✗Model wrong — prediction River Plate, result Draw
M. Acuna
(ast. J. Quintero)
55'
J. Quintero
(ast. A. Moreno)
120'+1
37'
(ast. N. Barrios)
R. Auzmendi
94'
(ast. F. Gulli)
F. Lopez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 62% win probability (draw 20%, San Lorenzo 16%). The final result was River Plate 1–1 San Lorenzo.
Match statistics
27
Total shots
5
12
Shots on target
4
1.27
Actual xG
0.67
2
Saves
10
73%
Possession
27%
6
Corners
2
23
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
13'
E. Herrera
31'
M. Reali
37'
ast. N. Barrios ·
R. Auzmendi⚽
M. Meza
/ J. Quintero
46'
⚽M. Acuna
· ast. J. Quintero
55'
59'
I. Perruzzi
/
J. Rattalino
59'
F. Gulli
/
N. Barrios
F. Colidio
/ M. Salas
65'
T. Galvan
/ I. Subiabre
66'
Fausto Vera
/ K. Paez
77'
77'
F. Lopez
/
N. Tripichio
86'
D. Herazo
/
R. Auzmendi
I. Subiabre
90'+3
A. Moreno
93'
94'
ast. F. Gulli ·
F. Lopez⚽
M. Acuna
/ J. Freitas
100'
105'
G. Rodriguez
/
F. Gulli
S. Driussi
/ Giuliano Galoppo
105'
119'
G. Corujo
/
E. Herrera
⚽J. Quintero
· ast. A. Moreno
120'+1
Pre-match prediction
62.51%
River
20.5%
X ←
16.99%
San
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.05
1.27
-0.78
0.87
0.67
-0.2
River Plate dominated by xG (1.27 vs 0.67).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
S. Beltrán
G
S. Beltrán
G
21
M. Acuña
1 ⚽
D
M. Acuña
1 ⚽
D
13
L. Rivero
D
L. Rivero
D
28
L. Martínez
D
L. Martínez
D
29
G. Montiel
D
G. Montiel
D
6
A. Moreno
1 👟
M
A. Moreno
1 👟
M
15
F. Vera
77'
M
F. Vera
77'
M
11
Facundo Colidio
65'
M
Facundo Colidio
65'
M
26
T. Galván
66'
M
T. Galván
66'
M
8
M. Meza
45'
M
M. Meza
45'
M
9
S. Driussi
F
S. Driussi
F
Bench
33
E. Centurión
G
E. Centurión
G
31
Facundo González
D
Facundo González
D
16
F. Bustos
D
F. Bustos
D
34
G. Galoppo
18'
M
G. Galoppo
18'
M
20
G. Pezzella
D
38
Ian Martin Subiabre
57'
F
Ian Martin Subiabre
57'
F
35
Joaquín Freitas
23'
F
Joaquín Freitas
23'
F
10
J. Quintero
1 ⚽
1 👟
78'
M
J. Quintero
1 ⚽
1 👟
78'
M
19
Kendry Páez
46'
M
Kendry Páez
46'
M
44
L. Silva
M
L. Silva
M
18
Matías Viña
D
Matías Viña
D
7
M. Salas
58'
F
M. Salas
58'
F
12
O. Gill
G
O. Gill
G
55
Lautaro Montenegro
D
Lautaro Montenegro
D
4
J. Romaña
D
J. Romaña
D
32
E. Herrera
D
E. Herrera
D
6
M. de Ritis
M
M. de Ritis
M
8
M. Insaurralde
M
M. Insaurralde
M
13
Juan Rattalino
59'
M
Juan Rattalino
59'
M
24
N. Tripichio
77'
M
N. Tripichio
77'
M
28
Nahuel Barrios
1 👟
59'
F
Nahuel Barrios
1 👟
59'
F
29
R. Auzmendi
1 ⚽
86'
F
R. Auzmendi
1 ⚽
86'
F
11
M. Reali
31'
F
M. Reali
31'
F
Bench
35
A. Cordoba
D
A. Cordoba
D
14
A. Ladstatter
D
A. Ladstatter
D
18
D. Herazo
37'
F
D. Herazo
37'
F
10
Facundo Gulli
1 👟
46'
M
Facundo Gulli
1 👟
46'
M
34
F. López
1 ⚽
46'
D
F. López
1 ⚽
46'
D
16
G. Corujo
4'
D
G. Corujo
4'
D
26
Gonzalo Abrego
M
Gonzalo Abrego
M
17
G. Rodríguez
18'
F
G. Rodríguez
18'
F
5
I. Perruzzi
64'
M
I. Perruzzi
64'
M
25
J. Devecchi
G
J. Devecchi
G
44
M. Hernández
F
M. Hernández
F
3
T. Rodríguez
D
T. Rodríguez
D
Best on the pitch
J. Quintero
M · River
10.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 84 pass
M. Acuña
D · River
8.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 86 pass
A. Moreno
M · River
8.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 80 pass
O. Gill
G · San
7.90
· 47 pass
R. Auzmendi
F · San
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
M. Insaurralde
M · San
7.50
· 35 pass
River Plate — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Beltrán | G | 123 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Acuña | D | 100 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 86 | 77% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Rivero | D | 123 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Martínez | D | 123 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Montiel | D | 123 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 70 | 62% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Moreno | M | 123 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 80 | 69% | 8 | 1 | — |
| F. Vera | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | 6 | 59 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Facundo Colidio | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| T. Galván | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Meza | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Driussi | F | 105 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Galoppo | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Martin Subiabre | F | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Joaquín Freitas | F | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Quintero | M | 78 | 10.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 84 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Kendry Páez | M | 46 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Salas | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
San Lorenzo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Gill | G | 123 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Lautaro Montenegro | D | 123 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Romaña | D | 123 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Herrera | D | 119 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. de Ritis | M | 123 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Insaurralde | M | 123 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Juan Rattalino | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Tripichio | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Nahuel Barrios | F | 59 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Auzmendi | F | 86 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Reali | F | 31 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | 1 |
| D. Herazo | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Gulli | M | 46 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| F. López | D | 46 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 2% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Corujo | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Rodríguez | F | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| I. Perruzzi | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs San Lorenzo?
The final score was River Plate 1–1 San Lorenzo.
What did the model predict before River Plate vs San Lorenzo?
The model assigned 62% probability to a River Plate win, 20% to a draw, and 16% to an San Lorenzo win.