L. Dobbin
(ast. D. Cornell)
61'
12'
(ast. Welington)
T. Harwood-Bellis
47'
(ast. C. Archer)
R. Stewart
90'+1
(ast. S. Edozie)
C. Larin
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 51% win probability (draw 20%, Preston 27%). The final result was Preston 1–3 Southampton. In 1 previous meetings, Preston have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Southampton.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
5
1.72
Actual xG
2.21
0
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
10
Corners
5
9
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Storey
10'
12'
ast. Welington ·
T. Harwood-Bellis⚽
A. Moran
34'
D. Iversen
/ D. Cornell
46'
J. Storey
/ O. Offiah
46'
47'
ast. C. Archer ·
R. Stewart⚽
D. Jebbison
/ M. Osmajic
58'
A. Devine
/ J. Thompson
58'
⚽L. Dobbin
· ast. D. Cornell
61'
68'
J. Bree
/
C. Bragg
68'
C. Larin
/
R. Stewart
69'
F. Azaz
/
C. Archer
A. Moran
/ R. Brady
75'
77'
R. Manning
/
Welington
81'
F. Azaz
84'
S. Edozie
/
T. Fellows
90'+1
ast. S. Edozie ·
C. Larin⚽
A. Vukcevic
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
27.77%
Preston
20.57%
X
51.66%
Southampton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Southampton)
51.66%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
1.72
+0.19
2.25
2.21
-0.04
Southampton dominated by xG (2.21 vs 1.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Daniel Iversen
45'
G
Daniel Iversen
45'
G
3
Andrija Vukčević
D
Andrija Vukčević
D
16
Andrew Hughes
D
Andrew Hughes
D
6
Liam Lindsay
D
Liam Lindsay
D
14
Jordan Storey
45'
D
Jordan Storey
45'
D
23
Andrew Moran
75'
M
Andrew Moran
75'
M
21
Alfie Devine
58'
M
Alfie Devine
58'
M
4
Ben Whiteman
M
Ben Whiteman
M
44
B. Potts
M
9
D. Jebbison
58'
F
17
Lewis Dobbin
1 ⚽
F
Lewis Dobbin
1 ⚽
F
Bench
15
Jordan Thompson
37'
M
Jordan Thompson
37'
M
28
Milutin Osmajić
37'
F
Milutin Osmajić
37'
F
42
Odeluga Offiah
50'
D
Odeluga Offiah
50'
D
2
Pol Valentín
D
Pol Valentín
D
26
T. Small
D
41
G
34
Welington
1 👟
77'
D
Welington
1 👟
77'
D
15
D
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
1 ⚽
D
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
1 ⚽
D
24
Shea Charles
D
Shea Charles
D
20
Caspar Jander
M
Caspar Jander
M
48
Cameron Bragg
68'
M
Cameron Bragg
68'
M
13
Leo Scienza
M
Leo Scienza
M
19
Cameron Archer
1 👟
69'
M
Cameron Archer
1 👟
69'
M
18
Tom Fellows
84'
M
Tom Fellows
84'
M
11
Ross Stewart
1 ⚽
68'
F
Ross Stewart
1 ⚽
68'
F
Bench
9
C. Larin
1 ⚽
27'
F
C. Larin
1 ⚽
27'
F
10
F. Azaz
26'
M
F. Azaz
26'
M
14
James Bree
27'
D
James Bree
27'
D
3
R. Manning
18'
D
R. Manning
18'
D
23
Samuel Edozie
1 👟
11'
M
Samuel Edozie
1 👟
11'
M
Best on the pitch
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D · Southampton
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 52 pass
Lewis Dobbin
F · Preston
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
Samuel Edozie
M · Southampton
8.00
1 👟
· 3 pass
Ross Stewart
F · Southampton
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
Shea Charles
D · Southampton
7.70
1 shots
· 56 pass
Ben Whiteman
M · Preston
7.70
1 shots
· 49 pass
Preston — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Iversen | G | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Andrija Vukčević | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Andrew Hughes | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Liam Lindsay | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordan Storey | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Andrew Moran | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alfie Devine | M | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Ben Whiteman | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Potts | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Jebbison | F | 58 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Lewis Dobbin | F | 95 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Thompson | M | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Milutin Osmajić | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Odeluga Offiah | D | 50 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Welington | D | 77 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 45% | 2 | — | — | |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | D | 95 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 52 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Shea Charles | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| Caspar Jander | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| Cameron Bragg | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Leo Scienza | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Cameron Archer | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Tom Fellows | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Ross Stewart | F | 68 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Larin | F | 27 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Azaz | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| James Bree | D | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| R. Manning | D | 18 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Edozie | M | 11 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Preston vs Southampton?
The final score was Preston 1–3 Southampton.
What did the model predict before Preston vs Southampton?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Preston win, 20% to a draw, and 51% to an Southampton win.