Primera División
· Regular Season - 10
April 05, 2026 00:00
24'
L. Angulo
39'
L. Angulo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 42% win probability (draw 26%, Progreso 30%). The final result was Progreso 0–2 Penarol.
Match statistics
Match Events
24'
L. Angulo⚽
Matteo Copelotti
31'
33'
Leonardo Fernández
39'
L. Angulo⚽
M. Martin
/ G. Trasante
46'
S. Viera
/ F. Andueza
46'
A. Paz
/ N. Fernandez
46'
A. Colombino
/ A. Codagnone
58'
65'
K. Rodriguez
/
F. Escobar
65'
F. Batista
/
L. Angulo
M. Copelotti
/ J. Dos Santos
72'
72'
M. Gonzalez
/
G. Togni
72'
A. Hernandez
/
M. Arezo
86'
Eric Remedi
90'+3
Lucas Ferreira
Pre-match prediction
30.19%
Progreso
26.97%
X
42.84%
Penarol ←
we assigned to the actual result (Penarol)
42.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
—
—
1.85
—
—
Lineups
5
Agustin Pinheiro
M
22
A. Paz
M
23
Matteo Copelotti
F
14
Facundo Kidd
D
8
Adrián Colombino
M
17
Facundo de León
M
24
Santiago Viera
M
1
Andrés Mehring
G
15
Mauro Martín
D
3
Federico García
D
13
Hernan Carroso
D
Bench
30
Agustín Codagnone
M
93
Diego Sánchez Richieri
F
6
Federico Andueza
D
16
Gianfranco Trasante
D
25
Jonathan Dos Santos
F
19
J. Silva
F
11
Nahuel López
F
1
G
2
Franco Escobar
D
6
L. Ferreira
D
L. Ferreira
D
15
Maximiliano Olivera
D
21
Jesús Trindade
M
5
E. Remedi
M
77
L. Angulo
2 ⚽
F
10
Leonardo Fernández
M
23
Gastón Togni
M
19
M. Arezo
F
M. Arezo
F
8
Nicolás Fernández
M
Bench
11
Abel Hernández
F
26
A. Madruga
D
9
Facundo Batista
F
80
Franco González
F
14
Kevin Rodríguez
D
25
Matías González
D
29
W. Aguerre
G
Progreso — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustin Pinheiro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Paz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Copelotti | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Kidd | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Colombino | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo de León | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Viera | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Mehring | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauro Martín | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico García | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hernan Carroso | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Franco Escobar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ferreira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximiliano Olivera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Trindade | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Remedi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Angulo | F | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gastón Togni | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Arezo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Progreso vs Penarol?
The final score was Progreso 0–2 Penarol.
What did the model predict before Progreso vs Penarol?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Progreso win, 26% to a draw, and 42% to an Penarol win.