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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 32 May 08, 2026 18:00
Raków Częstochowa
#18 · 3 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Korona Kielce
#5 · 12 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Raków Częstochowa
L. Diaby-Fadiga (ast. O. Repka) 48'
M. Bulat (ast. L. Diaby-Fadiga) 57'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Raków Częstochowa a 56% win probability (draw 20%, Korona Kielce 22%). The final result was Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Korona Kielce. In 1 previous meetings, Raków Częstochowa have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Korona Kielce.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
3
1.13
Actual xG
1.43
3
Saves
3
50%
Possession
50%
6
Corners
2
16
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
20'
W. Dlugosz
25'
H. Zwozny / W. Dlugosz ↕
M. Bulat
45'+5
⚽L. Diaby-Fadiga · ast. O. Repka
48'
⚽M. Bulat · ast. L. Diaby-Fadiga
57'
63'
Nono / S. Gustafson ↕
63'
S. Davidovic / M. Remacle ↕
↕ M. Bulat / V. Kochergin
66'
70'
B. Smolarczyk
73'
V. Nikolov / D. Blanik ↕
74'
K. Matuszewski / M. Pieczek ↕
↕ Adriano / J. C. Silva
75'
↕ L. Diaby-Fadiga / P. Makuch
75'
↕ T. Pienko / I. Lopez
86'
↕ J. Brunes / L. Rocha
86'
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
56.9%
Raków ←
20.65%
X
22.45%
Korona
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Raków Częstochowa) 56.9% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Raków
2.06
1.13
-0.93
Korona
1.23
1.43
+0.2
xG dominance was balanced (1.13 – 1.43). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 7 18
2 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 7 16
3 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 7 15
4 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 8 14
5 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 7 12
6 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 7 12
7 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 7 10
8 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 6 9
9 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 6 9
10 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 6 9
11 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 7 8
12 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 7 8
13 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 7 7
14 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 8 6
15 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 8 5
16 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 6 5
17 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 6 4
18 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 7 3
Lineups
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3
1 K. Trelowski K. Trelowski G 6.90
4 S. Svarnas S. Svarnas D 7.30
25
D 6.60
7 F. Tudor F. Tudor D 7.70
11 Adriano Amorim Adriano Amorim 75' M 7.60
5 M. Bulat M. Bulat 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.90
6 O. Repka O. Repka 1 👟 M 7.50
19 M. Ameyaw M. Ameyaw M 6.90
8 T. Pieńko T. Pieńko 86' F 6.70
18 J. Braut Brunes J. Braut Brunes 86' F 6.20
80 L. Diaby-Fadiga L. Diaby-Fadiga 1 ⚽ 1 👟 75' F 8.90
Bench
39 I. Brusberg I. Brusberg M
20 Jean Carlos Jean Carlos 17' M 7.30
17 Leonardo Rocha Leonardo Rocha 6' F
35 M. Ilenič M. Ilenič D
27 P. Dawidowicz P. Dawidowicz D
9 P. Makuch P. Makuch 17' F 7.50
24 Z. Arsenić Z. Arsenić D
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.30
5 Pau Resta Pau Resta D 6.60
44 K. Sotiriou K. Sotiriou D 6.30
24 B. Smolarczyk B. Smolarczyk D 6.20
6 M. Pięczek M. Pięczek 74' M 6.30
86 Simon Gustafson Simon Gustafson 63' M 6.70
88 T. Svetlin T. Svetlin M 6.60
71 W. Długosz W. Długosz 25' M 6.70
7 D. Błanik D. Błanik 73' F 6.90
8 M. Remacle M. Remacle 63' F 6.90
70
F 6.30
Bench
37 Hubert Zwoźny Hubert Zwoźny 67' D 5.30
3 K. Matuszewski K. Matuszewski 18' D 6.30
9 S. Davidović S. Davidović 29' M 6.50
23 S. Rubežić S. Rubežić D
Best on the pitch
L. Diaby-Fadiga
L. Diaby-Fadiga
F · Raków
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 26 pass
M. Bulat
M. Bulat
M · Raków
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
F. Tudor
F. Tudor
D · Raków
7.70
· 49 pass
Adriano Amorim
Adriano Amorim
M · Raków
7.60
· 39 pass
O. Repka
O. Repka
M · Raków
7.50
1 👟
· 55 pass
P. Makuch
P. Makuch
F · Raków
7.50
2 shots · 5 pass
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Trelowski G 92 6.90 — — — 31 21% — — —
S. Svarnas D 92 7.30 — — — 61 56% — — —
D 92 6.60 — — — 41 38% — — —
F. Tudor D 92 7.70 — — — 49 40% 3 — —
Adriano Amorim M 75 7.60 — — — 39 31% 3 — —
M. Bulat M 65 7.90 1 — 1 20 17% 2 1 —
O. Repka M 92 7.50 — 1 — 55 45% 2 — —
M. Ameyaw M 92 6.90 — — 1 20 14% 2 — —
T. Pieńko F 86 6.70 — — 2 40 32% — — —
J. Braut Brunes F 86 6.20 — — — 17 13% 2 — —
L. Diaby-Fadiga F 75 8.90 1 1 3 26 15% — — —
Jean Carlos M 17 7.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
Leonardo Rocha F 6 — — — — 2 1% 1 — —
P. Makuch F 17 7.50 — — 2 5 3% 1 — —
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 92 6.30 — — — 41 25% — — —
Pau Resta D 92 6.60 — — 1 48 42% — — —
K. Sotiriou D 92 6.30 — — — 52 40% 4 — —
B. Smolarczyk D 92 6.20 — — — 39 34% 4 1 —
M. Pięczek M 74 6.30 — — 1 35 29% 1 — —
Simon Gustafson M 63 6.70 — — 1 38 35% 1 — —
T. Svetlin M 92 6.60 — — 1 69 62% 5 — —
W. Długosz M 25 6.70 — — — 4 4% 2 1 —
D. Błanik F 73 6.90 — — — 16 11% 1 — —
M. Remacle F 63 6.90 — — 4 20 14% 4 — —
F 92 6.30 — — 1 16 13% 2 — —
Hubert Zwoźny D 67 5.30 — — — 19 14% 1 — —
K. Matuszewski D 18 6.30 — — — 10 10% — — —
S. Davidović M 29 6.50 — — — 10 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?
The final score was Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Korona Kielce.
What did the model predict before Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Raków Częstochowa win, 20% to a draw, and 22% to an Korona Kielce win.