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Championship · Regular Season - 44 April 21, 2026 20:45
QPR
#15 · 58 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Swansea
#11 · 64 pts
R. Norrington-Davies 90'
2' Ronald
(pen.) 80' Z. Vipotnik

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave QPR a 42% win probability (draw 30%, Swansea 27%). The final result was QPR 1–2 Swansea. In 1 previous meetings, QPR have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Swansea.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
11
1.55
Actual xG
2.61
8
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
5
16
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
Ronald⚽
K. Morgan
23'
↕ K. Poku / P. Smyth
29'
K. Adamson
55'
R. Norrington-Davies
60'
↕ R. Kolli / I. Chair
60'
↕ S. Cook / T. Smith
61'
↕ I. Hayden / N. Madsen
61'
↕ R. Burrell / R. Kone
62'
66'
J. Eom / G. Franco ↕
66'
M. Yalcouye / L. Walta ↕
67'
Z. Vipotnik / A. Idah ↕
73'
J. Ward / S. Parker ↕
76'
L. Cullen / M. Widell ↕
80'
(pen.) Z. Vipotnik⚽
90'+2
Ronald
⚽R. Norrington-Davies
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.26%
QPR
30.28%
X
27.46%
Swansea ←
we assigned to the actual result (Swansea) 27.46% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
QPR
1.22
1.55
+0.33
Swansea
0.93
2.61
+1.68
Swansea dominated by xG (2.61 vs 1.55). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
QPR QPR 4-4-2
13
G 7.50
18
R. Norrington-Davies 1 ⚽ D 7.70
5
S. Cook 61' D 5.90
37
R. Edwards D 7.50
2
K. Adamson D 5.90
17
K. Poku 29' M 6.20
21
K. Morgan M 6.50
15
I. Hayden 61' M 6.70
20
H. Vale M 6.70
16
R. Burrell 62' F 6.20
26
Rayan Kolli 60' F 6.20
Bench
27 A. Mbengue A. Mbengue D
10
I. Chair 30' M 6.90
40
J. Varane M
24
N. Madsen 29' M 6.30
11
Paul Smyth 61' F 7.00
22
Richard Kone 28' F 6.50
Swansea Swansea 4-2-3-1
22
L. Vigouroux G 6.90
14 J. Tymon J. Tymon D 6.30
15
D 7.30
5
B. Cabango D 7.00
41
S. Parker 73' D 7.00
21
L. Walta 67' M 6.90
4
J. Fulton M 6.30
7
M. Widell 76' M 7.20
17
G. Franco 66' M 6.90
35
Ronald 1 ⚽ M 8.30
33
A. Idah 66' F 6.30
Bench
10
J. Eom 24' F 7.90
25
J. Ward 17' D 6.50
20
L. Cullen 14' F 6.20
8
Malick Yalcouyé 23' M 6.60
6 M. Stamenić M. Stamenić M
9 Z. Vipotnik Z. Vipotnik 1 ⚽ 24' F 7.00
Best on the pitch
Ronald
M · Swansea
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 30 pass
J. Eom
F · Swansea
7.90
· 9 pass
R. Norrington-Davies
D · QPR
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 55 pass
G · QPR
7.50
· 33 pass
R. Edwards
D · QPR
7.50
· 80 pass
D · Swansea
7.30
· 93 pass
QPR QPR — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 33 29% — — —
R. Norrington-Davies D 90 7.70 1 — 1 55 44% 4 1 —
S. Cook D 61 5.90 — — — 46 37% 1 — —
R. Edwards D 90 7.50 — — — 80 74% 3 — —
K. Adamson D 90 5.90 — — — 53 42% 3 1 —
K. Poku M 29 6.20 — — — 15 13% 1 — —
K. Morgan M 90 6.50 — — 1 65 52% 1 1 —
I. Hayden M 61 6.70 — — 1 39 30% 1 — —
H. Vale M 90 6.70 — — 2 38 29% 1 — —
R. Burrell F 62 6.20 — — — 7 4% 1 — —
Rayan Kolli F 60 6.20 — — 1 14 11% — — —
I. Chair M 30 6.90 — — — 17 17% — — —
N. Madsen M 29 6.30 — — — 18 16% — — —
Paul Smyth F 61 7.00 — — 3 13 12% — — —
Richard Kone F 28 6.50 — — — 6 4% — — —
Swansea Swansea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Vigouroux G 90 6.90 — — — 44 32% — — —
J. Tymon D 90 6.30 — — 1 47 40% 1 — —
D 90 7.30 — — — 93 72% — — —
B. Cabango D 90 7.00 — — — 88 78% 1 — —
S. Parker D 73 7.00 — — 2 39 36% 2 — —
L. Walta M 67 6.90 — — 2 38 35% 2 — —
J. Fulton M 90 6.30 — — — 57 51% 1 — —
M. Widell M 76 7.20 — — 1 23 20% 1 — —
G. Franco M 66 6.90 — — 1 44 39% 2 — —
Ronald M 90 8.30 1 — 1 30 24% 4 1 —
A. Idah F 66 6.30 — — 2 25 18% — — —
J. Eom F 24 7.90 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
J. Ward D 17 6.50 — — — 8 8% — — —
L. Cullen F 14 6.20 — — 1 2 1% — — —
Malick Yalcouyé M 23 6.60 — — — 12 11% 1 — —
Z. Vipotnik F 24 7.00 1 — 2 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of QPR vs Swansea?
The final score was QPR 1–2 Swansea.
What did the model predict before QPR vs Swansea?
The model assigned 42% probability to a QPR win, 30% to a draw, and 27% to an Swansea win.