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Liga Profesional · Apertura - Quarter-finals May 14, 2026 02:45 Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires
River Plate
#2 · 29 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Gimnasia L.P.
#6 · 26 pts
✓Model correct — prediction River Plate
S. Driussi (ast. F. Colidio) 27'
L. Martinez Quarta (ast. J. Freitas) 65'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 61% win probability (draw 21%, Gimnasia L.P. 16%). The final result was River Plate 2–0 Gimnasia L.P.. In 1 previous meetings, River Plate have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Gimnasia L.P..

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
5
1.61
Actual xG
0.51
6
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
5
17
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
F. Bustos
24'
⚽S. Driussi · ast. F. Colidio
27'
↕ M. Acuna / M. Vina
33'
41'
I. Miramon
44'
N. Schelotto
46'
M. Zalazar / N. Schelotto ↕
↕ S. Driussi / J. Freitas
60'
↕ S. Lencina / J. Meza
60'
62'
A. Max
⚽L. Martinez Quarta · ast. J. Freitas
65'
69'
J. Perez / A. Max ↕
↕ F. Bustos / U. Gimenez
75'
↕ F. Colidio / J. Quintero
75'
81'
N. Insfran
83'
M. Melluso / P. Silva Torrejon ↕
83'
M. Panaro / M. Torres ↕
Pre-match prediction
61.63%
River ←
21.99%
X
16.38%
Gimnasia
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (River Plate) 61.63% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
River
1.76
1.61
-0.15
Gimnasia
0.71
0.51
-0.2
River Plate dominated by xG (1.61 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
River Plate River Plate 4-2-2-2
41 S. Beltrán S. Beltrán G 7.20
21 Marcos Acuña Marcos Acuña 33' D 6.90
13 Lautaro Rivero Lautaro Rivero D 6.90
28 L. Martínez L. Martínez 1 ⚽ D 7.90
16 Fabricio Bustos Fabricio Bustos 75' D 7.00
6 Aníbal Moreno Aníbal Moreno M 7.20
15 Fausto Vera Fausto Vera M 6.90
26 Tomás Galván Tomás Galván M 7.70
39 Santiago Lencina Santiago Lencina 60' M 6.50
9 S. Driussi S. Driussi 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.20
11 Facundo Colidio Facundo Colidio 1 👟 75' F 7.00
Bench
1 Franco Armani Franco Armani G
20 Germán Pezzella Germán Pezzella D
34 Giuliano Galoppo Giuliano Galoppo M
35 Joaquín Freitas Joaquín Freitas 1 👟 33' F 7.50
10 J. Quintero J. Quintero 18' M 7.20
24 Juan Cruz Meza Juan Cruz Meza 33' M 6.90
25 Lautaro Pereyra Lautaro Pereyra M
44 Lucas Silva Lucas Silva M
8 Maxi Meza Maxi Meza M
7 Maximiliano Salas Maximiliano Salas F
18 M. Viña M. Viña 60' D 6.70
36 Ulises Giménez Ulises Giménez 18' D 6.50
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 4-3-1-2
23 Nelson Insfrán Nelson Insfrán G 7.30
24 Pedro Silva Pedro Silva 83' D 6.00
4 Renzo Giampaoli Renzo Giampaoli D 6.20
13 Germán Conti Germán Conti D 6.70
25 Alexis Steimbach Alexis Steimbach D 5.90
10 Nicolás Barros Schelotto Nicolás Barros Schelotto 45' M 6.70
16 Augusto Max Augusto Max 69' M 7.20
5 Ignacio Miramón Ignacio Miramón M 6.20
8 Nacho Fernández Nacho Fernández M 7.30
29 Agustín Auzmendi Agustín Auzmendi F 6.60
32 Marcelo Torres Marcelo Torres 83' F 6.30
Bench
31 Bautista Barros Schelotto Bautista Barros Schelotto D
28 Cayetano Bolzan Cayetano Bolzan F
26 Franco Torres Franco Torres F
14 Gonzalo Errecalde Gonzalo Errecalde D
20 Juan Pérez Juan Pérez 24' M 6.30
27 Julián Kadijevic Julián Kadijevic G
19 Lucas Castro Lucas Castro M
7 Manuel Panaro Manuel Panaro 10' F 6.30
18 Mateo Seoane Mateo Seoane M
22 Matías Melluso Matías Melluso 10' D 6.70
43 Maximiliano Zalazar Maximiliano Zalazar 48' F 6.30
33 Pablo Aguiar Pablo Aguiar M
Best on the pitch
L. Martínez
L. Martínez
D · River
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 51 pass
Tomás Galván
Tomás Galván
M · River
7.70
2 shots · 38 pass
Joaquín Freitas
Joaquín Freitas
F · River
7.50
1 👟
· 6 pass
Nacho Fernández
Nacho Fernández
M · Gimnasia
7.30
· 25 pass
Nelson Insfrán
Nelson Insfrán
G · Gimnasia
7.30
· 24 pass
Augusto Max
Augusto Max
M · Gimnasia
7.20
· 22 pass
River Plate River Plate — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Beltrán G 93 7.20 — — — 20 8% — — —
Marcos Acuña D 33 6.90 — — — 33 29% 1 — —
Lautaro Rivero D 93 6.90 — — 2 53 41% — — —
L. Martínez D 93 7.90 1 — 1 51 38% — — —
Fabricio Bustos D 75 7.00 — — — 43 30% 3 1 —
Aníbal Moreno M 93 7.20 — — — 31 22% 4 — —
Fausto Vera M 93 6.90 — — 1 58 55% 3 — —
Tomás Galván M 93 7.70 — — 2 38 33% 6 — —
Santiago Lencina M 60 6.50 — — — 19 17% — — —
S. Driussi F 60 7.20 1 — 2 17 14% — — —
Facundo Colidio F 75 7.00 — 1 1 15 10% — — —
Joaquín Freitas F 33 7.50 — 1 — 6 6% — — —
J. Quintero M 18 7.20 — — — 15 10% — — —
Juan Cruz Meza M 33 6.90 — — 1 15 14% — — —
M. Viña D 60 6.70 — — 1 20 13% — — —
Ulises Giménez D 18 6.50 — — — 8 6% — — —
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nelson Insfrán G 93 7.30 — — — 24 17% — 1 —
Pedro Silva D 83 6.00 — — 1 22 12% — — —
Renzo Giampaoli D 93 6.20 — — — 44 32% — — —
Germán Conti D 93 6.70 — — 1 31 27% — — —
Alexis Steimbach D 93 5.90 — — — 36 20% — — —
Nicolás Barros Schelotto M 45 6.70 — — — 16 9% 2 1 —
Augusto Max M 69 7.20 — — — 22 17% 2 1 —
Ignacio Miramón M 93 6.20 — — — 47 30% 1 1 —
Nacho Fernández M 93 7.30 — — — 25 16% 3 — —
Agustín Auzmendi F 93 6.60 — — 2 15 10% 1 — —
Marcelo Torres F 83 6.30 — — 1 11 9% — — —
Juan Pérez M 24 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
Manuel Panaro F 10 6.30 — — 3 1 1% — — —
Matías Melluso D 10 6.70 — — — 4 2% — — —
Maximiliano Zalazar F 48 6.30 — — 2 7 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The final score was River Plate 2–0 Gimnasia L.P..
What did the model predict before River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The model assigned 61% probability to a River Plate win, 21% to a draw, and 16% to an Gimnasia L.P. win.