← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 40 April 03, 2026 16:00
QPR
#15 · 58 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Watford
#16 · 57 pts
R. Kolli (ast. P. Smyth) 26'
P. Smyth 63'
85' I. Louza

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave QPR a 38% win probability (draw 26%, Watford 34%). The final result was QPR 2–1 Watford. In 1 previous meetings, QPR have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Watford.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
3
2.40
Actual xG
0.34
2
Saves
6
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
3
11
Tackles
14
6
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
23'
Edoardo Bove
⚽R. Kolli · ast. P. Smyth
26'
Rayan Kolli
29'
Jimmy Dunne
30'
↕ R. Kolli / D. Bennie
46'
49'
Pierre Ekwah
57'
N. Mendy / P. Ekwah ↕
57'
M. Doumbia / N. Irankunda ↕
57'
A. Nabizada / E. Bove ↕
Paul Smyth
61'
62'
Saba Goglichidze
⚽P. Smyth
63'
↕ P. Smyth / K. Saito
72'
73'
K. Baah / G. Chakvetadze ↕
↕ H. Vale / K. Poku
79'
Richard Kone
84'
85'
V. Semedo / S. Goglichidze ↕
85'
I. Louza⚽
Amadou Salif Mbengue
87'
Kwame Poku
90'+1
90'+1
Imrân Louza
Pre-match prediction
38.33%
QPR ←
26.89%
X
34.78%
Watford
we assigned to the actual result (QPR) 38.33% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
QPR
1.16
2.40
+1.24
Watford
1.49
0.34
-1.15
QPR dominated by xG (2.40 vs 0.34). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
QPR QPR 4-4-2
13
G 6.50
18
R. Norrington-Davies D 7.30
37
R. Edwards D 6.90
3
Jimmy Dunne D 7.00
27 A. Mbengue A. Mbengue D 6.20
11
Paul Smyth 1 ⚽ 1 👟 72' M 9.70
40
J. Varane M 7.00
21
K. Morgan M 6.90
20
H. Vale 79' M 7.20
26
Rayan Kolli 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.00
22
Richard Kone F 6.00
Bench
23
D. Bennie 45' F 5.90
15
I. Hayden M
6
J. Clarke-Salter D
2
K. Adamson D
17
K. Poku 11' M 6.20
5
S. Cook D
Watford Watford 4-4-2
1
E. Selvik G 7.50
29
J. Petris D 6.60
3
Saba Goglichidze 85' D 6.30
6
M. Pollock D 6.30
4
D 6.90
8
G. Chakvetadze 72' M 6.70
17
P. Ekwah 57' M 6.30
15
E. Bove 57' M 5.90
66 N. Irankunda N. Irankunda 57' M 6.50
10 I. Louza I. Louza 1 ⚽ F 8.00
9
L. Kjerrumgaard F 6.20
Bench
20
M. Doumbia 33' F 6.70
23
N. Mendy 33' M 7.00
Best on the pitch
Paul Smyth
M · QPR
9.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 13 pass
I. Louza
I. Louza
F · Watford
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 49 pass
E. Selvik
G · Watford
7.50
· 36 pass
R. Norrington-Davies
D · QPR
7.30
· 45 pass
H. Vale
M · QPR
7.20
3 shots · 20 pass
N. Mendy
M · Watford
7.00
· 21 pass
QPR QPR — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 25 14% — — —
R. Norrington-Davies D 90 7.30 — — — 45 32% 2 — —
R. Edwards D 90 6.90 — — — 57 48% 1 — —
Jimmy Dunne D 90 7.00 — — 1 49 40% — 1 —
A. Mbengue D 90 6.20 — — — 20 16% — 1 —
Paul Smyth M 72 9.70 1 1 2 13 12% 1 1 —
J. Varane M 90 7.00 — — — 30 24% 2 — —
K. Morgan M 90 6.90 — — — 36 30% 2 — —
H. Vale M 79 7.20 — — 3 20 11% 1 — —
Rayan Kolli F 45 7.00 1 — 4 10 9% — 1 —
Richard Kone F 90 6.00 — — 1 23 12% 2 1 —
D. Bennie F 45 5.90 — — 1 4 3% — — —
K. Poku M 11 6.20 — — — 2 1% — 1 —
Watford Watford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Selvik G 90 7.50 — — — 36 22% — — —
J. Petris D 90 6.60 — — — 31 27% 1 — —
Saba Goglichidze D 85 6.30 — — — 41 33% 2 1 —
M. Pollock D 90 6.30 — — — 48 33% 1 — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 33 26% 3 — —
G. Chakvetadze M 72 6.70 — — — 26 22% 1 — —
P. Ekwah M 57 6.30 — — — 22 19% 1 1 —
E. Bove M 57 5.90 — — — 12 9% 2 1 —
N. Irankunda M 57 6.50 — — 1 10 7% 1 — —
I. Louza F 90 8.00 1 — 2 49 42% — 1 —
L. Kjerrumgaard F 90 6.20 — — 2 20 14% — — —
M. Doumbia F 33 6.70 — — — 16 13% — — —
N. Mendy M 33 7.00 — — — 21 20% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of QPR vs Watford?
The final score was QPR 2–1 Watford.
What did the model predict before QPR vs Watford?
The model assigned 38% probability to a QPR win, 26% to a draw, and 34% to an Watford win.