MLS · Regular Season - 8 April 19, 2026 03:30

Real Salt Lake

#11 · 32 pts

4 – 2

Final score

San Diego

#12 · 32 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Real Salt Lake

D. Luna 4'

S. Solans 6'

S. Solans 37'

M. Guilavogui 45'

14' (ast. L. Morgan) M. Ingvartsen

(pen.) 65' A. Dreyer

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Salt Lake a 53% win probability (draw 23%, San Diego 23%). The final result was Real Salt Lake 4–2 San Diego. In 1 previous meetings, Real Salt Lake have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for San Diego.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

6

9

Shots on target

5

2.63

Actual xG

1.30

3

Saves

5

48%

Possession

52%

1

Corners

8

12

Tackles

8

1

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽D. Luna

4'

⚽S. Solans

6'

14'

ast. L. Morgan · M. Ingvartsen⚽

⚽S. Solans

37'

45'+5

B. Duke

⚽M. Guilavogui

45'

46'

P. Soma / A. Godoy ↕

46'

A. Mighten / B. Duke ↕

M. Guilavogui

52'

65'

(pen.) A. Dreyer⚽

68'

D. Vazquez / O. Valakari ↕

68'

B. B. Zamble / M. Ingvartsen ↕

↕ D. Luna / A. Hezarkhani

71'

↕ D. Yedlin / S. Junqua

71'

↕ S. Solans / V. Olatunji

78'

↕ S. Spierings / G. Dillon

78'

↕ M. Guilavogui / Z. Booth

82'

84'

A. Pellegrino / L. Morgan ↕

Pre-match prediction

53.45%

Real ←

23.34%

X

23.21%

San

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Real Salt Lake) 53.45% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Real

4.20

2.63

-1.57

San

1.17

1.30

+0.13

Real Salt Lake dominated by xG (2.63 vs 1.30). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	50
2	St. Louis City	27	47
3	FC Dallas	27	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	36
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	32
12	San Diego	27	32
13	Austin	27	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	21

Lineups

Real Salt Lake 5-4-1

1

G 7.20

98 Alexandros Katranis D 6.90

4

D 7.00

15 Justen Glad D 6.20

2 D. Yedlin 70' D 7.20

72 Zavier Gozo D 7.30

9 M. Guilavogui 1 ⚽ 82' M 8.20

92 N. Caliskan M 7.20

6 S. Spierings 77' M 7.00

10 D. Luna 1 ⚽ 70' M 8.00

22 S. Solans 2 ⚽ 77' F 9.60

San Diego 4-3-3

18

G 6.20

33 O. Verhoeven D 5.20

26 M. Duah D 6.00

17 O. Søe D 5.50

21 B. Duke 45' D 5.30

6 J. Tverskov M 7.20

8 O. Valakari 66' M 5.90

20 A. Godoy 45' M 6.70

9 L. Morgan 1 👟 84' F 6.70

7 M. Ingvartsen 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.30

10 A. Dreyer 1 ⚽ F 7.90

Bench

77 A. Mighten 45' F 6.90

90 A. Pellegrino 14' F 6.60

14 B. B. Zamble 24' F 6.50

1 C. dos Santos G

19 D. Vazquez 24' M 6.70

Best on the pitch

S. Solans

F · Real

9.60

2 ⚽

5 shots · 23 pass

M. Guilavogui

M · Real

8.20

1 ⚽

4 shots · 54 pass

D. Luna

M · Real

8.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 39 pass

A. Dreyer

F · San

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 51 pass

M. Ingvartsen

F · San

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 20 pass

Zavier Gozo

D · Real

7.30

2 shots · 32 pass

Real Salt Lake — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	54	43%	—	—	—
Alexandros Katranis	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	29	25%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	48	41%	—	—	—
Justen Glad	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	83	81%	—	—	—
D. Yedlin	D	70	7.20	—	—	—	66	61%	5	—	—
Zavier Gozo	D	90	7.30	—	—	2	32	26%	4	—	—
M. Guilavogui	M	82	8.20	1	—	4	54	47%	1	1	—
N. Caliskan	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	48	45%	—	—	—
S. Spierings	M	77	7.00	—	—	—	49	46%	1	—	—
D. Luna	M	70	8.00	1	—	2	39	30%	—	—	—
S. Solans	F	77	9.60	2	—	5	23	19%	1	—	—

San Diego — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	33	29%	—	—	—
O. Verhoeven	D	90	5.20	—	—	—	53	43%	—	—	—
M. Duah	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	75	67%	1	—	—
O. Søe	D	90	5.50	—	—	—	59	50%	1	—	—
B. Duke	D	45	5.30	—	—	—	20	14%	—	1	—
J. Tverskov	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	92	85%	2	—	—
O. Valakari	M	66	5.90	—	—	—	39	34%	1	—	—
A. Godoy	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	46	43%	—	—	—
L. Morgan	F	84	6.70	—	1	—	25	22%	1	—	—
M. Ingvartsen	F	66	7.30	1	—	2	20	15%	1	—	—
A. Dreyer	F	90	7.90	1	—	2	51	47%	—	—	—
A. Mighten	F	45	6.90	—	—	—	14	14%	—	—	—
A. Pellegrino	F	14	6.60	—	—	1	2	1%	—	—	—
B. B. Zamble	F	24	6.50	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
D. Vazquez	M	24	6.70	—	—	—	17	14%	1	—	—