← Bundesliga
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29 April 11, 2026 17:30
RB Leipzig
#3 · 65 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Borussia Mönchengladbach
#13 · 35 pts
✓Model correct — prediction RB Leipzig
Y. Diomande (ast. C. Baumgartner) 80'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Leipzig a 71% win probability (draw 16%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 12%). The final result was RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach. In 1 previous meetings, RB Leipzig have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
11
Shots on target
3
2.25
Actual xG
1.79
2
Saves
11
52%
Possession
48%
11
Corners
4
15
Tackles
20
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Ridle Baku
33'
33'
H. Bolin / L. Ullrich ↕
35'
Joseph Scally
Nicolas Seiwald
47'
62'
F. C. Chiarodia / K. Diks ↕
↕ Romulo Cardoso / J. Bakayoko
66'
↕ A. Nusa / A. Ouedraogo
66'
Xaver Schlager
78'
↕ N. Seiwald / B. Gruda
78'
↕ R. Baku / B. Henrichs
78'
⚽Y. Diomande · ast. C. Baumgartner
80'
Brajan Gruda
82'
85'
K. Stoger / J. Castrop ↕
85'
S. Machino / Y. Engelhardt ↕
85'
W. Mohya / F. Honorat ↕
↕ Y. Diomande / M. Finkgrafe
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
71.13%
RB ←
16.09%
X
12.77%
Borussia
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (RB Leipzig) 71.13% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
RB
2.66
2.25
-0.41
Borussia
1.05
1.79
+0.74
RB Leipzig dominated by xG (2.25 vs 1.79). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-3-3
26
G 7.70
22 D. Raum D. Raum D 8.30
5
E. Bitshiabu D 7.00
4 W. Orbán W. Orbán D 8.30
17
R. Baku 78' D 7.20
24
Xaver Schlager M 6.90
13
Nicolas Seiwald 78' M 6.90
14 C. Baumgartner C. Baumgartner 1 👟 M 7.20
7 A. Nusa A. Nusa 66' F 6.70
40
Romulo Cardoso 66' F 5.60
49
Y. Diomande 1 ⚽ 89' F 9.70
Bench
20
A. Ouedraogo 24' M 6.60
10
B. Gruda 12' F 7.00
16
L. Klostermann D
35
M. Finkgrafe 1' D
27
Tidiam Gomis F
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-3-3
33
M. Nicolas G 8.90
26
L. Ullrich 33' D 6.60
4
K. Diks 62' D 7.20
30 N. Elvedi N. Elvedi D 8.00
29
Joseph Scally D 6.20
6
Yannik Engelhardt 85' M 6.60
16
P. Sander M 6.70
27
R. Reitz M 7.30
17
J. Castrop 85' F 6.60
15 H. Tabaković H. Tabaković F 7.30
9 F. Honorat F. Honorat 85' F 6.90
Bench
2
F. C. Chiarodia 28' D 7.20
13
G. Reyna M
38
H. Bolin 57' M 6.90
7 K. Stöger K. Stöger 12' M 6.30
18
S. Machino 12' F 6.30
36
W. Mohya 12' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
Y. Diomande
F · RB
9.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 48 pass
M. Nicolas
G · Borussia
8.90
· 40 pass
D. Raum
D. Raum
D · RB
8.30
3 shots · 38 pass
W. Orbán
W. Orbán
D · RB
8.30
· 56 pass
N. Elvedi
N. Elvedi
D · Borussia
8.00
· 64 pass
G · RB
7.70
· 33 pass
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.70 — — — 33 24% — — —
D. Raum D 90 8.30 — — 3 38 30% 2 — —
E. Bitshiabu D 90 7.00 — — — 51 47% — — —
W. Orbán D 90 8.30 — — — 56 47% 3 — —
R. Baku D 78 7.20 — — 3 43 38% 1 1 —
Xaver Schlager M 90 6.90 — — 1 39 34% 1 1 —
Nicolas Seiwald M 78 6.90 — — 1 42 41% 3 1 —
C. Baumgartner M 90 7.20 — 1 3 28 20% — — —
A. Nusa F 66 6.70 — — — 16 10% 1 — —
Romulo Cardoso F 66 5.60 — — 4 15 13% 1 — —
Y. Diomande F 89 9.70 1 — 1 48 37% 2 — —
A. Ouedraogo M 24 6.60 — — 1 10 9% — — —
B. Gruda F 12 7.00 — — — 3 2% 1 1 —
M. Finkgrafe D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Nicolas G 90 8.90 — — — 40 27% — — —
L. Ullrich D 33 6.60 — — 1 15 12% 1 — —
K. Diks D 62 7.20 — — — 39 36% 1 — —
N. Elvedi D 90 8.00 — — — 64 56% 1 — —
Joseph Scally D 90 6.20 — — — 32 21% 1 1 —
Yannik Engelhardt M 85 6.60 — — — 36 29% 1 — —
P. Sander M 90 6.70 — — — 49 40% 2 — —
R. Reitz M 90 7.30 — — 2 37 28% 1 — —
J. Castrop F 85 6.60 — — 3 26 14% 2 — —
H. Tabaković F 90 7.30 — — 2 23 14% 1 — —
F. Honorat F 85 6.90 — — — 17 16% 1 — —
F. C. Chiarodia D 28 7.20 — — 1 15 13% 6 — —
H. Bolin M 57 6.90 — — 1 10 6% 2 — —
K. Stöger M 12 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
S. Machino F 12 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
W. Mohya M 12 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The final score was RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
What did the model predict before RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The model assigned 71% probability to a RB Leipzig win, 16% to a draw, and 12% to an Borussia Mönchengladbach win.