✓Model correct — prediction Rennes
E. Lepaul
8'
(pen.)
V. Rongier
90'+2
40'
(ast. N. Cozza)
I. Ganago
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rennes a 78% win probability (draw 13%, Nantes 7%). The final result was Rennes 2–1 Nantes. In 1 previous meetings, Rennes have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Nantes.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
8
1.31
Actual xG
2.39
6
Saves
3
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
8
10
Tackles
25
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽E. Lepaul
(pen.)
8'
38'
N. Cozza
40'
ast. N. Cozza ·
I. Ganago⚽
50'
D. Machado
59'
68'
B. Guirassy
/
L. Leroux
A. Seidu
/ M. Nagida
68'
L. Blas
/ S. Szymanski
68'
68'
D. Tabibou
/
M. Kaba
A. Ait Boudlal
73'
77'
M. Acapandie
/
F. Guilbert
B. Embolo
/ Y. Zabiri
81'
87'
Mostafa Mohamed
/
I. Ganago
87'
Y. El Arabi
/
M. Abline
V. Rongier
88'
M. Tamari
/ N. Mukiele
90'+1
⚽V. Rongier
90'+2
S. Szymanski
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
78.52%
Rennes ←
13.76%
X
7.72%
Nantes
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Rennes)
78.52%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.64
1.31
-1.34
0.62
2.39
+1.78
Nantes dominated by xG (2.39 vs 1.31).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
B. Samba
G
B. Samba
G
26
Q. Merlin
D
Q. Merlin
D
3
L. Brassier
D
L. Brassier
D
48
A. Ait Boudlal
D
A. Ait Boudlal
D
36
Alidu Seidu
68'
D
Alidu Seidu
68'
D
11
Mousa Tamari
89'
M
Mousa Tamari
89'
M
45
M. Camara
M
M. Camara
M
21
V. Rongier
1 ⚽
M
V. Rongier
1 ⚽
M
10
L. Blas
68'
M
L. Blas
68'
M
9
E. Lepaul
1 ⚽
F
E. Lepaul
1 ⚽
F
7
B. Embolo
81'
F
B. Embolo
81'
F
Bench
24
A. Rouault
D
A. Rouault
D
6
Djaoui Cissé
M
Djaoui Cissé
M
18
M. Nagida
22'
D
M. Nagida
22'
D
77
M. Zabiri
9'
F
M. Zabiri
9'
F
65
N. Mukiele
9'
F
N. Mukiele
9'
F
17
S. Szymański
22'
M
S. Szymański
22'
M
1
Anthony Lopes
G
Anthony Lopes
G
27
Deiver Machado
D
Deiver Machado
D
3
N. Cozza
1 👟
D
N. Cozza
1 👟
D
2
Ali Youssef
D
24
F. Guilbert
77'
D
F. Guilbert
77'
D
28
I. Sissoko
M
I. Sissoko
M
8
J. Lepenant
M
J. Lepenant
M
66
Louis Leroux
68'
M
Louis Leroux
68'
M
10
M. Abline
87'
M
M. Abline
87'
M
21
Mohamed Kaba
68'
M
Mohamed Kaba
68'
M
37
I. Ganago
1 ⚽
87'
F
I. Ganago
1 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
6
Chidozie Awaziem
D
Chidozie Awaziem
D
17
D. Assoumani
22'
M
D. Assoumani
22'
M
22
M. Acapandié
13'
D
M. Acapandié
13'
D
31
Mostafa Mohamed
13'
F
Mostafa Mohamed
13'
F
20
R. Cabella
M
19
Y. El Arabi
13'
F
Best on the pitch
V. Rongier
M · Rennes
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 64 pass
N. Cozza
D · Nantes
8.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 26 pass
I. Ganago
F · Nantes
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
B. Samba
G · Rennes
7.90
· 38 pass
L. Brassier
D · Rennes
7.70
1 shots
· 54 pass
J. Lepenant
M · Nantes
7.60
· 30 pass
Rennes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Samba | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Q. Merlin | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 23% | — | — | — |
| L. Brassier | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ait Boudlal | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alidu Seidu | D | 68 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Mousa Tamari | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Camara | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Rongier | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 64 | 59% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Blas | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| E. Lepaul | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| B. Embolo | F | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Nagida | D | 22 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| M. Zabiri | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| N. Mukiele | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Szymański | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
Nantes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Lopes | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Deiver Machado | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| N. Cozza | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 26 | 20% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Ali Youssef | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Guilbert | D | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sissoko | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lepenant | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 6 | — | — |
| Louis Leroux | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Abline | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Kaba | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 4% | 4 | — | — |
| I. Ganago | F | 87 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Assoumani | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Acapandié | D | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Mostafa Mohamed | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Y. El Arabi | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rennes vs Nantes?
The final score was Rennes 2–1 Nantes.
What did the model predict before Rennes vs Nantes?
The model assigned 78% probability to a Rennes win, 13% to a draw, and 7% to an Nantes win.