← Liga Profesional
Liga Profesional · Apertura - Round of 16 May 11, 2026 00:00
River Plate
#2 · 29 pts
2 – 2
Final score
pens 4–3
San Lorenzo
#7 · 22 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction River Plate, result Pareggio
M. Acuna (ast. J. Quintero) 55'
J. Quintero (ast. A. Moreno) 120'+1
37' (ast. N. Barrios) R. Auzmendi
94' (ast. F. Gulli) F. Lopez

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 62% win probability (draw 20%, San Lorenzo 16%). The final result was River Plate 2–2 San Lorenzo.

Match statistics
27
Total shots
5
12
Shots on target
4
1.27
Actual xG
0.67
2
Saves
10
73%
Possession
27%
6
Corners
2
23
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
13'
E. Herrera
31'
M. Reali
37'
ast. N. Barrios · R. Auzmendi⚽
↕ M. Meza / J. Quintero
46'
⚽M. Acuna · ast. J. Quintero
55'
59'
I. Perruzzi / J. Rattalino ↕
59'
F. Gulli / N. Barrios ↕
↕ F. Colidio / M. Salas
65'
↕ T. Galvan / I. Subiabre
66'
↕ Fausto Vera / K. Paez
77'
77'
F. Lopez / N. Tripichio ↕
86'
D. Herazo / R. Auzmendi ↕
I. Subiabre
90'+3
A. Moreno
93'
94'
ast. F. Gulli · F. Lopez⚽
↕ M. Acuna / J. Freitas
100'
105'
G. Rodriguez / F. Gulli ↕
↕ S. Driussi / Giuliano Galoppo
105'
119'
G. Corujo / E. Herrera ↕
⚽J. Quintero · ast. A. Moreno
120'+1
Pre-match prediction
62.51%
River
20.5%
X ←
16.99%
San
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.5% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
River
2.05
1.27
-0.78
San
0.87
0.67
-0.2
River Plate dominated by xG (1.27 vs 0.67). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 16 31
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 14 30
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 16 34
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 14 27
2 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 16 30
2 River Plate River Plate 16 29
3 River Plate River Plate 14 26
3 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 16 28
3 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 16 29
4 Rosario Central Rosario Central 16 28
4 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 14 26
4 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 16 26
5 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 14 26
5 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 16 26
5 Independiente Independiente 16 24
6 Lanus Lanus 16 24
6 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 14 24
6 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 16 26
7 Huracan Huracan 16 22
7 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 14 24
7 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 16 22
8 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 16 21
8 Rosario Central Rosario Central 14 24
8 Racing Club Racing Club 16 21
9 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 16 21
9 Barracas Central Barracas Central 16 21
9 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 14 23
10 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 16 19
10 Lanus Lanus 14 22
10 Tigre Tigre 16 20
11 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 16 19
11 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 16 19
11 Independiente Independiente 14 21
12 Banfield Banfield 16 18
12 Platense Platense 16 16
12 Huracan Huracan 14 21
13 Barracas Central Barracas Central 14 20
13 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 16 14
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 16
14 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 14 20
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 16 8
14 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 16 15
15 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 14 19
15 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 16 11
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 5
16 Tigre Tigre 14 19
17 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 14 19
18 Racing Club Racing Club 14 19
19 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 14 19
20 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 14 17
21 Platense Platense 14 16
22 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 14 16
23 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 14 16
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 14 15
25 Banfield Banfield 14 14
26 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 14 13
27 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 14 10
28 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 14 7
29 Aldosivi Aldosivi 14 7
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 14 5
Lineups
