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Model correct — prediction River Plate
S. Driussi (ast. F. Colidio) 27'
L. Martinez Quarta (ast. J. Freitas) 65'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 61% win probability (draw 21%, Gimnasia L.P. 16%). The final result was River Plate 2–0 Gimnasia L.P.. In 2 previous meetings, River Plate have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gimnasia L.P..

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
5
1.61
Actual xG
0.51
6
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
5
17
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
F. Bustos
24'
S. Driussi · ast. F. Colidio
27'
M. Acuna / M. Vina
33'
41'
I. Miramon
44'
N. Schelotto
46'
M. Zalazar / N. Schelotto
S. Driussi / J. Freitas
60'
S. Lencina / J. Meza
60'
62'
A. Max
L. Martinez Quarta · ast. J. Freitas
65'
69'
J. Perez / A. Max
F. Bustos / U. Gimenez
75'
F. Colidio / J. Quintero
75'
81'
N. Insfran
83'
M. Melluso / P. Silva Torrejon
83'
M. Panaro / M. Torres
Pre-match prediction
61.63%
River ←
21.99%
X
16.38%
Gimnasia
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (River Plate) 61.63% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
River
1.76
1.61
-0.15
Gimnasia
0.71
0.51
-0.2
River Plate dominated by xG (1.61 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
River Plate River Plate 4-2-2-2
41 S. Beltrán S. Beltrán G 7.20
21 M. Acuña M. Acuña 33' D 6.90
13 L. Rivero L. Rivero D 6.90
28 L. Martínez L. Martínez 1 ⚽ D 7.90
16 Fabricio Bustos Fabricio Bustos 75' D 7.00
6 Aníbal Moreno Aníbal Moreno M 7.20
15 F. Vera F. Vera M 6.90
26 T. Galván T. Galván M 7.70
39 Santiago Lencina Santiago Lencina 60' M 6.50
9 S. Driussi S. Driussi 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.20
11 F. Colidio F. Colidio 1 👟 75' F 7.00
Bench
1 Franco Armani Franco Armani G
20
Germán Pezzella D
34 Giuliano Galoppo Giuliano Galoppo M
35 J. Freitas J. Freitas 1 👟 33' F 7.50
24 J. Meza J. Meza 33' M 6.90
10 J. Quintero J. Quintero 18' M 7.20
25 L. Pereyra L. Pereyra M
44 L. Silva L. Silva M
8 M. Meza M. Meza M
7 M. Salas M. Salas F
18 M. Viña M. Viña 60' D 6.70
36 U. Giménez U. Giménez 18' D 6.50
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 4-3-1-2
23 N. Insfrán N. Insfrán G 7.30
24 P. Silva P. Silva 83' D 6.00
4 R. Giampaoli R. Giampaoli D 6.20
13 G. Conti G. Conti D 6.70
25 A. Steimbach A. Steimbach D 5.90
10 N. Schelotto N. Schelotto 45' M 6.70
16 A. Max A. Max 69' M 7.20
5 I. Miramón I. Miramón M 6.20
8 I. Fernández I. Fernández M 7.30
29 A. Auzmendi A. Auzmendi F 6.60
32 M. Torres M. Torres 83' F 6.30
Bench
31 B. Barros Schelotto B. Barros Schelotto D
28
Cayetano Bolzan F
26 F. Torres F. Torres F
14 Gonzalo Errecalde Gonzalo Errecalde D
20 J. Pérez J. Pérez 24' M 6.30
27 Julián Kadijevic Julián Kadijevic G
19 L. Castro L. Castro M
22 M. Melluso M. Melluso 10' D 6.70
7 M. Panaro M. Panaro 10' F 6.30
18 M. Seoane M. Seoane M
43 M. Zalazar M. Zalazar 48' F 6.30
33 P. Aguiar P. Aguiar M
Best on the pitch
L. Martínez
L. Martínez
D · River
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 51 pass
T. Galván
T. Galván
M · River
7.70
2 shots · 38 pass
J. Freitas
J. Freitas
F · River
7.50
1 👟
· 6 pass
I. Fernández
I. Fernández
M · Gimnasia
7.30
· 25 pass
N. Insfrán
N. Insfrán
G · Gimnasia
7.30
· 24 pass
A. Max
A. Max
M · Gimnasia
7.20
· 22 pass
River Plate River Plate — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Beltrán G 93 7.20 20 8%
M. Acuña D 33 6.90 33 29% 1
L. Rivero D 93 6.90 2 53 41%
L. Martínez D 93 7.90 1 1 51 38%
Fabricio Bustos D 75 7.00 43 30% 3 1
Aníbal Moreno M 93 7.20 31 22% 4
F. Vera M 93 6.90 1 58 55% 3
T. Galván M 93 7.70 2 38 33% 6
Santiago Lencina M 60 6.50 19 17%
S. Driussi F 60 7.20 1 2 17 14%
F. Colidio F 75 7.00 1 1 15 10%
J. Freitas F 33 7.50 1 6 6%
J. Meza M 33 6.90 1 15 14%
J. Quintero M 18 7.20 15 10%
M. Viña D 60 6.70 1 20 13%
U. Giménez D 18 6.50 8 6%
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Insfrán G 93 7.30 24 17% 1
P. Silva D 83 6.00 1 22 12%
R. Giampaoli D 93 6.20 44 32%
G. Conti D 93 6.70 1 31 27%
A. Steimbach D 93 5.90 36 20%
N. Schelotto M 45 6.70 16 9% 2 1
A. Max M 69 7.20 22 17% 2 1
I. Miramón M 93 6.20 47 30% 1 1
I. Fernández M 93 7.30 25 16% 3
A. Auzmendi F 93 6.60 2 15 10% 1
M. Torres F 83 6.30 1 11 9%
J. Pérez M 24 6.30 9 8%
M. Melluso D 10 6.70 4 2%
M. Panaro F 10 6.30 3 1 1%
M. Zalazar F 48 6.30 2 7 5%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The final score was River Plate 2–0 Gimnasia L.P..
What did the model predict before River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The model assigned 61% probability to a River Plate win, 21% to a draw, and 16% to an Gimnasia L.P. win.