MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 04, 2026 22:30
✓Model correct — prediction Real Salt Lake
Diego Luna
(ast. Noel Caliskan)
4'
Sergi Solans
(ast. Zavier Gozo)
55'
Zavier Gozo
(ast. Noel Caliskan)
82'
59'
(ast. Justin Reynolds)
Dejan Joveljić
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Salt Lake a 52% win probability (draw 23%, Sporting Kansas City 23%). The final result was Real Salt Lake 3–1 Sporting Kansas City.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
3
2.58
Actual xG
0.48
2
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
7
Corners
1
9
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Diego Luna
· ast. Noel Caliskan
4'
45'+1
46'
Diego Borges
/
Ethan Bartlow
⚽Sergi Solans
· ast. Zavier Gozo
55'
59'
ast. Justin Reynolds ·
Dejan Joveljić⚽
64'
Zorhan Bassong
/
Ian James
64'
Jacob Bartlett
/
Justin Reynolds
Alexandros Katranis
/ Sam Junqua
72'
Sergi Solans
/ Victor Olatunji
72'
74'
Stephen Afrifa
/
Calvin Harris
⚽Zavier Gozo
· ast. Noel Caliskan
82'
Diego Luna
/ Dominik Marczuk
84'
Stijn Spierings
/ Griffin Dillon
84'
Morgan Guilavogui
88'
Zavier Gozo
/ Jesus Barea
90'
Pre-match prediction
52.55%
Real ←
23.86%
X
23.59%
Sporting
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Real Salt Lake)
52.55%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.33
2.58
-1.75
0.66
0.48
-0.18
Real Salt Lake dominated by xG (2.58 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
4
D
15
Justen Glad
D
Justen Glad
D
26
D
98
Alexandros Katranis
72'
M
Alexandros Katranis
72'
M
92
Noel Caliskan
2 👟
M
Noel Caliskan
2 👟
M
6
Stijn Spierings
84'
M
Stijn Spierings
84'
M
72
Z. Gozo
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
Z. Gozo
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
9
Morgan Guilavogui
F
Morgan Guilavogui
F
10
D. Luna
1 ⚽
84'
F
D. Luna
1 ⚽
84'
F
22
Sergi Solans
1 ⚽
72'
F
Sergi Solans
1 ⚽
72'
F
1
G
23
Ethan Bartlow
45'
D
Ethan Bartlow
45'
D
15
D
2
Ian James
64'
D
Ian James
64'
D
93
Shapi Suleymanov
M
Shapi Suleymanov
M
4
M
8
Jacob Davis
M
Jacob Davis
M
13
J. Reynolds
1 👟
64'
M
11
Calvin Harris
74'
F
Calvin Harris
74'
F
9
D. Joveljić
1 ⚽
F
D. Joveljić
1 ⚽
F
6
Manu García
F
Manu García
F
Bench
57
Diego Borges
16
Jacob Bartlett
26'
D
Jacob Bartlett
26'
D
14
Macielo Tschantret
M
Macielo Tschantret
M
19
Taylor Calheira
F
Taylor Calheira
F
Best on the pitch
Z. Gozo
M · Real
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 28 pass
D. Luna
F · Real
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 44 pass
Sergi Solans
F · Real
7.70
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 17 pass
Morgan Guilavogui
F · Real
7.70
· 31 pass
D. Joveljić
F · Sporting
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Stijn Spierings
M · Real
7.30
1 shots
· 35 pass
Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 34% | 1 | — | — | |
| Justen Glad | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 42% | 1 | — | — | |
| Alexandros Katranis | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Noel Caliskan | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 2 | 1 | 51 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Stijn Spierings | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Z. Gozo | M | 89 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Morgan Guilavogui | F | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Luna | F | 84 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 44 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergi Solans | F | 72 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Ethan Bartlow | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| Ian James | D | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Shapi Suleymanov | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 60% | 1 | — | — | |
| Jacob Davis | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Reynolds | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Calvin Harris | F | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Joveljić | F | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Manu García | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Bartlett | D | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City?
The final score was Real Salt Lake 3–1 Sporting Kansas City.
What did the model predict before Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Real Salt Lake win, 23% to a draw, and 23% to an Sporting Kansas City win.