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Serie B · Regular Season - 37 May 01, 2026 15:00
Sampdoria
#19 · 1 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Sudtirol
#2 · 8 pts
O. Abildgaard (ast. M. Brunori) 31'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sampdoria a 46% win probability (draw 33%, Sudtirol 20%). The final result was Sampdoria 1–0 Sudtirol. In 1 previous meetings, Sampdoria have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sudtirol.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
1.10
Actual xG
0.57
3
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
2
7
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
30'
S. Molina
⚽O. Abildgaard · ast. M. Brunori
31'
M. Palma
53'
61'
S. Verdi / K. Zedadka ↕
61'
D. Crnigoj / S. Tronchin ↕
62'
D. Crnigoj
↕ M. Palma / D. Hadzikadunic
69'
↕ L. Cherubini / M. Cicconi
69'
↕ L. Henderson / F. Conti
74'
77'
F. Davi / H. El Kaouakibi ↕
82'
R. Tonin / S. Merkaj ↕
82'
R. Odogwu / S. Molina ↕
↕ M. Brunori / M. Coda
90'+1
↕ T. Begic / N. Pierini
90'+2
F. Conti
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
46.07%
Sampdoria ←
33.59%
X
20.34%
Sudtirol
we assigned to the actual result (Sampdoria) 46.07% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sampdoria
1.17
1.10
-0.07
Sudtirol
0.64
0.57
-0.08
Sampdoria dominated by xG (1.10 vs 0.57). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 3 9
2 Sudtirol Sudtirol 4 8
3 Mantova Mantova 3 7
4 Modena Modena 4 7
5 Ascoli Ascoli 4 7
6 Padova Padova 4 7
7 Arezzo Arezzo 4 6
8 Pisa Pisa 4 6
9 Avellino Avellino 3 6
10 Empoli Empoli 4 6
11 Cesena Cesena 3 5
12 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 4 5
13 Benevento Benevento 4 4
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4 4
15 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4 4
16 Cremonese Cremonese 3 3
17 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4 3
18 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 4 2
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 3 1
20 Carrarese Carrarese 4 1
Lineups
Sampdoria Sampdoria 4-3-3
50
G 7.70
21 Simone Giordano Simone Giordano D 6.60
2 M. Viti M. Viti D 6.60
13 Matteo Palma Matteo Palma 69' D 6.30
29 A. Di Pardo A. Di Pardo D 7.20
28 O. Abildgaard O. Abildgaard 1 ⚽ M 8.20
8 M. Ricci M. Ricci M 7.70
16 L. Henderson L. Henderson 74' M 6.90
10 L. Cherubini L. Cherubini 69' F 6.30
99
M. Brunori 1 👟 89' F 6.90
11 T. Begić T. Begić 89' F 6.30
Bench
17 D. Hadžikadunić D. Hadžikadunić 21' D 6.90
92
E. Soleri F
23 F. Depaoli F. Depaoli D
7 M. Cicconi M. Cicconi 21' M 6.70
9
M. Coda 1' F
77 N. Pierini N. Pierini 1' F
94 S. Esposito S. Esposito M
Sudtirol Sudtirol 4-4-2
31
G 6.30
24 S. Davì S. Davì D 6.60
94 Hamza El Kaouakibi Hamza El Kaouakibi 77' D 6.90
19 N. Pietrangeli N. Pietrangeli D 7.30
34 Frédéric Veseli Frédéric Veseli D 6.60
7 K. Zedadka K. Zedadka 61' M 6.20
18 S. Tronchin S. Tronchin 61' M 6.20
21 F. Tait F. Tait M 6.20
79 S. Molina S. Molina 82' M 6.90
9 E. Pecorino E. Pecorino F 6.30
33 S. Merkaj S. Merkaj 82' F 6.20
Bench
5
A. Masiello D
17 D. Casiraghi D. Casiraghi M
89 Domen Črnigoj Domen Črnigoj 29' M 6.30
23 F. Davi F. Davi 13' D 6.70
26 Marco Romano Frigerio Marco Romano Frigerio M
90 Raphael Odogwu Raphael Odogwu 8' F 6.30
11 Riccardo Tonin Riccardo Tonin 8' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
O. Abildgaard
O. Abildgaard
M · Sampdoria
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
G · Sampdoria
7.70
· 23 pass
M. Ricci
M. Ricci
M · Sampdoria
7.70
· 50 pass
N. Pietrangeli
N. Pietrangeli
D · Sudtirol
7.30
2 shots · 28 pass
A. Di Pardo
A. Di Pardo
D · Sampdoria
7.20
· 44 pass
L. Henderson
L. Henderson
M · Sampdoria
6.90
· 28 pass
Sampdoria Sampdoria — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.70 — — — 23 11% — — —
Simone Giordano D 90 6.60 — — — 38 24% — — —
M. Viti D 90 6.60 — — — 32 21% — — —
Matteo Palma D 69 6.30 — — 1 21 20% 1 1 —
A. Di Pardo D 90 7.20 — — — 44 38% 3 — —
O. Abildgaard M 90 8.20 1 — 1 44 24% 1 — —
M. Ricci M 90 7.70 — — — 50 43% 1 — —
L. Henderson M 74 6.90 — — — 28 23% 1 — —
L. Cherubini F 69 6.30 — — 1 23 14% — — —
M. Brunori F 89 6.90 — 1 — 14 7% — — —
T. Begić F 89 6.30 — — 3 24 17% — — —
D. Hadžikadunić D 21 6.90 — — — 5 4% — — —
M. Cicconi M 21 6.70 — — — 8 7% — — —
M. Coda F 1 — — — — 2 1% — — —
N. Pierini F 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Sudtirol Sudtirol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 26 11% — — —
S. Davì D 90 6.60 — — 1 30 22% 1 — —
Hamza El Kaouakibi D 77 6.90 — — 1 47 42% 1 — —
N. Pietrangeli D 90 7.30 — — 2 28 17% 1 — —
Frédéric Veseli D 90 6.60 — — — 37 24% 2 — —
K. Zedadka M 61 6.20 — — — 11 6% — — —
S. Tronchin M 61 6.20 — — — 31 22% 3 — —
F. Tait M 90 6.20 — — — 31 18% 2 — —
S. Molina M 82 6.90 — — — 30 16% — 1 —
E. Pecorino F 90 6.30 — — 1 13 5% 1 — —
S. Merkaj F 82 6.20 — — — 9 5% 1 — —
Domen Črnigoj M 29 6.30 — — 1 17 12% 1 1 —
F. Davi D 13 6.70 — — — 7 4% — — —
Raphael Odogwu F 8 6.30 — — 2 — — — — —
Riccardo Tonin F 8 6.50 — — — 3 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Sudtirol?
The final score was Sampdoria 1–0 Sudtirol.
What did the model predict before Sampdoria vs Sudtirol?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Sampdoria win, 33% to a draw, and 20% to an Sudtirol win.