71'
I. Diaz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Puebla a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Leon 31%). The final result was Puebla 0–1 Leon. In 2 previous meetings, Puebla have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Leon.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
1
Shots on target
3
0.60
Actual xG
1.31
2
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
8
16
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
21'
S. Barreiro
A. Ramirez
27'
46'
P. Bellon
/
S. Barreiro
60'
D. Arcila
/
F. Beltran Cruz
60'
E. Rodriguez
/
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
E. Gomez
/ E. Lozano
64'
A. Ramirez
/ L. Rey
70'
K. Velasco
/ O. Gonzalez
70'
71'
I. Diaz⚽
77'
B. Colula
/
I. Moreno
I. Moreno
/ B. Garnica
78'
A. Organista
/ A. Araos
79'
J. R. Pachuca Martinez
81'
J. R. Pachuca Martinez
84'
F. Monarrez
85'
90'+1
R. Funes Mori
/
D. Cambindo
Pre-match prediction
40.58%
Puebla
27.61%
X
31.81%
Leon ←
we assigned to the actual result (Leon)
31.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
0.60
-0.69
1.23
1.31
+0.08
Leon dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.60).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
G
192
Eduardo Navarro
D
Eduardo Navarro
D
4
J. Vargas
D
J. Vargas
D
20
J. Pachuca
84'
D
J. Pachuca
84'
D
7
F. Monárrez
M
F. Monárrez
M
24
A. Organista
79'
M
A. Organista
79'
M
16
A. Ramírez
70'
M
A. Ramírez
70'
M
12
I. Moreno
78'
M
I. Moreno
78'
M
11
E. Gómez
64'
F
E. Gómez
64'
F
26
K. Velasco
70'
F
K. Velasco
70'
F
25
A. Canelo
F
A. Canelo
F
Bench
18
Ariel Gamarra
M
Ariel Gamarra
M
27
B. Garnica
12'
M
B. Garnica
12'
M
17
E. Lozano
26'
F
E. Lozano
26'
F
23
G
26
S. Reyes
D
S. Reyes
D
21
Stiven Barreiro
45'
D
Stiven Barreiro
45'
D
2
V. Gauthier
D
7
I. Moreno
77'
D
I. Moreno
77'
D
29
M
20
R. Echeverría
M
R. Echeverría
M
11
I. Díaz
1 ⚽
M
I. Díaz
1 ⚽
M
6
F. Beltrán
60'
M
F. Beltrán
60'
M
8
J. Domínguez
60'
M
J. Domínguez
60'
M
27
D. Cambindo
89'
F
D. Cambindo
89'
F
Bench
4
B. Colula
13'
D
B. Colula
13'
D
13
D. Arcila
30'
M
D. Arcila
30'
M
99
M. Rodríguez
30'
M
M. Rodríguez
30'
M
22
N. Vallejo
F
N. Vallejo
F
Best on the pitch
M · Leon
7.70
1 shots
· 32 pass
V. Gauthier
D · Leon
7.50
· 53 pass
G · Puebla
7.30
· 25 pass
Eduardo Navarro
D · Puebla
7.30
· 43 pass
F. Monárrez
M · Puebla
7.30
· 44 pass
B. Garnica
M · Puebla
7.30
· 9 pass
Puebla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Eduardo Navarro | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Vargas | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. Pachuca | D | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | 1 | 1 |
| F. Monárrez | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Organista | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ramírez | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 4 | 1 | — |
| I. Moreno | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| E. Gómez | F | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Velasco | F | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| A. Canelo | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| B. Garnica | M | 12 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Lozano | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Leon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| S. Reyes | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Stiven Barreiro | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| V. Gauthier | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | — | — | — |
| I. Moreno | D | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 30% | 5 | — | — | |
| R. Echeverría | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 57 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Díaz | M | 90 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| F. Beltrán | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Domínguez | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Cambindo | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| B. Colula | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Arcila | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| M. Rodríguez | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Puebla vs Leon?
The final score was Puebla 0–1 Leon.
What did the model predict before Puebla vs Leon?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Puebla win, 27% to a draw, and 31% to an Leon win.