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✗Model wrong — prediction Monza, result Draw
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 74% win probability (draw 13%, Reggiana 12%). The final result was Reggiana 0–0 Monza. In 1 previous meetings, Reggiana have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Monza.

Match statistics
0
Shots on target
6
0.50
Actual xG
1.19
32%
Possession
68%
3
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
12.28%
Reggiana
13.51%
X ←
74.22%
Monza
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 13.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Reggiana
0.40
0.50
+0.1
Monza
2.56
1.19
-1.37
Monza dominated by xG (1.19 vs 0.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 10 26
2 Modena Modena 10 20
3 Ascoli Ascoli 10 19
4 Mantova Mantova 10 18
5 Avellino Avellino 10 15
6 Benevento Benevento 10 15
7 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 10 15
8 Pisa Pisa 10 15
9 Padova Padova 10 14
10 Sudtirol Sudtirol 10 14
11 Cremonese Cremonese 10 12
12 Cesena Cesena 10 12
13 Arezzo Arezzo 10 11
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 10 10
15 Carrarese Carrarese 10 10
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 10 9
17 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 10 9
18 Empoli Empoli 10 8
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 10 8
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 10 6
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Reggiana vs Monza?
The final score was Reggiana 0–0 Monza.
What did the model predict before Reggiana vs Monza?
The model assigned 12% probability to a Reggiana win, 13% to a draw, and 74% to an Monza win.