Real Salt Lake 3–1 Sporting Kansas City — pre-match prediction — MLS — April 05, 2026

← MLS

MLS · Regular Season - 6 April 05, 2026 00:30

Real Salt Lake

#4 · 22 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Sporting Kansas City

#15 · 8 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Real Salt Lake

Diego Luna (ast. Noel Caliskan) 4'

Sergi Solans (ast. Zavier Gozo) 55'

Zavier Gozo (ast. Noel Caliskan) 82'

59' (ast. Justin Reynolds) Dejan Joveljić

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Salt Lake a 52% win probability (draw 23%, Sporting Kansas City 23%). The final result was Real Salt Lake 3–1 Sporting Kansas City.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.58

Actual xG

0.48

Saves

49%

Possession

51%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Diego Luna · ast. Noel Caliskan

45'+1

46'

Diego Borges / Ethan Bartlow ↕

⚽Sergi Solans · ast. Zavier Gozo

55'

59'

ast. Justin Reynolds · Dejan Joveljić⚽

64'

Zorhan Bassong / Ian James ↕

64'

Jacob Bartlett / Justin Reynolds ↕

↕ Alexandros Katranis / Sam Junqua

72'

↕ Sergi Solans / Victor Olatunji

72'

74'

Stephen Afrifa / Calvin Harris ↕

⚽Zavier Gozo · ast. Noel Caliskan

82'

↕ Diego Luna / Dominik Marczuk

84'

↕ Stijn Spierings / Griffin Dillon

84'

Morgan Guilavogui

88'

↕ Zavier Gozo / Jesus Barea

90'

Pre-match prediction

52.55%

Real ←

23.86%

23.59%

Sporting

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Real Salt Lake) 52.55% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Real

4.33

2.58

-1.75

Sporting

0.66

0.48

-0.18

Real Salt Lake dominated by xG (2.58 vs 0.48). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	12	29
1	Nashville SC	12	27
2	San Jose Earthquakes	13	29
2	Inter Miami	13	25
3	Seattle Sounders	11	24
3	New England Revolution	12	22
4	Chicago Fire	12	20
4	Real Salt Lake	12	22
5	Los Angeles FC	13	21
5	New York City FC	13	18
6	Minnesota United FC	13	21
6	New York Red Bulls	13	18
7	DC United	13	16
7	FC Dallas	13	19
8	Houston Dynamo	12	18
8	FC Cincinnati	13	16
9	Charlotte	13	15
9	Colorado Rapids	13	16
10	San Diego	13	16
10	Toronto FC	12	14
11	CF Montreal	12	13
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	13	16
12	Orlando City SC	13	13
12	Portland Timbers	12	14
13	Austin	13	14
13	Columbus Crew	13	12
14	St. Louis City	12	12
14	Atlanta United FC	12	10
15	Sporting Kansas City	12	8
15	Philadelphia Union	13	6

Lineups

Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1

G 7.20

D 7.00

J. Glad D 7.20

D 6.90

Alexandros Katranis 72' M 6.90

Noel Caliskan 2 👟 M 6.90

Stijn Spierings 84' M 7.30

Zavier Gozo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' M 9.20

Morgan Guilavogui F 7.70

Diego Luna 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.90

Sergi Solans 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.70

Sporting Kansas City 3-4-3

G 6.00

Ethan Bartlow 45' D 6.20

D 6.90

Ian James 64' D 6.20

Shapi Suleymanov M 6.30

M 6.90

Jacob Davis M 5.90

Justin Reynolds 1 👟 64' M 6.90

Calvin Harris 74' F 7.00

Dejan Joveljić 1 ⚽ F 7.50

Manu García F 6.90

Bench

Diego Borges

Jacob Bartlett 26' D 6.30

Macielo Tschantret M

Taylor Calheira F

Best on the pitch

Zavier Gozo

M · Real

9.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 28 pass

Diego Luna

F · Real

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 44 pass

Sergi Solans

F · Real

7.70

1 ⚽

4 shots · 17 pass

Morgan Guilavogui

F · Real

7.70

· 31 pass

Dejan Joveljić

F · Sporting

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 23 pass

Stijn Spierings

M · Real

7.30

1 shots · 35 pass

Real Salt Lake — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	34	25%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	44	34%	1	—	—
J. Glad	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	41	39%	1	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	51	42%	1	—	—
Alexandros Katranis	M	72	6.90	—	—	1	18	13%	—	—	—
Noel Caliskan	M	90	6.90	—	2	1	51	39%	—	—	—
Stijn Spierings	M	84	7.30	—	—	1	35	33%	3	—	—
Zavier Gozo	M	89	9.20	1	1	3	28	25%	1	—	—
Morgan Guilavogui	F	90	7.70	—	—	—	31	23%	—	1	—
Diego Luna	F	84	7.90	1	—	3	44	33%	1	—	—
Sergi Solans	F	72	7.70	1	—	4	17	11%	1	—	—

Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.00	—	—	—	33	17%	—	—	—
Ethan Bartlow	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	26	17%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	39	32%	—	—	—
Ian James	D	64	6.20	—	—	—	32	25%	1	—	—
Shapi Suleymanov	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	32	28%	2	—	—
	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	69	60%	1	—	—
Jacob Davis	M	90	5.90	—	—	—	51	40%	2	—	—
Justin Reynolds	M	64	6.90	—	1	1	27	24%	2	—	—
Calvin Harris	F	74	7.00	—	—	2	15	11%	1	—	—
Dejan Joveljić	F	90	7.50	1	—	1	23	19%	1	—	—
Manu García	F	90	6.90	—	—	1	36	30%	1	—	—
Jacob Bartlett	D	26	6.30	—	—	—	16	14%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City?

The final score was Real Salt Lake 3–1 Sporting Kansas City.

What did the model predict before Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City?

The model assigned 52% probability to a Real Salt Lake win, 23% to a draw, and 23% to an Sporting Kansas City win.