Liga MX
· Clausura - 14
April 11, 2026 03:00
71'
I. Diaz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Puebla a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Leon 31%). The final result was Puebla 0–1 Leon. In 1 previous meetings, Puebla have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Leon.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
1
Shots on target
3
0.60
Actual xG
1.31
2
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
8
16
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
21'
S. Barreiro
A. Ramirez
27'
46'
P. Bellon
/
S. Barreiro
60'
D. Arcila
/
F. Beltran Cruz
60'
E. Rodriguez
/
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
E. Gomez
/ E. Lozano
64'
A. Ramirez
/ L. Rey
70'
K. Velasco
/ O. Gonzalez
70'
71'
I. Diaz⚽
77'
B. Colula
/
I. Moreno
I. Moreno
/ B. Garnica
78'
A. Organista
/ A. Araos
79'
J. R. Pachuca Martinez
81'
J. R. Pachuca Martinez
84'
F. Monarrez
85'
90'+1
R. Funes Mori
/
D. Cambindo
Pre-match prediction
40.58%
Puebla
27.61%
X
31.81%
Leon ←
we assigned to the actual result (Leon)
31.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
0.60
-0.69
1.23
1.31
+0.08
Leon dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.60).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
G
192
E. Navarro
D
4
J. Vargas
D
20
J. R. Pachuca Martinez
84'
D
7
F. Monarrez
M
24
A. Organista
79'
M
16
A. Ramirez
70'
M
12
I. Moreno
78'
M
11
E. Gomez
64'
F
26
K. Velasco
70'
F
25
A. Canelo
F
Bench
18
A. Gamarra
M
27
B. Garnica
12'
M
17
E. Lozano
26'
F
23
G
26
S. Reyes
D
21
S. Barreiro
45'
D
2
V. Gauthier
D
7
I. Moreno
77'
D
29
M
20
R. Echeverria
M
11
I. Díaz
1 ⚽
M
I. Díaz
1 ⚽
M
6
Fernando Beltrán
60'
M
8
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
60'
M
27
D. Cambindo
89'
F
Bench
4
B. Colula
13'
D
13
D. Arcila
30'
M
99
E. Rodriguez
30'
M
22
N. Vallejo
F
Best on the pitch
M · Leon
7.70
1 shots
· 32 pass
V. Gauthier
D · Leon
7.50
· 53 pass
G · Puebla
7.30
· 25 pass
E. Navarro
D · Puebla
7.30
· 43 pass
F. Monarrez
M · Puebla
7.30
· 44 pass
B. Garnica
M · Puebla
7.30
· 9 pass
Puebla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| E. Navarro | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Vargas | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. R. Pachuca Martinez | D | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | 1 | 1 |
| F. Monarrez | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Organista | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ramirez | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 4 | 1 | — |
| I. Moreno | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| E. Gomez | F | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Velasco | F | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| A. Canelo | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| B. Garnica | M | 12 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Lozano | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Leon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| S. Reyes | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| S. Barreiro | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| V. Gauthier | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | — | — | — |
| I. Moreno | D | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 30% | 5 | — | — | |
| R. Echeverria | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 57 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Díaz | M | 90 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Beltrán | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. P. Dominguez Chonteco | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Cambindo | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| B. Colula | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Arcila | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| E. Rodriguez | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Puebla vs Leon?
The final score was Puebla 0–1 Leon.
What did the model predict before Puebla vs Leon?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Puebla win, 27% to a draw, and 31% to an Leon win.