71'
I. Diaz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Puebla a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Leon 31%). The final result was Puebla 0–1 Leon. In 1 previous meetings, Puebla have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Leon.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
1
Shots on target
3
0.60
Actual xG
1.31
2
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
8
16
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
21'
S. Barreiro
A. Ramirez
27'
46'
P. Bellon
/
S. Barreiro
60'
D. Arcila
/
F. Beltran Cruz
60'
E. Rodriguez
/
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
E. Gomez
/ E. Lozano
64'
A. Ramirez
/ L. Rey
70'
K. Velasco
/ O. Gonzalez
70'
71'
I. Diaz⚽
77'
B. Colula
/
I. Moreno
I. Moreno
/ B. Garnica
78'
A. Organista
/ A. Araos
79'
J. R. Pachuca Martinez
81'
J. R. Pachuca Martinez
84'
F. Monarrez
85'
90'+1
R. Funes Mori
/
D. Cambindo
Pre-match prediction
40.58%
Puebla
27.61%
X
31.81%
Leon ←
we assigned to the actual result (Leon)
31.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
0.60
-0.69
1.23
1.31
+0.08
Leon dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.60).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
G
192
Eduardo Navarro
D
Eduardo Navarro
D
4
Juan Pablo Vargas
D
Juan Pablo Vargas
D
20
J. R. Pachuca Martinez
84'
D
7
Fernando Monarrez
M
Fernando Monarrez
M
24
Alejandro Organista
79'
M
Alejandro Organista
79'
M
16
A. Ramírez
70'
M
A. Ramírez
70'
M
12
I. Moreno
78'
M
I. Moreno
78'
M
11
Emiliano Gómez
64'
F
Emiliano Gómez
64'
F
26
Kevin Velasco
70'
F
Kevin Velasco
70'
F
25
A. Canelo
F
Bench
18
A. Gamarra
M
27
Brayan Garnica
12'
M
Brayan Garnica
12'
M
17
E. Lozano
26'
F
23
G
26
Salvador Reyes
D
Salvador Reyes
D
21
S. Barreiro
45'
D
S. Barreiro
45'
D
2
V. Gauthier
D
7
Iván Moreno
77'
D
Iván Moreno
77'
D
29
M
20
R. Echeverría
M
R. Echeverría
M
11
I. Díaz
1 ⚽
M
I. Díaz
1 ⚽
M
6
Fernando Beltrán
60'
M
Fernando Beltrán
60'
M
8
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
60'
M
27
D. Cambindo
89'
F
D. Cambindo
89'
F
Bench
4
Bryan Colula
13'
D
Bryan Colula
13'
D
13
D. Arcila
30'
M
D. Arcila
30'
M
99
Emilio Rodriguez
30'
M
Emilio Rodriguez
30'
M
22
N. Vallejo
F
N. Vallejo
F
Best on the pitch
M · Leon
7.70
1 shots
· 32 pass
V. Gauthier
D · Leon
7.50
· 53 pass
G · Puebla
7.30
· 25 pass
Eduardo Navarro
D · Puebla
7.30
· 43 pass
Fernando Monarrez
M · Puebla
7.30
· 44 pass
Brayan Garnica
M · Puebla
7.30
· 9 pass
Puebla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Eduardo Navarro | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Juan Pablo Vargas | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. R. Pachuca Martinez | D | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | 1 | 1 |
| Fernando Monarrez | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Alejandro Organista | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ramírez | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 4 | 1 | — |
| I. Moreno | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Emiliano Gómez | F | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Velasco | F | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| A. Canelo | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Brayan Garnica | M | 12 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Lozano | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Leon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Salvador Reyes | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| S. Barreiro | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| V. Gauthier | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Iván Moreno | D | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 30% | 5 | — | — | |
| R. Echeverría | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 57 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Díaz | M | 90 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Beltrán | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. P. Dominguez Chonteco | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Cambindo | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Bryan Colula | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Arcila | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Emilio Rodriguez | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Puebla vs Leon?
The final score was Puebla 0–1 Leon.
What did the model predict before Puebla vs Leon?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Puebla win, 27% to a draw, and 31% to an Leon win.