Championship
· Regular Season - 40
April 03, 2026 16:00
R. Kolli
(ast. P. Smyth)
26'
P. Smyth
63'
85'
I. Louza
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave QPR a 38% win probability (draw 26%, Watford 34%). The final result was QPR 2–1 Watford. In 1 previous meetings, QPR have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Watford.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
3
2.40
Actual xG
0.34
2
Saves
6
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
3
11
Tackles
14
6
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
23'
Edoardo Bove
⚽R. Kolli
· ast. P. Smyth
26'
Rayan Kolli
29'
Jimmy Dunne
30'
R. Kolli
/ D. Bennie
46'
49'
Pierre Ekwah
57'
N. Mendy
/
P. Ekwah
57'
M. Doumbia
/
N. Irankunda
57'
A. Nabizada
/
E. Bove
Paul Smyth
61'
62'
Saba Goglichidze
⚽P. Smyth
63'
P. Smyth
/ K. Saito
72'
73'
K. Baah
/
G. Chakvetadze
H. Vale
/ K. Poku
79'
Richard Kone
84'
85'
V. Semedo
/
S. Goglichidze
85'
I. Louza⚽
Amadou Salif Mbengue
87'
Kwame Poku
90'+1
90'+1
Imrân Louza
Pre-match prediction
38.33%
QPR ←
26.89%
X
34.78%
Watford
we assigned to the actual result (QPR)
38.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
2.40
+1.24
1.49
0.34
-1.15
QPR dominated by xG (2.40 vs 0.34).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
18
Rhys Norrington-Davies
D
Rhys Norrington-Davies
D
37
R. Edwards
D
3
Jimmy Dunne
D
27
A. Mbengue
D
A. Mbengue
D
11
Paul Smyth
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
M
Paul Smyth
1 ⚽
1 👟
72'
M
40
J. Varane
M
21
K. Morgan
M
20
H. Vale
79'
M
26
Rayan Kolli
1 ⚽
45'
F
22
Richard Kone
F
Bench
23
D. Bennie
45'
F
15
Isaac Hayden
M
6
J. Clarke-Salter
D
2
K. Adamson
D
17
K. Poku
11'
M
5
S. Cook
D
1
Egil Selvik
G
Egil Selvik
G
29
J. Petris
D
3
Saba Goglichidze
85'
D
6
M. Pollock
D
4
D
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze
72'
M
17
P. Ekwah
57'
M
15
E. Bove
57'
M
66
N. Irankunda
57'
M
N. Irankunda
57'
M
10
I. Louza
1 ⚽
F
I. Louza
1 ⚽
F
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
F
Bench
20
M. Doumbia
33'
F
23
N. Mendy
33'
M
Best on the pitch
Paul Smyth
M · QPR
9.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 13 pass
I. Louza
F · Watford
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 49 pass
Egil Selvik
G · Watford
7.50
· 36 pass
Rhys Norrington-Davies
D · QPR
7.30
· 45 pass
H. Vale
M · QPR
7.20
3 shots
· 20 pass
N. Mendy
M · Watford
7.00
· 21 pass
QPR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Rhys Norrington-Davies | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Edwards | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Jimmy Dunne | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Mbengue | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Paul Smyth | M | 72 | 9.70 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Varane | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Morgan | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Vale | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Rayan Kolli | F | 45 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 10 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Richard Kone | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Bennie | F | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| K. Poku | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Watford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egil Selvik | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Petris | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Saba Goglichidze | D | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Pollock | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 3 | — | — | |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Ekwah | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Bove | M | 57 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| N. Irankunda | M | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Louza | F | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 49 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Kjerrumgaard | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Doumbia | F | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| N. Mendy | M | 33 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of QPR vs Watford?
The final score was QPR 2–1 Watford.
What did the model predict before QPR vs Watford?
The model assigned 38% probability to a QPR win, 26% to a draw, and 34% to an Watford win.