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Championship · Regular Season - 44 April 21, 2026 20:45
QPR
#6 · 13 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Swansea
#1 · 17 pts
R. Norrington-Davies 90'
2' Ronald
(pen.) 80' Z. Vipotnik
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave QPR a 42% win probability (draw 30%, Swansea 27%). The final result was QPR 1–2 Swansea. In 1 previous meetings, QPR have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Swansea.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
11
1.55
Actual xG
2.61
8
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
5
16
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
Ronald⚽
K. Morgan
23'
↕ K. Poku / P. Smyth
29'
K. Adamson
55'
R. Norrington-Davies
60'
↕ R. Kolli / I. Chair
60'
↕ S. Cook / T. Smith
61'
↕ I. Hayden / N. Madsen
61'
↕ R. Burrell / R. Kone
62'
66'
J. Eom / G. Franco ↕
66'
M. Yalcouye / L. Walta ↕
67'
Z. Vipotnik / A. Idah ↕
73'
J. Ward / S. Parker ↕
76'
L. Cullen / M. Widell ↕
80'
(pen.) Z. Vipotnik⚽
90'+2
Ronald
⚽R. Norrington-Davies
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.26%
QPR
30.28%
X
27.46%
Swansea ←
we assigned to the actual result (Swansea) 27.46% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
QPR
1.22
1.55
+0.33
Swansea
0.93
2.61
+1.68
Swansea dominated by xG (2.61 vs 1.55). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Swansea Swansea 8 17
2 West Ham West Ham 8 15
3 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 8 15
4 Wolves Wolves 7 14
5 West Brom West Brom 8 14
6 QPR QPR 8 13
7 Stoke City Stoke City 8 13
8 Bristol City Bristol City 8 13
9 Charlton Charlton 8 12
10 Birmingham Birmingham 8 11
11 Millwall Millwall 8 11
12 Lincoln Lincoln 8 11
13 Southampton Southampton 8 10
14 Wrexham Wrexham 8 10
15 Bolton Bolton 8 10
16 Blackburn Blackburn 8 9
17 Norwich Norwich 8 9
18 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 8 9
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth 7 8
20 Watford Watford 8 8
21 Cardiff Cardiff 8 7
22 Derby Derby 8 5
23 Preston Preston 8 4
24 Burnley Burnley 8 4
Lineups
QPR QPR 4-4-2
13
G 7.50
18 R. Norrington-Davies R. Norrington-Davies 1 ⚽ D 7.70
5 S. Cook S. Cook 61' D 5.90
37 R. Edwards R. Edwards D 7.50
2 Kealey Adamson Kealey Adamson D 5.90
17 K. Poku K. Poku 29' M 6.20
21 Kieran Morgan Kieran Morgan M 6.50
15 I. Hayden I. Hayden 61' M 6.70
20 H. Vale H. Vale M 6.70
16 R. Burrell R. Burrell 62' F 6.20
26
Rayan Kolli 60' F 6.20
Bench
27 A. Mbengue A. Mbengue D
10 I. Chair I. Chair 30' M 6.90
40 J. Varane J. Varane M
24 N. Madsen N. Madsen 29' M 6.30
11 P. Smyth P. Smyth 61' F 7.00
22 R. Kone R. Kone 28' F 6.50
Swansea Swansea 4-2-3-1
22 Lawrence Vigouroux Lawrence Vigouroux G 6.90
14 J. Tymon J. Tymon D 6.30
15
D 7.30
5 B. Cabango B. Cabango D 7.00
41 Sam Parker Sam Parker 73' D 7.00
21 L. Walta L. Walta 67' M 6.90
4 J. Fulton J. Fulton M 6.30
7 M. Widell M. Widell 76' M 7.20
17 Gonçalo Franco Gonçalo Franco 66' M 6.90
35 Ronald Ronald 1 ⚽ M 8.30
33 A. Idah A. Idah 66' F 6.30
Bench
10 Eom Ji-Sung Eom Ji-Sung 24' F 7.90
25
J. Ward 17' D 6.50
20 L. Cullen L. Cullen 14' F 6.20
6 M. Stamenić M. Stamenić M
8 M. Yalcouyé M. Yalcouyé 23' M 6.60
9 Z. Vipotnik Z. Vipotnik 1 ⚽ 24' F 7.00
Best on the pitch
Ronald
Ronald
M · Swansea
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 30 pass
Eom Ji-Sung
Eom Ji-Sung
F · Swansea
7.90
· 9 pass
R. Norrington-Davies
R. Norrington-Davies
D · QPR
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 55 pass
G · QPR
7.50
· 33 pass
R. Edwards
R. Edwards
D · QPR
7.50
· 80 pass
D · Swansea
7.30
· 93 pass
QPR QPR — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 33 29% — — —
R. Norrington-Davies D 90 7.70 1 — 1 55 44% 4 1 —
S. Cook D 61 5.90 — — — 46 37% 1 — —
R. Edwards D 90 7.50 — — — 80 74% 3 — —
Kealey Adamson D 90 5.90 — — — 53 42% 3 1 —
K. Poku M 29 6.20 — — — 15 13% 1 — —
Kieran Morgan M 90 6.50 — — 1 65 52% 1 1 —
I. Hayden M 61 6.70 — — 1 39 30% 1 — —
H. Vale M 90 6.70 — — 2 38 29% 1 — —
R. Burrell F 62 6.20 — — — 7 4% 1 — —
Rayan Kolli F 60 6.20 — — 1 14 11% — — —
I. Chair M 30 6.90 — — — 17 17% — — —
N. Madsen M 29 6.30 — — — 18 16% — — —
P. Smyth F 61 7.00 — — 3 13 12% — — —
R. Kone F 28 6.50 — — — 6 4% — — —
Swansea Swansea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lawrence Vigouroux G 90 6.90 — — — 44 32% — — —
J. Tymon D 90 6.30 — — 1 47 40% 1 — —
D 90 7.30 — — — 93 72% — — —
B. Cabango D 90 7.00 — — — 88 78% 1 — —
Sam Parker D 73 7.00 — — 2 39 36% 2 — —
L. Walta M 67 6.90 — — 2 38 35% 2 — —
J. Fulton M 90 6.30 — — — 57 51% 1 — —
M. Widell M 76 7.20 — — 1 23 20% 1 — —
Gonçalo Franco M 66 6.90 — — 1 44 39% 2 — —
Ronald M 90 8.30 1 — 1 30 24% 4 1 —
A. Idah F 66 6.30 — — 2 25 18% — — —
Eom Ji-Sung F 24 7.90 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
J. Ward D 17 6.50 — — — 8 8% — — —
L. Cullen F 14 6.20 — — 1 2 1% — — —
M. Yalcouyé M 23 6.60 — — — 12 11% 1 — —
Z. Vipotnik F 24 7.00 1 — 2 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of QPR vs Swansea?
The final score was QPR 1–2 Swansea.
What did the model predict before QPR vs Swansea?
The model assigned 42% probability to a QPR win, 30% to a draw, and 27% to an Swansea win.