MLS · Regular Season - 8 April 19, 2026 05:30

Real Salt Lake

#4 · 22 pts

4 – 2

Final score

San Diego

#10 · 16 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Real Salt Lake

D. Luna 4'

S. Solans 6'

S. Solans 37'

M. Guilavogui 45'

14' (ast. L. Morgan) M. Ingvartsen

(pen.) 65' A. Dreyer

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Salt Lake a 53% win probability (draw 23%, San Diego 23%). The final result was Real Salt Lake 4–2 San Diego. In 1 previous meetings, Real Salt Lake have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for San Diego.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

6

9

Shots on target

5

2.63

Actual xG

1.30

3

Saves

5

48%

Possession

52%

1

Corners

8

12

Tackles

8

1

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽D. Luna

4'

⚽S. Solans

6'

14'

ast. L. Morgan · M. Ingvartsen⚽

⚽S. Solans

37'

45'+5

B. Duke

⚽M. Guilavogui

45'

46'

P. Soma / A. Godoy ↕

46'

A. Mighten / B. Duke ↕

M. Guilavogui

52'

65'

(pen.) A. Dreyer⚽

68'

D. Vazquez / O. Valakari ↕

68'

B. B. Zamble / M. Ingvartsen ↕

↕ D. Luna / A. Hezarkhani

71'

↕ D. Yedlin / S. Junqua

71'

↕ S. Solans / V. Olatunji

78'

↕ S. Spierings / G. Dillon

78'

↕ M. Guilavogui / Z. Booth

82'

84'

A. Pellegrino / L. Morgan ↕

Pre-match prediction

53.45%

Real ←

23.34%

X

23.21%

San

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Real Salt Lake) 53.45% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Real

4.20

2.63

-1.57

San

1.17

1.30

+0.13

Real Salt Lake dominated by xG (2.63 vs 1.30). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	12	29
1	Nashville SC	12	27
2	San Jose Earthquakes	13	29
2	Inter Miami	13	25
3	Seattle Sounders	11	24
3	New England Revolution	12	22
4	Chicago Fire	12	20
4	Real Salt Lake	12	22
5	Los Angeles FC	13	21
5	New York City FC	13	18
6	Minnesota United FC	13	21
6	New York Red Bulls	13	18
7	DC United	13	16
7	FC Dallas	13	19
8	Houston Dynamo	12	18
8	FC Cincinnati	13	16
9	Charlotte	13	15
9	Colorado Rapids	13	16
10	San Diego	13	16
10	Toronto FC	12	14
11	CF Montreal	12	13
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	13	16
12	Orlando City SC	13	13
12	Portland Timbers	12	14
13	Austin	13	14
13	Columbus Crew	13	12
14	St. Louis City	12	12
14	Atlanta United FC	12	10
15	Sporting Kansas City	12	8
15	Philadelphia Union	13	6

Lineups

Real Salt Lake 5-4-1

1

G 7.20

98 Alexandros Katranis D 6.90

4

D 7.00

15

J. Glad D 6.20

2 DeAndre Yedlin 70' D 7.20

72 Zavier Gozo D 7.30

9 Morgan Guilavogui 1 ⚽ 82' M 8.20

92 Noel Caliskan M 7.20

6 Stijn Spierings 77' M 7.00

10 Diego Luna 1 ⚽ 70' M 8.00

22 Sergi Solans 2 ⚽ 77' F 9.60

San Diego 4-3-3

18

G 6.20

33 Oscar Verhoeven D 5.20

26 Manu Duah D 6.00

17

O. Soe D 5.50

21 Bryce Duke 45' D 5.30

6

J. Tverskov M 7.20

8 Onni Valakari 66' M 5.90

20 Aníbal Godoy 45' M 6.70

9

L. Morgan 1 👟 84' F 6.70

7 Marcus Ingvartsen 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.30

10 Anders Dreyer 1 ⚽ F 7.90

Bench

77 Alex Mighten 45' F 6.90

90 Amahl Pellegrino 14' F 6.60

14 Bryan Zamblé 24' F 6.50

1

C. J. dos Santos G

19 David Vazquez 24' M 6.70

Best on the pitch

Sergi Solans

F · Real

9.60

2 ⚽

5 shots · 23 pass

Morgan Guilavogui

M · Real

8.20

1 ⚽

4 shots · 54 pass

Diego Luna

M · Real

8.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 39 pass

Anders Dreyer

F · San

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 51 pass

Marcus Ingvartsen

F · San

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 20 pass

Zavier Gozo

D · Real

7.30

2 shots · 32 pass

Real Salt Lake — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	54	43%	—	—	—
Alexandros Katranis	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	29	25%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	48	41%	—	—	—
J. Glad	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	83	81%	—	—	—
DeAndre Yedlin	D	70	7.20	—	—	—	66	61%	5	—	—
Zavier Gozo	D	90	7.30	—	—	2	32	26%	4	—	—
Morgan Guilavogui	M	82	8.20	1	—	4	54	47%	1	1	—
Noel Caliskan	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	48	45%	—	—	—
Stijn Spierings	M	77	7.00	—	—	—	49	46%	1	—	—
Diego Luna	M	70	8.00	1	—	2	39	30%	—	—	—
Sergi Solans	F	77	9.60	2	—	5	23	19%	1	—	—

San Diego — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	33	29%	—	—	—
Oscar Verhoeven	D	90	5.20	—	—	—	53	43%	—	—	—
Manu Duah	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	75	67%	1	—	—
O. Soe	D	90	5.50	—	—	—	59	50%	1	—	—
Bryce Duke	D	45	5.30	—	—	—	20	14%	—	1	—
J. Tverskov	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	92	85%	2	—	—
Onni Valakari	M	66	5.90	—	—	—	39	34%	1	—	—
Aníbal Godoy	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	46	43%	—	—	—
L. Morgan	F	84	6.70	—	1	—	25	22%	1	—	—
Marcus Ingvartsen	F	66	7.30	1	—	2	20	15%	1	—	—
Anders Dreyer	F	90	7.90	1	—	2	51	47%	—	—	—
Alex Mighten	F	45	6.90	—	—	—	14	14%	—	—	—
Amahl Pellegrino	F	14	6.60	—	—	1	2	1%	—	—	—
Bryan Zamblé	F	24	6.50	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
David Vazquez	M	24	6.70	—	—	—	17	14%	1	—	—