Serie B
· Regular Season - 37
May 01, 2026 15:00
O. Abildgaard
(ast. M. Brunori)
31'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sampdoria a 46% win probability (draw 33%, Sudtirol 20%). The final result was Sampdoria 1–0 Sudtirol. In 1 previous meetings, Sampdoria have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sudtirol.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
1.10
Actual xG
0.57
3
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
2
7
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
30'
S. Molina
⚽O. Abildgaard
· ast. M. Brunori
31'
M. Palma
53'
61'
S. Verdi
/
K. Zedadka
61'
D. Crnigoj
/
S. Tronchin
62'
D. Crnigoj
M. Palma
/ D. Hadzikadunic
69'
L. Cherubini
/ M. Cicconi
69'
L. Henderson
/ F. Conti
74'
77'
F. Davi
/
H. El Kaouakibi
82'
R. Tonin
/
S. Merkaj
82'
R. Odogwu
/
S. Molina
M. Brunori
/ M. Coda
90'+1
T. Begic
/ N. Pierini
90'+2
F. Conti
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
46.07%
Sampdoria ←
33.59%
X
20.34%
Sudtirol
we assigned to the actual result (Sampdoria)
46.07%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.17
1.10
-0.07
0.64
0.57
-0.08
Sampdoria dominated by xG (1.10 vs 0.57).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
50
G
21
S. Giordano
D
2
M. Viti
D
13
M. Palma
69'
D
29
A. Di Pardo
D
28
O. Abildgaard
1 ⚽
M
8
M. Ricci
M
16
L. Henderson
74'
M
L. Henderson
74'
M
10
L. Cherubini
69'
F
99
M. Brunori
1 👟
89'
F
11
T. Begic
89'
F
Bench
17
D. Hadzikadunic
21'
D
92
E. Soleri
F
23
F. Depaoli
D
F. Depaoli
D
7
M. Cicconi
21'
M
9
M. Coda
1'
F
77
Nicholas Pierini
1'
F
94
S. Esposito
M
31
G
24
S. Davi
D
94
H. El Kaouakibi
77'
D
19
N. Pietrangeli
D
34
F. Veseli
D
7
K. Zedadka
61'
M
18
S. Tronchin
61'
M
21
F. Tait
M
79
S. Molina
82'
M
9
E. Pecorino
F
E. Pecorino
F
33
S. Merkaj
82'
F
S. Merkaj
82'
F
Bench
5
A. Masiello
D
17
D. Casiraghi
M
D. Casiraghi
M
89
D. Crnigoj
29'
M
23
F. Davi
13'
D
26
M. R. Frigerio
M
90
R. Odogwu
8'
F
11
R. Tonin
8'
F
Best on the pitch
O. Abildgaard
M · Sampdoria
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
G · Sampdoria
7.70
· 23 pass
M. Ricci
M · Sampdoria
7.70
· 50 pass
N. Pietrangeli
D · Sudtirol
7.30
2 shots
· 28 pass
A. Di Pardo
D · Sampdoria
7.20
· 44 pass
L. Henderson
M · Sampdoria
6.90
· 28 pass
Sampdoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| S. Giordano | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 24% | — | — | — |
| M. Viti | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Palma | D | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Di Pardo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Abildgaard | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ricci | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Henderson | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Cherubini | F | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Brunori | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| T. Begic | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D. Hadzikadunic | D | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Cicconi | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Coda | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Pierini | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Sudtirol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| S. Davi | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| H. El Kaouakibi | D | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Pietrangeli | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Veseli | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Zedadka | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Tronchin | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Tait | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Molina | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Pecorino | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Merkaj | F | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Crnigoj | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Davi | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Odogwu | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Tonin | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Sudtirol?
The final score was Sampdoria 1–0 Sudtirol.
What did the model predict before Sampdoria vs Sudtirol?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Sampdoria win, 33% to a draw, and 20% to an Sudtirol win.