Serie B · Regular Season - 31 March 17, 2026 20:00

Reggiana

#18 · 37 pts

0 – 0

Final score

Monza

#3 · 76 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Monza, result Pareggio

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 74% win probability (draw 13%, Reggiana 12%). The final result was Reggiana 0–0 Monza. In 1 previous meetings, Reggiana have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Monza.

Match statistics

0

Shots on target

6

0.50

Actual xG

1.19

32%

Possession

68%

3

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

12.28%

Reggiana

13.51%

X ←

74.22%

Monza

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 13.51% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Reggiana

0.40

0.50

+0.1

Monza

2.56

1.19

-1.37

Monza dominated by xG (1.19 vs 0.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Venezia	38	82
2	Frosinone	38	81
3	Monza	38	76
4	Palermo	38	72
5	Catanzaro	38	59
6	Modena	38	55
7	Juve Stabia	38	51
8	Avellino	38	49
9	Mantova	38	46
10	Padova	38	46
11	Cesena	38	46
12	Carrarese	38	44
13	Sampdoria	38	44
14	Virtus Entella	38	42
15	Empoli	38	41
16	Sudtirol	38	41
17	Bari	38	40
18	Reggiana	38	37
19	Spezia	38	35
20	Pescara	38	35