River Plate River Plate 4-2-3-1
41 Santiago Beltrán Santiago Beltrán G 7.00
21 Marcos Acuña Marcos Acuña 1 ⚽ D 8.70
13 Lautaro Rivero Lautaro Rivero D 7.30
28 Lucas Martínez Quarta Lucas Martínez Quarta D 6.90
29 Gonzalo Montiel Gonzalo Montiel D 7.00
6 Aníbal Moreno Aníbal Moreno 1 👟 M 8.20
15 Fausto Vera Fausto Vera 77' M 7.00
11 Facundo Colidio Facundo Colidio 65' M 6.70
26 Tomás Galván Tomás Galván 66' M 6.50
8 Maxi Meza Maxi Meza 45' M 6.20
9 Sebastián Driussi Sebastián Driussi F 6.20
Bench
33 Ezequiel Centurión Ezequiel Centurión G
16 Fabricio Bustos Fabricio Bustos D
31 Facundo González Facundo González D
20 Germán Pezzella Germán Pezzella D
34 Giuliano Galoppo Giuliano Galoppo 18' M 6.30
38 Ian Subiabre Ian Subiabre 57' F 6.90
35 Joaquin Freitas Joaquin Freitas 23' F 6.20
10 Juan Fernando Quintero Juan Fernando Quintero 1 ⚽ 1 👟 78' M 10.00
19 Kendry Páez Kendry Páez 46' M 7.00
44 Lucas Silva Lucas Silva M
18 Matías Viña Matías Viña D
7 Maximiliano Salas Maximiliano Salas 58' F 6.30
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 3-4-1-2
12 Orlando Gill Orlando Gill G 7.90
55 Lautaro Montenegro Lautaro Montenegro D 6.20
4 Jhohan Romaña Jhohan Romaña D 6.90
32 Ezequiel Herrera Ezequiel Herrera D 6.90
6 Mathias de Ritis Mathias de Ritis M 6.00
8 Manuel Insaurralde Manuel Insaurralde M 7.50
13 Juan Rattalino Juan Rattalino 59' M 6.30
24 Nicolás Tripichio Nicolás Tripichio 77' M 6.30
28 Nahuel Barrios Nahuel Barrios 1 👟 59' F 7.30
29 Rodrigo Auzmendi Rodrigo Auzmendi 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.60
11 M. Reali M. Reali 31' F 5.00
Bench
14 Agustin Ladstatter Agustin Ladstatter D
35 Alejo Cordoba Alejo Cordoba D
18 Diego Herazo Diego Herazo 37' F 6.20
34 Fabricio López Fabricio López 1 ⚽ 46' D 7.30
10 Facundo Gulli Facundo Gulli 1 👟 46' M 7.30
26 Gonzalo Abrego Gonzalo Abrego M
17 Gregorio Rodriguez Gregorio Rodriguez 18' F 6.20
16 Guzmán Corujo Guzmán Corujo 4' D
5 Ignacio Perruzzi Ignacio Perruzzi 64' M 6.50
25 José Devecchi José Devecchi G
44 Matías Hernández Matías Hernández F
3 Teo Rodríguez Pagano Teo Rodríguez Pagano D
Best on the pitch
Juan Fernando Quintero
Juan Fernando Quintero
M · River
10.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 84 pass
Marcos Acuña
Marcos Acuña
D · River
8.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 86 pass
Aníbal Moreno
Aníbal Moreno
M · River
8.20
1 👟
1 shots · 80 pass
Orlando Gill
Orlando Gill
G · San
7.90
· 47 pass
Rodrigo Auzmendi
Rodrigo Auzmendi
F · San
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 21 pass
Manuel Insaurralde
Manuel Insaurralde
M · San
7.50
· 35 pass
River Plate River Plate — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Santiago Beltrán G 123 7.00 — — — 11 9% — — —
Marcos Acuña D 100 8.70 1 — 2 86 77% 2 — —
Lautaro Rivero D 123 7.30 — — 1 75 69% 1 — —
Lucas Martínez Quarta D 123 6.90 — — 1 69 58% 1 — —
Gonzalo Montiel D 123 7.00 — — — 70 62% 5 — —
Aníbal Moreno M 123 8.20 — 1 1 80 69% 8 1 —
Fausto Vera M 77 7.00 — — 6 59 50% 2 — —
Facundo Colidio M 65 6.70 — — 3 26 20% — — —
Tomás Galván M 66 6.50 — — 1 23 20% 1 — —
Maxi Meza M 45 6.20 — — — 22 18% — — —
Sebastián Driussi F 105 6.20 — — — 38 31% 2 — —
Giuliano Galoppo M 18 6.30 — — 2 1 — — — —
Ian Subiabre F 57 6.90 — — 2 33 30% 1 1 —
Joaquin Freitas F 23 6.20 — — — 1 1% — — —
Juan Fernando Quintero M 78 10.00 1 1 3 84 70% — — —
Kendry Páez M 46 7.00 — — 3 16 15% — — —
Maximiliano Salas F 58 6.30 — — 2 9 7% — — —
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Orlando Gill G 123 7.90 — — — 47 22% 1 — —
Lautaro Montenegro D 123 6.20 — — — 17 9% 1 — —
Jhohan Romaña D 123 6.90 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
Ezequiel Herrera D 119 6.90 — — — 20 11% 4 1 —
Mathias de Ritis M 123 6.00 — — — 21 12% 1 — —
Manuel Insaurralde M 123 7.50 — — — 35 24% 4 — —
Juan Rattalino M 59 6.30 — — 1 15 11% 3 — —
Nicolás Tripichio M 77 6.30 — — — 28 18% 2 — —
Nahuel Barrios F 59 7.30 — 1 — 14 9% 4 — —
Rodrigo Auzmendi F 86 7.60 1 — 3 21 7% 1 — —
M. Reali F 31 5.00 — — — 4 2% 1 — 1
Diego Herazo F 37 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
Fabricio López D 46 7.30 1 — 1 6 2% 4 — —
Facundo Gulli M 46 7.30 — 1 — 7 5% — — —
Gregorio Rodriguez F 18 6.20 — — — 2 — — — —
Guzmán Corujo D 4 — — — — — — — — —
Ignacio Perruzzi M 64 6.50 — — — 11 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs San Lorenzo?
The final score was River Plate 2–2 San Lorenzo.
What did the model predict before River Plate vs San Lorenzo?
The model assigned 62% probability to a River Plate win, 20% to a draw, and 16% to an San Lorenzo win.