← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 17:15
Rennes
#5 · 59 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Nantes
#17 · 23 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Rennes
E. Lepaul 8' (pen.)
V. Rongier 90'+2
40' (ast. N. Cozza) I. Ganago

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rennes a 78% win probability (draw 13%, Nantes 7%). The final result was Rennes 2–1 Nantes. In 1 previous meetings, Rennes have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Nantes.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
8
1.31
Actual xG
2.39
6
Saves
3
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
8
10
Tackles
25
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽E. Lepaul (pen.)
8'
38'
N. Cozza
40'
ast. N. Cozza · I. Ganago⚽
50'
D. Machado
59'
68'
B. Guirassy / L. Leroux ↕
↕ A. Seidu / M. Nagida
68'
↕ L. Blas / S. Szymanski
68'
68'
D. Tabibou / M. Kaba ↕
A. Ait Boudlal
73'
77'
M. Acapandie / F. Guilbert ↕
↕ B. Embolo / Y. Zabiri
81'
87'
Mostafa Mohamed / I. Ganago ↕
87'
Y. El Arabi / M. Abline ↕
V. Rongier
88'
↕ M. Tamari / N. Mukiele
90'+1
⚽V. Rongier
90'+2
S. Szymanski
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
78.52%
Rennes ←
13.76%
X
7.72%
Nantes
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Rennes) 78.52% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rennes
2.64
1.31
-1.34
Nantes
0.62
2.39
+1.78
Nantes dominated by xG (2.39 vs 1.31). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Rennes Rennes 4-4-2
30 Brice Samba Brice Samba G 7.90
26 Q. Merlin Q. Merlin D 7.20
3 Lilian Brassier Lilian Brassier D 7.70
48 Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal D 7.20
36 Alidu Seidu Alidu Seidu 68' D 7.20
11 Mousa Tamari Mousa Tamari 89' M 7.20
45 Mahdi Camara Mahdi Camara M 6.30
21 Valentin Rongier Valentin Rongier 1 ⚽ M 8.20
10 Ludovic Blas Ludovic Blas 68' M 6.20
9 E. Lepaul E. Lepaul 1 ⚽ F 7.30
7 B. Embolo B. Embolo 81' F 7.20
Bench
24 Anthony Rouault Anthony Rouault D
6 Djaoui Cissé Djaoui Cissé M
18 Mahamadou Nagida Mahamadou Nagida 22' D 7.00
65 Nordan Mukiele Nordan Mukiele 9' F 6.30
17 Sebastian Szymański Sebastian Szymański 22' M 6.90
77 Yassir Zabiri Yassir Zabiri 9' F 6.30
Nantes Nantes 4-2-3-1
1
A. Lopes G 6.90
27
D. Machado D 6.70
3
N. Cozza 1 👟 D 8.20
2
Ali Youssef D 7.00
24
F. Guilbert 77' D 6.70
28
Ibrahima Sissoko M 6.90
8
J. Lepenant M 7.60
66
L. Leroux 68' M 6.30
10 M. Abline M. Abline 87' M 6.30
21
M. Kaba 68' M 6.30
37
I. Ganago 1 ⚽ 87' F 8.00
Bench
6
Chidozie Awaziem D
17
Dehmaine Tabibou 22' M 6.50
22
M. Acapandie 13' D 6.50
31
Mostafa Mohamed 13' F 6.30
20
R. Cabella M
19
Y. El Arabi 13' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
Valentin Rongier
Valentin Rongier
M · Rennes
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 64 pass
N. Cozza
D · Nantes
8.20
1 👟
2 shots · 26 pass
I. Ganago
F · Nantes
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
Brice Samba
Brice Samba
G · Rennes
7.90
· 38 pass
Lilian Brassier
Lilian Brassier
D · Rennes
7.70
1 shots · 54 pass
J. Lepenant
M · Nantes
7.60
· 30 pass
Rennes Rennes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Brice Samba G 90 7.90 — — — 38 30% — — —
Q. Merlin D 90 7.20 — — — 39 23% — — —
Lilian Brassier D 90 7.70 — — 1 54 48% 1 — —
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal D 90 7.20 — — 1 55 50% 2 1 —
Alidu Seidu D 68 7.20 — — — 31 28% 1 — —
Mousa Tamari M 89 7.20 — — — 22 18% 1 — —
Mahdi Camara M 90 6.30 — — 1 43 41% 1 — —
Valentin Rongier M 90 8.20 1 — 1 64 59% 2 1 —
Ludovic Blas M 68 6.20 — — — 27 23% — — —
E. Lepaul F 90 7.30 1 — 3 27 22% — — —
B. Embolo F 81 7.20 — — — 14 13% 2 — —
Mahamadou Nagida D 22 7.00 — — — 22 19% — — —
Nordan Mukiele F 9 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Sebastian Szymański M 22 6.90 — — — 21 14% — 1 —
Yassir Zabiri F 9 6.30 — — 2 2 2% — — —
Nantes Nantes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Lopes G 90 6.90 — — — 33 24% — — —
D. Machado D 90 6.70 — — — 24 19% 2 1 —
N. Cozza D 90 8.20 — 1 2 26 20% 5 1 —
Ali Youssef D 90 7.00 — — — 36 31% 2 — —
F. Guilbert D 77 6.70 — — 2 17 9% 1 — —
Ibrahima Sissoko M 90 6.90 — — 1 22 18% 1 — —
J. Lepenant M 90 7.60 — — — 30 22% 6 — —
L. Leroux M 68 6.30 — — — 14 7% 2 — —
M. Abline M 87 6.30 — — 2 12 8% — — —
M. Kaba M 68 6.30 — — 3 10 4% 4 — —
I. Ganago F 87 8.00 1 — 3 16 12% 1 — —
Dehmaine Tabibou M 22 6.50 — — — 7 4% — — —
M. Acapandie D 13 6.50 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Mostafa Mohamed F 13 6.30 — — 1 1 1% — — —
Y. El Arabi F 13 6.50 — — — 3 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rennes vs Nantes?
The final score was Rennes 2–1 Nantes.
What did the model predict before Rennes vs Nantes?
The model assigned 78% probability to a Rennes win, 13% to a draw, and 7% to an Nantes win.