MLS · Regular Season - 8 April 19, 2026 05:30

Real Salt Lake

#3 · 26 pts

4 – 2

Final score

San Diego

#10 · 17 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Real Salt Lake

D. Luna 4'

S. Solans 6'

S. Solans 37'

M. Guilavogui 45'

14' (ast. L. Morgan) M. Ingvartsen

(pen.) 65' A. Dreyer

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Salt Lake a 53% win probability (draw 23%, San Diego 23%). The final result was Real Salt Lake 4–2 San Diego. In 1 previous meetings, Real Salt Lake have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for San Diego.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

6

9

Shots on target

5

2.63

Actual xG

1.30

3

Saves

5

48%

Possession

52%

1

Corners

8

12

Tackles

8

1

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽D. Luna

4'

⚽S. Solans

6'

14'

ast. L. Morgan · M. Ingvartsen⚽

⚽S. Solans

37'

45'+5

B. Duke

⚽M. Guilavogui

45'

46'

P. Soma / A. Godoy ↕

46'

A. Mighten / B. Duke ↕

M. Guilavogui

52'

65'

(pen.) A. Dreyer⚽

68'

D. Vazquez / O. Valakari ↕

68'

B. B. Zamble / M. Ingvartsen ↕

↕ D. Luna / A. Hezarkhani

71'

↕ D. Yedlin / S. Junqua

71'

↕ S. Solans / V. Olatunji

78'

↕ S. Spierings / G. Dillon

78'

↕ M. Guilavogui / Z. Booth

82'

84'

A. Pellegrino / L. Morgan ↕

Pre-match prediction

53.45%

Real ←

23.34%

X

23.21%

San

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Real Salt Lake) 53.45% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Real

4.20

2.63

-1.57

San

1.17

1.30

+0.13

Real Salt Lake dominated by xG (2.63 vs 1.30). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	14	32
2	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
3	Real Salt Lake	14	26
4	FC Dallas	15	25
5	Los Angeles FC	15	24
6	Seattle Sounders	13	24
7	Houston Dynamo	14	22
8	Minnesota United FC	15	22
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
10	San Diego	15	17
11	Colorado Rapids	15	16
12	St. Louis City	14	16
13	Portland Timbers	14	14
14	Austin	15	14
15	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Lineups

Real Salt Lake 5-4-1

1

G 7.20

98 Alexandros Katranis D 6.90

4

D 7.00

15 Justen Glad D 6.20

2 DeAndre Yedlin 70' D 7.20

72 Z. Gozo D 7.30

9 Morgan Guilavogui 1 ⚽ 82' M 8.20

92 Noel Caliskan M 7.20

6 Stijn Spierings 77' M 7.00

10 D. Luna 1 ⚽ 70' M 8.00

22 Sergi Solans 2 ⚽ 77' F 9.60

San Diego 4-3-3

18

G 6.20

33 Oscar Verhoeven D 5.20

26 M. Duah D 6.00

17

O. Soe D 5.50

21 Bryce Duke 45' D 5.30

6

J. Tverskov M 7.20

8 Onni Valakari 66' M 5.90

20 Aníbal Godoy 45' M 6.70

9 Lewis Morgan 1 👟 84' F 6.70

7 M. Ingvartsen 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.30

10 A. Dreyer 1 ⚽ F 7.90

Bench

77 Alex Mighten 45' F 6.90

90 Amahl Pellegrino 14' F 6.60

14 Bryan Zamblé 24' F 6.50

1 CJ Dos Santos G

19 D. Vazquez 24' M 6.70

Best on the pitch

Sergi Solans

F · Real

9.60

2 ⚽

5 shots · 23 pass

Morgan Guilavogui

M · Real

8.20

1 ⚽

4 shots · 54 pass

D. Luna

M · Real

8.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 39 pass

A. Dreyer

F · San

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 51 pass

M. Ingvartsen

F · San

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 20 pass

Z. Gozo

D · Real

7.30

2 shots · 32 pass

Real Salt Lake — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	54	43%	—	—	—
Alexandros Katranis	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	29	25%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	48	41%	—	—	—
Justen Glad	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	83	81%	—	—	—
DeAndre Yedlin	D	70	7.20	—	—	—	66	61%	5	—	—
Z. Gozo	D	90	7.30	—	—	2	32	26%	4	—	—
Morgan Guilavogui	M	82	8.20	1	—	4	54	47%	1	1	—
Noel Caliskan	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	48	45%	—	—	—
Stijn Spierings	M	77	7.00	—	—	—	49	46%	1	—	—
D. Luna	M	70	8.00	1	—	2	39	30%	—	—	—
Sergi Solans	F	77	9.60	2	—	5	23	19%	1	—	—

San Diego — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	33	29%	—	—	—
Oscar Verhoeven	D	90	5.20	—	—	—	53	43%	—	—	—
M. Duah	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	75	67%	1	—	—
O. Soe	D	90	5.50	—	—	—	59	50%	1	—	—
Bryce Duke	D	45	5.30	—	—	—	20	14%	—	1	—
J. Tverskov	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	92	85%	2	—	—
Onni Valakari	M	66	5.90	—	—	—	39	34%	1	—	—
Aníbal Godoy	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	46	43%	—	—	—
Lewis Morgan	F	84	6.70	—	1	—	25	22%	1	—	—
M. Ingvartsen	F	66	7.30	1	—	2	20	15%	1	—	—
A. Dreyer	F	90	7.90	1	—	2	51	47%	—	—	—
Alex Mighten	F	45	6.90	—	—	—	14	14%	—	—	—
Amahl Pellegrino	F	14	6.60	—	—	1	2	1%	—	—	—
Bryan Zamblé	F	24	6.50	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
D. Vazquez	M	24	6.70	—	—	—	17	14%	1	—	—