✓Model correct — prediction RB Leipzig
Y. Diomande
(ast. C. Baumgartner)
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Leipzig a 71% win probability (draw 16%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 12%). The final result was RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach. In 1 previous meetings, RB Leipzig have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
11
Shots on target
3
2.25
Actual xG
1.79
2
Saves
11
52%
Possession
48%
11
Corners
4
15
Tackles
20
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Ridle Baku
33'
33'
H. Bolin
/
L. Ullrich
35'
Joseph Scally
Nicolas Seiwald
47'
62'
F. C. Chiarodia
/
K. Diks
Romulo Cardoso
/ J. Bakayoko
66'
A. Nusa
/ A. Ouedraogo
66'
Xaver Schlager
78'
N. Seiwald
/ B. Gruda
78'
R. Baku
/ B. Henrichs
78'
⚽Y. Diomande
· ast. C. Baumgartner
80'
Brajan Gruda
82'
85'
K. Stoger
/
J. Castrop
85'
S. Machino
/
Y. Engelhardt
85'
W. Mohya
/
F. Honorat
Y. Diomande
/ M. Finkgrafe
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
71.13%
RB ←
16.09%
X
12.77%
Borussia
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (RB Leipzig)
71.13%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.66
2.25
-0.41
1.05
1.79
+0.74
RB Leipzig dominated by xG (2.25 vs 1.79).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
G
22
D. Raum
D
D. Raum
D
5
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
D
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
D
4
W. Orbán
D
W. Orbán
D
17
Ridle Baku
78'
D
Ridle Baku
78'
D
24
Xaver Schlager
M
Xaver Schlager
M
13
Nicolas Seiwald
78'
M
Nicolas Seiwald
78'
M
14
C. Baumgartner
1 👟
M
C. Baumgartner
1 👟
M
7
A. Nusa
66'
F
A. Nusa
66'
F
40
Rômulo
66'
F
Rômulo
66'
F
49
Yan Diomande
1 ⚽
89'
F
Yan Diomande
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
20
Assan Ouédraogo
24'
M
Assan Ouédraogo
24'
M
10
Brajan Gruda
12'
F
Brajan Gruda
12'
F
16
L. Klostermann
D
35
Max Finkgräfe
1'
D
Max Finkgräfe
1'
D
27
Tidiam Gomis
F
Tidiam Gomis
F
33
Moritz Nicolas
G
Moritz Nicolas
G
26
Lukas Ullrich
33'
D
Lukas Ullrich
33'
D
4
Kevin Diks
62'
D
30
Nico Elvedi
D
Nico Elvedi
D
29
Joe Scally
D
Joe Scally
D
6
Yannick Engelhardt
85'
M
Yannick Engelhardt
85'
M
16
Philipp Sander
M
Philipp Sander
M
27
R. Reitz
M
R. Reitz
M
17
J. Castrop
85'
F
J. Castrop
85'
F
15
Haris Tabaković
F
Haris Tabaković
F
9
F. Honorat
85'
F
F. Honorat
85'
F
Bench
2
Fabio Chiarodia
28'
D
Fabio Chiarodia
28'
D
13
Giovanni Reyna
M
Giovanni Reyna
M
38
Hugo Bolin
57'
M
Hugo Bolin
57'
M
7
K. Stöger
12'
M
K. Stöger
12'
M
18
Shuto Machino
12'
F
Shuto Machino
12'
F
36
Wael Mohya
12'
M
Wael Mohya
12'
M
Best on the pitch
Yan Diomande
F · RB
9.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 48 pass
Moritz Nicolas
G · Borussia
8.90
· 40 pass
D. Raum
D · RB
8.30
3 shots
· 38 pass
W. Orbán
D · RB
8.30
· 56 pass
Nico Elvedi
D · Borussia
8.00
· 64 pass
G · RB
7.70
· 33 pass
RB Leipzig — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| D. Raum | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| El Chadaille Bitshiabu | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 47% | — | — | — |
| W. Orbán | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| Ridle Baku | D | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 43 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Xaver Schlager | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nicolas Seiwald | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 41% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Baumgartner | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Nusa | F | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Rômulo | F | 66 | 5.60 | — | — | 4 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Yan Diomande | F | 89 | 9.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 48 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Assan Ouédraogo | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Brajan Gruda | F | 12 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Max Finkgräfe | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Nicolas | G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Lukas Ullrich | D | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Diks | D | 62 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Nico Elvedi | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Joe Scally | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Yannick Engelhardt | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Philipp Sander | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Reitz | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Castrop | F | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Haris Tabaković | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Honorat | F | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabio Chiarodia | D | 28 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 6 | — | — |
| Hugo Bolin | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Stöger | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Shuto Machino | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Wael Mohya | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The final score was RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
What did the model predict before RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The model assigned 71% probability to a RB Leipzig win, 16% to a draw, and 12% to an Borussia Mönchengladbach win.