Championship
· Regular Season - 40
April 03, 2026 16:00
R. Kolli
(ast. P. Smyth)
26'
P. Smyth
63'
85'
I. Louza
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave QPR a 38% win probability (draw 26%, Watford 34%). The final result was QPR 2–1 Watford. In 1 previous meetings, QPR have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Watford.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
3
2.40
Actual xG
0.34
2
Saves
6
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
3
11
Tackles
14
6
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
23'
Edoardo Bove
⚽R. Kolli
· ast. P. Smyth
26'
Rayan Kolli
29'
Jimmy Dunne
30'
R. Kolli
/ D. Bennie
46'
49'
Pierre Ekwah
57'
N. Mendy
/
P. Ekwah
57'
M. Doumbia
/
N. Irankunda
57'
A. Nabizada
/
E. Bove
Paul Smyth
61'
62'
Saba Goglichidze
⚽P. Smyth
63'
P. Smyth
/ K. Saito
72'
73'
K. Baah
/
G. Chakvetadze
H. Vale
/ K. Poku
79'
Richard Kone
84'
85'
V. Semedo
/
S. Goglichidze
85'
I. Louza⚽
Amadou Salif Mbengue
87'
Kwame Poku
90'+1
90'+1
Imrân Louza
Pre-match prediction
38.33%
QPR ←
26.89%
X
34.78%
Watford
we assigned to the actual result (QPR)
38.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
2.40
+1.24
1.49
0.34
-1.15
QPR dominated by xG (2.40 vs 0.34).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
18
Rhys Norrington-Davies
D
Rhys Norrington-Davies
D
37
Ronnie Edwards
D
Ronnie Edwards
D
3
Jimmy Dunne
D
Jimmy Dunne
D
27
Amadou Salif Mbengue
D
Amadou Salif Mbengue
D
11
Paul Smyth
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
M
Paul Smyth
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
M
40
Jonathan Varane
M
Jonathan Varane
M
21
Kieran Morgan
M
Kieran Morgan
M
20
Harvey Vale
79'
M
Harvey Vale
79'
M
26
Rayan Kolli
1 ⚽
45'
F
22
Richard Kone
F
Richard Kone
F
Bench
23
D. Bennie
45'
F
D. Bennie
45'
F
15
Isaac Hayden
M
Isaac Hayden
M
6
Jake Clarke-Salter
D
Jake Clarke-Salter
D
2
Kealey Adamson
D
Kealey Adamson
D
17
Kwame Poku
11'
M
Kwame Poku
11'
M
5
Steve Cook
D
Steve Cook
D
1
Egil Selvik
G
Egil Selvik
G
29
J. Petris
D
3
Saba Goglichidze
85'
D
6
Matthew Pollock
D
Matthew Pollock
D
4
D
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze
72'
M
17
P. Ekwah
57'
M
15
Edoardo Bove
57'
M
Edoardo Bove
57'
M
66
Nestory Irankunda
57'
M
Nestory Irankunda
57'
M
10
Imrân Louza
1 ⚽
F
Imrân Louza
1 ⚽
F
9
Luca Kjerrumgaard
F
Luca Kjerrumgaard
F
Bench
20
Mamadou Doumbia
33'
F
Mamadou Doumbia
33'
F
23
Nampalys Mendy
33'
M
Nampalys Mendy
33'
M
Best on the pitch
Paul Smyth
M · QPR
9.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 13 pass
Imrân Louza
F · Watford
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 49 pass
Egil Selvik
G · Watford
7.50
· 36 pass
Rhys Norrington-Davies
D · QPR
7.30
· 45 pass
Harvey Vale
M · QPR
7.20
3 shots
· 20 pass
Nampalys Mendy
M · Watford
7.00
· 21 pass
QPR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Rhys Norrington-Davies | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Ronnie Edwards | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Jimmy Dunne | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| Amadou Salif Mbengue | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Paul Smyth | M | 72 | 9.70 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Varane | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Kieran Morgan | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Harvey Vale | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Rayan Kolli | F | 45 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 10 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Richard Kone | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Bennie | F | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Kwame Poku | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Watford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egil Selvik | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Petris | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Saba Goglichidze | D | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Matthew Pollock | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 3 | — | — | |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Ekwah | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Edoardo Bove | M | 57 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nestory Irankunda | M | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Imrân Louza | F | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 49 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Doumbia | F | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Nampalys Mendy | M | 33 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of QPR vs Watford?
The final score was QPR 2–1 Watford.
What did the model predict before QPR vs Watford?
The model assigned 38% probability to a QPR win, 26% to a draw, and 34% to an Watford win.