Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 32
May 08, 2026 18:00
✓Model correct — prediction Raków Częstochowa
L. Diaby-Fadiga
(ast. O. Repka)
48'
M. Bulat
(ast. L. Diaby-Fadiga)
57'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Raków Częstochowa a 56% win probability (draw 20%, Korona Kielce 22%). The final result was Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Korona Kielce. In 1 previous meetings, Raków Częstochowa have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Korona Kielce.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
3
1.13
Actual xG
1.43
3
Saves
3
50%
Possession
50%
6
Corners
2
16
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
20'
W. Dlugosz
25'
H. Zwozny
/
W. Dlugosz
M. Bulat
45'+5
⚽L. Diaby-Fadiga
· ast. O. Repka
48'
⚽M. Bulat
· ast. L. Diaby-Fadiga
57'
63'
Nono
/
S. Gustafson
63'
S. Davidovic
/
M. Remacle
M. Bulat
/ V. Kochergin
66'
70'
B. Smolarczyk
73'
V. Nikolov
/
D. Blanik
74'
K. Matuszewski
/
M. Pieczek
Adriano
/ J. C. Silva
75'
L. Diaby-Fadiga
/ P. Makuch
75'
T. Pienko
/ I. Lopez
86'
J. Brunes
/ L. Rocha
86'
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
56.9%
Raków ←
20.65%
X
22.45%
Korona
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Raków Częstochowa)
56.9%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.06
1.13
-0.93
1.23
1.43
+0.2
xG dominance was balanced (1.13 – 1.43).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Kacper Trelowski
G
Kacper Trelowski
G
4
Stratos Svarnas
D
Stratos Svarnas
D
25
D
7
Fran Tudor
D
Fran Tudor
D
11
Adriano Amorim
75'
M
Adriano Amorim
75'
M
5
Marko Bulat
1 ⚽
65'
M
Marko Bulat
1 ⚽
65'
M
6
Oskar Repka
1 👟
M
Oskar Repka
1 👟
M
19
Michael Ameyaw
M
Michael Ameyaw
M
8
Tomasz Pieńko
86'
F
Tomasz Pieńko
86'
F
18
J. Braut Brunes
86'
F
J. Braut Brunes
86'
F
80
Mohamed Lamine Diaby
1 ⚽
1 👟
75'
F
Mohamed Lamine Diaby
1 ⚽
1 👟
75'
F
Bench
39
Isak Brusberg
M
Isak Brusberg
M
20
Jean Carlos Silva
17'
M
Jean Carlos Silva
17'
M
17
Leonardo Rocha
6'
F
Leonardo Rocha
6'
F
35
Mitja Ilenič
D
Mitja Ilenič
D
9
Patryk Makuch
17'
F
Patryk Makuch
17'
F
27
Paweł Dawidowicz
D
Paweł Dawidowicz
D
24
Z. Arsenić
D
Z. Arsenić
D
1
G
5
Pau Resta
D
Pau Resta
D
44
K. Sotiriou
D
K. Sotiriou
D
24
B. Smolarczyk
D
B. Smolarczyk
D
6
M. Pięczek
74'
M
M. Pięczek
74'
M
86
Simon Gustafson
63'
M
Simon Gustafson
63'
M
88
T. Svetlin
M
T. Svetlin
M
71
Wiktor Długosz
25'
M
Wiktor Długosz
25'
M
7
D. Błanik
73'
F
D. Błanik
73'
F
8
M. Remacle
63'
F
M. Remacle
63'
F
70
F
Bench
37
Hubert Zwoźny
67'
D
Hubert Zwoźny
67'
D
3
K. Matuszewski
18'
D
K. Matuszewski
18'
D
23
Slobodan Rubežić
D
9
Stjepan Davidović
29'
M
Stjepan Davidović
29'
M
Best on the pitch
Mohamed Lamine Diaby
F · Raków
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 26 pass
Marko Bulat
M · Raków
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Fran Tudor
D · Raków
7.70
· 49 pass
Adriano Amorim
M · Raków
7.60
· 39 pass
Oskar Repka
M · Raków
7.50
1 👟
· 55 pass
Patryk Makuch
F · Raków
7.50
2 shots
· 5 pass
Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Trelowski | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Stratos Svarnas | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 56% | — | — | — |
| D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | — | — | — | |
| Fran Tudor | D | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Adriano Amorim | M | 75 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Marko Bulat | M | 65 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Oskar Repka | M | 92 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 55 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Michael Ameyaw | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomasz Pieńko | F | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 32% | — | — | — |
| J. Braut Brunes | F | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohamed Lamine Diaby | F | 75 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jean Carlos Silva | M | 17 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Rocha | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Patryk Makuch | F | 17 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Korona Kielce — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Pau Resta | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | — | — | — |
| K. Sotiriou | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Smolarczyk | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Pięczek | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Gustafson | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Svetlin | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 62% | 5 | — | — |
| Wiktor Długosz | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Błanik | F | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Remacle | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 20 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — | |
| Hubert Zwoźny | D | 67 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Matuszewski | D | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Stjepan Davidović | M | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?
The final score was Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Korona Kielce.
What did the model predict before Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Raków Częstochowa win, 20% to a draw, and 22% to an Korona Kielce win.