24'
L. Angulo
39'
L. Angulo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 42% win probability (draw 26%, Progreso 30%). The final result was Progreso 0–2 Penarol. In 1 previous meetings, Progreso have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Penarol.
Match statistics
Match Events
24'
L. Angulo⚽
Matteo Copelotti
31'
33'
Leonardo Fernández
39'
L. Angulo⚽
M. Martin
/ G. Trasante
46'
S. Viera
/ F. Andueza
46'
A. Paz
/ N. Fernandez
46'
A. Colombino
/ A. Codagnone
58'
65'
K. Rodriguez
/
F. Escobar
65'
F. Batista
/
L. Angulo
M. Copelotti
/ J. Dos Santos
72'
72'
M. Gonzalez
/
G. Togni
72'
A. Hernandez
/
M. Arezo
86'
Eric Remedi
90'+3
Lucas Ferreira
Pre-match prediction
30.19%
Progreso
26.97%
X
42.84%
Penarol ←
we assigned to the actual result (Penarol)
42.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
—
—
1.85
—
—
Lineups
5
A. Pinheiro
M
22
A. Paz
M
23
M. Copelotti
F
14
Facundo Kidd
D
8
Adrián Colombino
M
17
F. de León
M
24
Santiago Viera
M
1
A. Mehring
G
A. Mehring
G
15
M. Martin
D
3
Federico García
D
13
H. Carroso
D
Bench
30
Agustin Codagnone
M
93
Diego Sánchez Richieri
F
6
Federico Andueza
D
16
G. Trasante
D
19
Joaquin Solleiro
F
25
Jonathan Dos Santos
F
11
N. López
F
1
G
2
F. Escobar
D
F. Escobar
D
6
L. Ferreira
D
15
M. Olivera
D
21
J. Trindade
M
5
E. Remedi
M
77
L. Angulo
2 ⚽
F
10
Leonardo Fernández
M
23
G. Togni
M
G. Togni
M
19
M. Arezo
F
8
N. Fernández
M
Bench
11
A. Hernández
F
26
A. Madruga
D
9
F. Batista
F
80
F. González
F
14
Kevin Rodríguez
D
25
Matías González
D
29
W. Aguerre
G
Progreso — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Pinheiro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Paz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Copelotti | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Kidd | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Colombino | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. de León | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Viera | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Mehring | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Martin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico García | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Carroso | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| F. Escobar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ferreira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Olivera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Trindade | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Remedi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Angulo | F | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Togni | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Arezo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Progreso vs Penarol?
The final score was Progreso 0–2 Penarol.
What did the model predict before Progreso vs Penarol?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Progreso win, 26% to a draw, and 42% to an Penarol win.