer 1 👟 69' M 6.20
18 T. Fellows T. Fellows 84' M 7.20
11 Ross Stewart Ross Stewart 1 ⚽ 68' F 8.00
Bench
9 Cyle Larin Cyle Larin 1 ⚽ 27' F 6.90
10 F. Azaz F. Azaz 26' M 6.70
14 J. Bree J. Bree 27' D 6.90
3 R. Manning R. Manning 18' D 7.20
23 S. Edozie S. Edozie 1 👟 11' M 8.00
Best on the pitch
T. Harwood-Bellis
T. Harwood-Bellis
D · Southampton
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 52 pass
L. Dobbin
L. Dobbin
F · Preston
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 28 pass
S. Edozie
S. Edozie
M · Southampton
8.00
1 👟
· 3 pass
Ross Stewart
Ross Stewart
F · Southampton
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 24 pass
S. Charles
S. Charles
D · Southampton
7.70
1 shots · 56 pass
B. Whiteman
B. Whiteman
M · Preston
7.70
1 shots · 49 pass
Preston Preston — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Iversen G 45 6.00 — — — 12 7% — — —
A. Vukčević D 95 5.90 — — — 13 11% 1 1 —
A. Hughes D 95 7.00 — — — 44 37% — — —
L. Lindsay D 95 6.70 — — 2 59 56% 2 — —
J. Storey D 45 6.20 — — — 15 13% — 1 —
A. Moran M 75 6.60 — — 1 30 21% 1 1 —
A. Devine M 58 7.00 — — 2 35 30% — — —
B. Whiteman M 95 7.70 — — 1 49 41% 1 — —
B. Potts M 95 6.50 — — 1 26 21% 1 — —
Daniel Jebbison F 58 6.00 — — — 12 10% — — —
L. Dobbin F 95 8.20 1 — 3 28 24% — — —
J. Thompson M 37 6.30 — — — 19 16% — — —
M. Osmajić F 37 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
O. Offiah D 50 6.60 — — — 11 9% 3 — —
Southampton Southampton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.90 — — — 44 27% — — —
Welington D 77 7.30 — 1 — 39 35% 1 — —
D 95 7.00 — — — 47 45% 2 — —
T. Harwood-Bellis D 95 8.30 1 — 1 52 47% 1 — —
S. Charles D 95 7.70 — — 1 56 46% 3 — —
Caspar Jander M 95 7.20 — — — 53 48% 4 — —
Cameron Bragg M 68 6.90 — — — 51 50% 3 — —
Léo Scienza M 95 7.00 — — 2 42 37% — — —
C. Archer M 69 6.20 — 1 2 15 9% 1 — —
T. Fellows M 84 7.20 — — 1 17 14% — — —
Ross Stewart F 68 8.00 1 — 2 24 19% 1 — —
Cyle Larin F 27 6.90 1 — 1 2 2% — — —
F. Azaz M 26 6.70 — — — 13 12% — 1 —
J. Bree D 27 6.90 — — — 8 8% — — —
R. Manning D 18 7.20 — — 1 11 10% — — —
S. Edozie M 11 8.00 — 1 — 3 1% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Preston vs Southampton?
The final score was Preston 1–3 Southampton.
What did the model predict before Preston vs Southampton?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Preston win, 20% to a draw, and 51% to an Southampton win.