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La Liga · Regular Season - 31 April 11, 2026 16:00
Real Sociedad
#8 · 45 pts
3 – 3
Final score
Alaves
#16 · 40 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Real Sociedad, result Pareggio
L. Sucic (ast. A. Barrenetxea) 14'
A. Sivera 27' (og)
O. Oskarsson (ast. T. Kubo) 60'
(og) 3' D. Caleta-Car
24' I. Diabate
90'+7 (ast. D. Suarez) L. Boye

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Sociedad a 60% win probability (draw 20%, Alaves 19%). The final result was Real Sociedad 3–3 Alaves. In 2 previous meetings, Real Sociedad have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Alaves.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
2
0.94
Actual xG
1.01
0
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
8
Corners
5
16
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
3'
(og) D. Caleta-Car⚽
⚽L. Sucic · ast. A. Barrenetxea
14'
24'
I. Diabate⚽
⚽A. Sivera (og)
27'
↕ A. Barrenetxea / G. Guedes
46'
↕ B. Mendez / T. Kubo
54'
59'
A. Rebbach
60'
L. Boye / I. Diabate ↕
⚽O. Oskarsson · ast. T. Kubo
60'
T. Kubo
64'
66'
A. Perez
66'
C. Alena / J. Guridi ↕
66'
A. Guevara / P. Ibanez ↕
↕ O. Oskarsson / P. Marin
72'
86'
D. Suarez / A. Perez ↕
↕ L. Sucic / L. Beitia
86'
↕ A. Elustondo / A. Munoz
86'
P. Matarazzo
90'+2
S. Gomez
90'+3
90'+7
ast. D. Suarez · L. Boye⚽
G. Guedes
90'+9
90'+10
D. Suarez
Pre-match prediction
60.76%
Real
20.13%
X ←
19.12%
Alaves
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.13% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Real
2.22
0.94
-1.28
Alaves
1.25
1.01
-0.24
xG dominance was balanced (0.94 – 1.01). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 36 91
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 36 80
3 Villarreal Villarreal 36 69
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 36 66
5 Real Betis Real Betis 36 57
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 36 50
7 Getafe Getafe 36 48
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 36 45
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 44
10 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 36 44
11 Valencia Valencia 36 43
12 Sevilla Sevilla 36 43
13 Osasuna Osasuna 36 42
14 Espanyol Espanyol 36 42
15 Girona Girona 36 40
16 Alaves Alaves 36 40
17 Elche Elche 36 39
18 Mallorca Mallorca 36 39
19 Levante Levante 36 39
20 Oviedo Oviedo 36 29
Lineups
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.00
17 Sergio Gómez Sergio Gómez D 6.30
16 Duje Ćaleta-Car Duje Ćaleta-Car 1 ⚽ D 5.30
6 Aritz Elustondo Aritz Elustondo 86' D 6.30
2 J. Aramburu J. Aramburu D 6.70
18 Carlos Soler Carlos Soler M 6.90
8 Beñat Turrientes Beñat Turrientes M 6.50
7 Ander Barrenetxea Ander Barrenetxea 1 👟 45' M 7.20
23 Brais Méndez Brais Méndez 54' M 6.50
24 Luka Sučić Luka Sučić 1 ⚽ 86' M 8.00
9 O. Óskarsson O. Óskarsson 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.30
Bench
3 Aihen Muñoz Aihen Muñoz 11' D 6.20
11 Gonçalo Guedes Gonçalo Guedes 52' F 6.60
10 Mikel Oyarzabal Mikel Oyarzabal F
15 Pablo Marín Pablo Marín 25' M 6.50
14 Takefusa Kubo Takefusa Kubo 1 👟 43' F 8.00
Alaves Alaves 5-3-2
1 Antonio Sivera Antonio Sivera 1 ⚽ G 6.30
21 Abderrahman Rebbach Abderrahman Rebbach D 6.30
24 Victor Parada Victor Parada D 6.00
14 Nahuel Tenaglia Nahuel Tenaglia D 6.70
17 Jonny Otto Jonny Otto D 6.00
7
Ángel Pérez 86' D 6.20
18 Jon Guridi Jon Guridi 66' M 6.20
8 Antonio Blanco Antonio Blanco M 6.60
19 Pablo Ibáñez Pablo Ibáñez 66' M 5.90
22 Ibrahim Diabaté Ibrahim Diabaté 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.20
11 Toni Martínez Toni Martínez F 6.60
Bench
10 Carles Aleñá Carles Aleñá 31' M 6.30
4 Denis Suárez Denis Suárez 1 👟 11' M 6.60
15 L. Boyé L. Boyé 1 ⚽ 37' F 6.90
3 Youssef Enriquez Youssef Enriquez D
Best on the pitch
Takefusa Kubo
Takefusa Kubo
F · Real
8.00
1 👟
· 13 pass
Luka Sučić
Luka Sučić
M · Real
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 39 pass
O. Óskarsson
O. Óskarsson
F · Real
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Ibrahim Diabaté
Ibrahim Diabaté
F · Alaves
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
Ander Barrenetxea
Ander Barrenetxea
M · Real
7.20
1 👟
· 19 pass
L. Boyé
L. Boyé
F · Alaves
6.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 4 pass
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 6.00 — — — 47 37% — — —
Sergio Gómez D 93 6.30 — — — 42 40% 3 — 1
Duje Ćaleta-Car D 97 5.30 1 — 1 55 47% — — —
Aritz Elustondo D 86 6.30 — — — 50 41% 1 — —
J. Aramburu D 97 6.70 — — — 41 36% 2 — —
Carlos Soler M 97 6.90 — — — 66 55% — — —
Beñat Turrientes M 97 6.50 — — 2 66 56% 2 — —
Ander Barrenetxea M 45 7.20 — 1 — 19 16% 2 — —
Brais Méndez M 54 6.50 — — 1 32 28% 3 — —
Luka Sučić M 86 8.00 1 — 2 39 30% 3 — —
O. Óskarsson F 72 7.30 1 — 1 14 11% — — —
Aihen Muñoz D 11 6.20 — — — 2 2% — — —
Gonçalo Guedes F 52 6.60 — — 1 9 5% — — —
Pablo Marín M 25 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
Takefusa Kubo F 43 8.00 — 1 — 13 11% — 1 —
Alaves Alaves — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Antonio Sivera G 97 6.30 1 — — 31 11% — — —
Abderrahman Rebbach D 97 6.30 — — — 31 25% 4 1 —
Victor Parada D 97 6.00 — — 1 31 24% — — —
Nahuel Tenaglia D 97 6.70 — — — 47 41% 3 — —
Jonny Otto D 97 6.00 — — — 55 51% — — —
Ángel Pérez D 86 6.20 — — — 38 27% 4 1 —
Jon Guridi M 66 6.20 — — — 21 18% 2 — —
Antonio Blanco M 97 6.60 — — 2 55 50% 2 — —
Pablo Ibáñez M 66 5.90 — — — 25 18% — — —
Ibrahim Diabaté F 60 7.20 1 — 1 8 7% — — —
Toni Martínez F 97 6.60 — — 2 22 15% — — —
Carles Aleñá M 31 6.30 — — — 18 16% — — —
Denis Suárez M 11 6.60 — 1 — 8 7% — — —
L. Boyé F 37 6.90 1 — 3 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Alaves?
The final score was Real Sociedad 3–3 Alaves.
What did the model predict before Real Sociedad vs Alaves?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Real Sociedad win, 20% to a draw, and 19% to an Alaves win.