Liga Profesional
· Apertura - Quarter-finals
May 14, 2026 02:45
✓Model correct — prediction River Plate
S. Driussi
(ast. F. Colidio)
27'
L. Martinez Quarta
(ast. J. Freitas)
65'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 61% win probability (draw 21%, Gimnasia L.P. 16%). The final result was River Plate 2–0 Gimnasia L.P.. In 1 previous meetings, River Plate have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Gimnasia L.P..
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
5
1.61
Actual xG
0.51
6
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
5
17
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
F. Bustos
24'
⚽S. Driussi
· ast. F. Colidio
27'
M. Acuna
/ M. Vina
33'
41'
I. Miramon
44'
N. Schelotto
46'
M. Zalazar
/
N. Schelotto
S. Driussi
/ J. Freitas
60'
S. Lencina
/ J. Meza
60'
62'
A. Max
⚽L. Martinez Quarta
· ast. J. Freitas
65'
69'
J. Perez
/
A. Max
F. Bustos
/ U. Gimenez
75'
F. Colidio
/ J. Quintero
75'
81'
N. Insfran
83'
M. Melluso
/
P. Silva Torrejon
83'
M. Panaro
/
M. Torres
Pre-match prediction
61.63%
River ←
21.99%
X
16.38%
Gimnasia
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (River Plate)
61.63%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
1.61
-0.15
0.71
0.51
-0.2
River Plate dominated by xG (1.61 vs 0.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
41
Santiago Beltrán
G
Santiago Beltrán
G
21
Marcos Acuña
33'
D
Marcos Acuña
33'
D
13
Lautaro Rivero
D
Lautaro Rivero
D
28
Lucas Martínez Quarta
1 ⚽
D
Lucas Martínez Quarta
1 ⚽
D
16
Fabricio Bustos
75'
D
Fabricio Bustos
75'
D
6
Aníbal Moreno
M
Aníbal Moreno
M
15
Fausto Vera
M
Fausto Vera
M
26
Tomás Galván
M
Tomás Galván
M
39
Santiago Lencina
60'
M
Santiago Lencina
60'
M
9
Sebastián Driussi
1 ⚽
60'
F
Sebastián Driussi
1 ⚽
60'
F
11
Facundo Colidio
1 👟
75'
F
Facundo Colidio
1 👟
75'
F
Bench
1
Franco Armani
G
Franco Armani
G
20
Germán Pezzella
D
Germán Pezzella
D
34
Giuliano Galoppo
M
Giuliano Galoppo
M
35
Joaquin Freitas
1 👟
33'
F
Joaquin Freitas
1 👟
33'
F
24
Juan Cruz Meza
33'
M
Juan Cruz Meza
33'
M
10
Juan Fernando Quintero
18'
M
Juan Fernando Quintero
18'
M
25
Lautaro Pereyra
M
Lautaro Pereyra
M
44
Lucas Silva
M
Lucas Silva
M
18
Matías Viña
60'
D
Matías Viña
60'
D
8
Maxi Meza
M
Maxi Meza
M
7
Maximiliano Salas
F
Maximiliano Salas
F
36
Ulises Giménez
18'
D
Ulises Giménez
18'
D
23
Nelson Insfrán
G
Nelson Insfrán
G
24
Pedro Silva
83'
D
Pedro Silva
83'
D
4
Renzo Giampaoli
D
Renzo Giampaoli
D
13
Germán Conti
D
Germán Conti
D
25
Alexis Steimbach
D
Alexis Steimbach
D
10
Nicolás Barros Schelotto
45'
M
Nicolás Barros Schelotto
45'
M
16
Augusto Max
69'
M
Augusto Max
69'
M
5
Ignacio Miramón
M
Ignacio Miramón
M
8
Nacho Fernández
M
Nacho Fernández
M
29
Agustín Auzmendi
F
Agustín Auzmendi
F
32
Marcelo Torres
83'
F
Marcelo Torres
83'
F
Bench
31
Bautista Barros Schelotto
D
Bautista Barros Schelotto
D
28
Cayetano Bolzan
F
Cayetano Bolzan
F
26
Franco Torres
F
Franco Torres
F
14
Gonzalo Errecalde
D
Gonzalo Errecalde
D
20
Juan Pérez
24'
M
Juan Pérez
24'
M
27
Julián Kadijevic
G
Julián Kadijevic
G
19
Lucas Castro
M
Lucas Castro
M
7
Manuel Panaro
10'
F
Manuel Panaro
10'
F
18
Mateo Seoane
M
Mateo Seoane
M
22
Matías Melluso
10'
D
Matías Melluso
10'
D
43
Maximiliano Zalazar
48'
F
Maximiliano Zalazar
48'
F
33
Pablo Aguiar
M
Pablo Aguiar
M
Best on the pitch
Lucas Martínez Quarta
D · River
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 51 pass
Tomás Galván
M · River
7.70
2 shots
· 38 pass
Joaquin Freitas
F · River
7.50
1 👟
· 6 pass
Nacho Fernández
M · Gimnasia
7.30
· 25 pass
Nelson Insfrán
G · Gimnasia
7.30
· 24 pass
Augusto Max
M · Gimnasia
7.20
· 22 pass
River Plate — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Beltrán | G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Acuña | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Lautaro Rivero | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Martínez Quarta | D | 93 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 51 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Fabricio Bustos | D | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Aníbal Moreno | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Fausto Vera | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| Tomás Galván | M | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 33% | 6 | — | — |
| Santiago Lencina | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Driussi | F | 60 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Colidio | F | 75 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Joaquin Freitas | F | 33 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Juan Cruz Meza | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Juan Fernando Quintero | M | 18 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Matías Viña | D | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Ulises Giménez | D | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Gimnasia L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Insfrán | G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Silva | D | 83 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Renzo Giampaoli | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Germán Conti | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Steimbach | D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Barros Schelotto | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Augusto Max | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ignacio Miramón | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nacho Fernández | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Agustín Auzmendi | F | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcelo Torres | F | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Juan Pérez | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Manuel Panaro | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Matías Melluso | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Maximiliano Zalazar | F | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The final score was River Plate 2–0 Gimnasia L.P..
What did the model predict before River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The model assigned 61% probability to a River Plate win, 21% to a draw, and 16% to an Gimnasia L.P. win.