La Liga
· Regular Season - 32
April 24, 2026 23:00
H. Bellerin
(ast. G. Lo Celso)
90'
17'
Vinicius Junior
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Madrid a 43% win probability (draw 24%, Real Betis 31%). The final result was Real Betis 1–1 Real Madrid. In 1 previous meetings, Real Betis have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Real Madrid.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
8
1.02
Actual xG
1.07
7
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
7
Corners
6
15
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
17'
Vinicius Junior⚽
M. Bartra
/ D. Llorente
32'
Sofyan Amrabat
38'
40'
Dean Huijsen
A. Fidalgo
/ M. Roca
46'
C. Bakambu
/ Cucho Hernandez
46'
P. Fornals
/ G. Lo Celso
68'
72'
Trent Alexander-Arnold
S. Amrabat
/ Isco
73'
73'
D. Alaba
/
D. Huijsen
73'
E. Camavinga
/
T. Pitarch
81'
G. Garcia
/
K. Mbappe
82'
Manuel Angel
/
B. Diaz
⚽H. Bellerin
· ast. G. Lo Celso
90'
Pre-match prediction
31.29%
Real
24.92%
X ←
43.78%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.27
1.02
-0.25
1.52
1.07
-0.45
xG dominance was balanced (1.02 – 1.07).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
12
Ricardo Rodríguez
D
Ricardo Rodríguez
D
4
Natan
D
Natan
D
5
M. Bartra
32'
D
2
Héctor Bellerín
1 ⚽
D
Héctor Bellerín
1 ⚽
D
15
Álvaro Fidalgo
45'
M
Álvaro Fidalgo
45'
M
14
Sofyan Amrabat
73'
M
Sofyan Amrabat
73'
M
10
A. Ezzalzouli
M
A. Ezzalzouli
M
8
Pablo Fornals
68'
M
Pablo Fornals
68'
M
7
Antony
M
Antony
M
11
Cédric Bakambu
45'
F
Cédric Bakambu
45'
F
Bench
24
Aitor Ruibal
F
Aitor Ruibal
F
19
C. Hernández
51'
F
C. Hernández
51'
F
20
Giovani Lo Celso
1 👟
28'
M
Giovani Lo Celso
1 👟
28'
M
21
Marc Roca
51'
M
Marc Roca
51'
M
17
Rodrigo Riquelme
M
Rodrigo Riquelme
M
6
Sergi Altimira
M
Sergi Altimira
M
13
G
23
F. Mendy
D
24
Dean Huijsen
73'
D
Dean Huijsen
73'
D
22
Antonio Rüdiger
D
Antonio Rüdiger
D
12
Trent Alexander-Arnold
D
Trent Alexander-Arnold
D
45
Thiago Pitarch
73'
M
Thiago Pitarch
73'
M
8
F. Valverde
M
F. Valverde
M
5
Jude Bellingham
M
Jude Bellingham
M
21
Brahim Díaz
82'
M
Brahim Díaz
82'
M
7
Vinícius Júnior
1 ⚽
F
Vinícius Júnior
1 ⚽
F
10
Kylian Mbappé
81'
F
Kylian Mbappé
81'
F
Bench
18
Álvaro Fernández
D
Álvaro Fernández
D
6
Eduardo Camavinga
23'
M
Eduardo Camavinga
23'
M
30
Franco Mastantuono
F
Franco Mastantuono
F
20
Fran García
D
Fran García
D
16
Gonzalo García
15'
F
Gonzalo García
15'
F
37
M. A. Moran
14'
M
17
Raúl Asencio
D
Raúl Asencio
D
Best on the pitch
G · Real
8.20
· 26 pass
A. Ezzalzouli
M · Real
8.20
1 shots
· 47 pass
Héctor Bellerín
D · Real
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 58 pass
Vinícius Júnior
F · Real
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 46 pass
G · Real
7.70
· 31 pass
Dean Huijsen
D · Real
7.50
1 shots
· 47 pass
Real Betis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Ricardo Rodríguez | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Natan | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Bartra | D | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Héctor Bellerín | D | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 58 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Álvaro Fidalgo | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Sofyan Amrabat | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 61% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Ezzalzouli | M | 96 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| Pablo Fornals | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Antony | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 47 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Cédric Bakambu | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Hernández | F | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Giovani Lo Celso | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Marc Roca | M | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
Real Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — | |
| F. Mendy | D | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Dean Huijsen | D | 73 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Antonio Rüdiger | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Thiago Pitarch | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Valverde | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 76 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| Jude Bellingham | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Brahim Díaz | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | F | 96 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 46 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Camavinga | M | 23 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo García | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. A. Moran | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
The final score was Real Betis 1–1 Real Madrid.
What did the model predict before Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Real Betis win, 24% to a draw, and 43% to an Real Madrid win.