← Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 32 May 08, 2026 18:00
Raków Częstochowa
#4 · 49 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Korona Kielce
#15 · 39 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Raków Częstochowa
L. Diaby-Fadiga (ast. O. Repka) 48'
M. Bulat (ast. L. Diaby-Fadiga) 57'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Raków Częstochowa a 56% win probability (draw 20%, Korona Kielce 22%). The final result was Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Korona Kielce. In 1 previous meetings, Raków Częstochowa have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Korona Kielce.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
3
1.13
Actual xG
1.43
3
Saves
3
50%
Possession
50%
6
Corners
2
16
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
20'
W. Dlugosz
25'
H. Zwozny / W. Dlugosz ↕
M. Bulat
45'+5
⚽L. Diaby-Fadiga · ast. O. Repka
48'
⚽M. Bulat · ast. L. Diaby-Fadiga
57'
63'
Nono / S. Gustafson ↕
63'
S. Davidovic / M. Remacle ↕
↕ M. Bulat / V. Kochergin
66'
70'
B. Smolarczyk
73'
V. Nikolov / D. Blanik ↕
74'
K. Matuszewski / M. Pieczek ↕
↕ Adriano / J. C. Silva
75'
↕ L. Diaby-Fadiga / P. Makuch
75'
↕ T. Pienko / I. Lopez
86'
↕ J. Brunes / L. Rocha
86'
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
56.9%
Raków ←
20.65%
X
22.45%
Korona
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Raków Częstochowa) 56.9% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Raków
2.06
1.13
-0.93
Korona
1.23
1.43
+0.2
xG dominance was balanced (1.13 – 1.43). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 32 56
2 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 32 52
3 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 32 50
4 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 32 49
5 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 32 48
6 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 32 48
7 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 32 45
8 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 32 44
9 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 32 43
10 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 32 42
11 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 32 41
12 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 32 41
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 32 40
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 32 39
15 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 32 39
16 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 32 38
17 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 32 36
18 Nieciecza Nieciecza 32 28
Lineups
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3
1 Kacper Trelowski Kacper Trelowski G 6.90
4 Stratos Svarnas Stratos Svarnas D 7.30
25
D 6.60
7 Fran Tudor Fran Tudor D 7.70
11 Adriano Adriano 75' M 7.60
5 Marko Bulat Marko Bulat 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.90
6 Oskar Repka Oskar Repka 1 👟 M 7.50
19 Michael Ameyaw Michael Ameyaw M 6.90
8 Tomasz Pieńko Tomasz Pieńko 86' F 6.70
18 Jonatan Braut Brunes Jonatan Braut Brunes 86' F 6.20
80 Mohamed Lamine Diaby Mohamed Lamine Diaby 1 ⚽ 1 👟 75' F 8.90
Bench
39
I. Brusberg M
20 Jean Carlos Silva Jean Carlos Silva 17' M 7.30
17 Leonardo Rocha Leonardo Rocha 6' F
35 Mitja Ilenič Mitja Ilenič D
9 Patryk Makuch Patryk Makuch 17' F 7.50
27 Paweł Dawidowicz Paweł Dawidowicz D
24 Zoran Arsenić Zoran Arsenić D
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.30
5
Pau Resta D 6.60
44
Konstantinos Sotiriou D 6.30
24
B. Smolarczyk D 6.20
6
M. Pieczek 74' M 6.30
86
S. Gustafson 63' M 6.70
88
T. Svetlin M 6.60
71
W. Dlugosz 25' M 6.70
7
D. Blanik 73' F 6.90
8
M. Remacle 63' F 6.90
70
F 6.30
Bench
37
H. Zwozny 67' D 5.30
3
K. Matuszewski 18' D 6.30
9
S. Davidovic 29' M 6.50
23
S. Rubezic D
Best on the pitch
Mohamed Lamine Diaby
Mohamed Lamine Diaby
F · Raków
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 26 pass
Marko Bulat
Marko Bulat
M · Raków
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
Fran Tudor
Fran Tudor
D · Raków
7.70
· 49 pass
Adriano
Adriano
M · Raków
7.60
· 39 pass
Oskar Repka
Oskar Repka
M · Raków
7.50
1 👟
· 55 pass
Patryk Makuch
Patryk Makuch
F · Raków
7.50
2 shots · 5 pass
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kacper Trelowski G 92 6.90 — — — 31 21% — — —
Stratos Svarnas D 92 7.30 — — — 61 56% — — —
D 92 6.60 — — — 41 38% — — —
Fran Tudor D 92 7.70 — — — 49 40% 3 — —
Adriano M 75 7.60 — — — 39 31% 3 — —
Marko Bulat M 65 7.90 1 — 1 20 17% 2 1 —
Oskar Repka M 92 7.50 — 1 — 55 45% 2 — —
Michael Ameyaw M 92 6.90 — — 1 20 14% 2 — —
Tomasz Pieńko F 86 6.70 — — 2 40 32% — — —
Jonatan Braut Brunes F 86 6.20 — — — 17 13% 2 — —
Mohamed Lamine Diaby F 75 8.90 1 1 3 26 15% — — —
Jean Carlos Silva M 17 7.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
Leonardo Rocha F 6 — — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Patryk Makuch F 17 7.50 — — 2 5 3% 1 — —
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 92 6.30 — — — 41 25% — — —
Pau Resta D 92 6.60 — — 1 48 42% — — —
Konstantinos Sotiriou D 92 6.30 — — — 52 40% 4 — —
B. Smolarczyk D 92 6.20 — — — 39 34% 4 1 —
M. Pieczek M 74 6.30 — — 1 35 29% 1 — —
S. Gustafson M 63 6.70 — — 1 38 35% 1 — —
T. Svetlin M 92 6.60 — — 1 69 62% 5 — —
W. Dlugosz M 25 6.70 — — — 4 4% 2 1 —
D. Blanik F 73 6.90 — — — 16 11% 1 — —
M. Remacle F 63 6.90 — — 4 20 14% 4 — —
F 92 6.30 — — 1 16 13% 2 — —
H. Zwozny D 67 5.30 — — — 19 14% 1 — —
K. Matuszewski D 18 6.30 — — — 10 10% — — —
S. Davidovic M 29 6.50 — — — 10 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?
The final score was Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Korona Kielce.
What did the model predict before Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Raków Częstochowa win, 20% to a draw, and 22% to an Korona Kielce win.