Championship
· Regular Season - 44
April 21, 2026 20:45
R. Norrington-Davies
90'
2'
Ronald
(pen.)
80'
Z. Vipotnik
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave QPR a 42% win probability (draw 30%, Swansea 27%). The final result was QPR 1–2 Swansea. In 1 previous meetings, QPR have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Swansea.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
11
1.55
Actual xG
2.61
8
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
5
16
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
Ronald⚽
K. Morgan
23'
K. Poku
/ P. Smyth
29'
K. Adamson
55'
R. Norrington-Davies
60'
R. Kolli
/ I. Chair
60'
S. Cook
/ T. Smith
61'
I. Hayden
/ N. Madsen
61'
R. Burrell
/ R. Kone
62'
66'
J. Eom
/
G. Franco
66'
M. Yalcouye
/
L. Walta
67'
Z. Vipotnik
/
A. Idah
73'
J. Ward
/
S. Parker
76'
L. Cullen
/
M. Widell
80'
(pen.)
Z. Vipotnik⚽
90'+2
Ronald
⚽R. Norrington-Davies
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.26%
QPR
30.28%
X
27.46%
Swansea ←
we assigned to the actual result (Swansea)
27.46%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.22
1.55
+0.33
0.93
2.61
+1.68
Swansea dominated by xG (2.61 vs 1.55).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
18
Rhys Norrington-Davies
1 ⚽
D
Rhys Norrington-Davies
1 ⚽
D
5
S. Cook
61'
D
37
R. Edwards
D
2
K. Adamson
D
17
K. Poku
29'
M
21
K. Morgan
M
15
Isaac Hayden
61'
M
20
H. Vale
M
16
R. Burrell
62'
F
26
Rayan Kolli
60'
F
Bench
27
A. Mbengue
D
A. Mbengue
D
10
I. Chair
30'
M
40
J. Varane
M
24
N. Madsen
29'
M
11
Paul Smyth
61'
F
Paul Smyth
61'
F
22
Richard Kone
28'
F
22
Lawrence Vigouroux
G
Lawrence Vigouroux
G
14
J. Tymon
D
J. Tymon
D
15
D
5
B. Cabango
D
41
S. Parker
73'
D
21
Leo Walta
67'
M
Leo Walta
67'
M
4
J. Fulton
M
7
M. Widell
76'
M
17
G. Franco
66'
M
35
Ronald
1 ⚽
M
33
Adam Idah
66'
F
Adam Idah
66'
F
Bench
10
Ji-sung Eom
24'
F
Ji-sung Eom
24'
F
25
J. Ward
17'
D
20
L. Cullen
14'
F
8
Malick Yalcouyé
23'
M
6
M. Stamenić
M
M. Stamenić
M
9
Z. Vipotnik
1 ⚽
24'
F
Z. Vipotnik
1 ⚽
24'
F
Best on the pitch
Ronald
M · Swansea
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
Ji-sung Eom
F · Swansea
7.90
· 9 pass
Rhys Norrington-Davies
D · QPR
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 55 pass
G · QPR
7.50
· 33 pass
R. Edwards
D · QPR
7.50
· 80 pass
D · Swansea
7.30
· 93 pass
QPR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| Rhys Norrington-Davies | D | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 55 | 44% | 4 | 1 | — |
| S. Cook | D | 61 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Edwards | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 80 | 74% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Adamson | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 42% | 3 | 1 | — |
| K. Poku | M | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Morgan | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Isaac Hayden | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Vale | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Burrell | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Rayan Kolli | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| I. Chair | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| N. Madsen | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Paul Smyth | F | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Richard Kone | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Swansea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Vigouroux | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 32% | — | — | — |
| J. Tymon | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 93 | 72% | — | — | — | |
| B. Cabango | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 88 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Parker | D | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Leo Walta | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Fulton | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Widell | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Franco | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Ronald | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Adam Idah | F | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ji-sung Eom | F | 24 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ward | D | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Cullen | F | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Malick Yalcouyé | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Vipotnik | F | 24 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of QPR vs Swansea?
The final score was QPR 1–2 Swansea.
What did the model predict before QPR vs Swansea?
The model assigned 42% probability to a QPR win, 30% to a draw, and 27% to an Swansea win.