La Liga
· Regular Season - 32
April 24, 2026 21:00
H. Bellerin
(ast. G. Lo Celso)
90'
17'
Vinicius Junior
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Madrid a 43% win probability (draw 24%, Real Betis 31%). The final result was Real Betis 1–1 Real Madrid. In 2 previous meetings, Real Betis have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Real Madrid.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
8
1.02
Actual xG
1.07
7
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
7
Corners
6
15
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
17'
Vinicius Junior⚽
M. Bartra
/ D. Llorente
32'
Sofyan Amrabat
38'
40'
Dean Huijsen
A. Fidalgo
/ M. Roca
46'
C. Bakambu
/ Cucho Hernandez
46'
P. Fornals
/ G. Lo Celso
68'
72'
Trent Alexander-Arnold
S. Amrabat
/ Isco
73'
73'
D. Alaba
/
D. Huijsen
73'
E. Camavinga
/
T. Pitarch
81'
G. Garcia
/
K. Mbappe
82'
Manuel Angel
/
B. Diaz
⚽H. Bellerin
· ast. G. Lo Celso
90'
Pre-match prediction
31.29%
Real
24.92%
X ←
43.78%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.27
1.02
-0.25
1.52
1.07
-0.45
xG dominance was balanced (1.02 – 1.07).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
12
R. Rodríguez
D
R. Rodríguez
D
4
Natan
D
Natan
D
5
Marc Bartra
32'
D
Marc Bartra
32'
D
2
Héctor Bellerín
1 ⚽
D
Héctor Bellerín
1 ⚽
D
15
Álvaro Fidalgo
45'
M
Álvaro Fidalgo
45'
M
14
S. Amrabat
73'
M
S. Amrabat
73'
M
10
A. Ezzalzouli
M
A. Ezzalzouli
M
8
Pablo Fornals
68'
M
Pablo Fornals
68'
M
7
Antony
M
Antony
M
11
C. Bakambu
45'
F
C. Bakambu
45'
F
Bench
24
Aitor Ruibal
F
Aitor Ruibal
F
19
C. Hernández
51'
F
C. Hernández
51'
F
20
G. Lo Celso
1 👟
28'
M
G. Lo Celso
1 👟
28'
M
21
Marc Roca
51'
M
Marc Roca
51'
M
17
Rodrigo Riquelme
M
Rodrigo Riquelme
M
6
Sergi Altimira
M
Sergi Altimira
M
13
G
23
F. Mendy
D
24
D. Huijsen
73'
D
D. Huijsen
73'
D
22
A. Rüdiger
D
A. Rüdiger
D
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
D
T. Alexander-Arnold
D
45
Thiago Pitarch
73'
M
Thiago Pitarch
73'
M
8
F. Valverde
M
F. Valverde
M
5
J. Bellingham
M
J. Bellingham
M
21
Brahim Díaz
82'
M
Brahim Díaz
82'
M
7
Vinícius Júnior
1 ⚽
F
Vinícius Júnior
1 ⚽
F
10
Kylian Mbappé
81'
F
Kylian Mbappé
81'
F
Bench
18
Álvaro Fernández
D
Álvaro Fernández
D
6
E. Camavinga
23'
M
E. Camavinga
23'
M
30
Franco Mastantuono
F
Franco Mastantuono
F
20
Fran García
D
Fran García
D
16
Gonzalo García
15'
F
Gonzalo García
15'
F
37
Manuel Ángel
14'
M
Manuel Ángel
14'
M
17
Raúl Asencio
D
Raúl Asencio
D
Best on the pitch
G · Real
8.20
· 26 pass
A. Ezzalzouli
M · Real
8.20
1 shots
· 47 pass
Héctor Bellerín
D · Real
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 58 pass
Vinícius Júnior
F · Real
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 46 pass
G · Real
7.70
· 31 pass
D. Huijsen
D · Real
7.50
1 shots
· 47 pass
Real Betis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| R. Rodríguez | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Natan | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Marc Bartra | D | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Héctor Bellerín | D | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 58 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Álvaro Fidalgo | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Amrabat | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 61% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Ezzalzouli | M | 96 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| Pablo Fornals | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Antony | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 47 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Bakambu | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Hernández | F | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| G. Lo Celso | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Marc Roca | M | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
Real Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — | |
| F. Mendy | D | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| D. Huijsen | D | 73 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Rüdiger | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 58% | — | — | — |
| T. Alexander-Arnold | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Thiago Pitarch | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Valverde | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 76 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Brahim Díaz | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | F | 96 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 46 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Camavinga | M | 23 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo García | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Manuel Ángel | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
The final score was Real Betis 1–1 Real Madrid.
What did the model predict before Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Real Betis win, 24% to a draw, and 43% to an Real Madrid win.