Serie B
· Regular Season - 37
May 01, 2026 15:00
O. Abildgaard
(ast. M. Brunori)
31'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sampdoria a 46% win probability (draw 33%, Sudtirol 20%). The final result was Sampdoria 1–0 Sudtirol. In 2 previous meetings, Sampdoria have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Sudtirol.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
1.10
Actual xG
0.57
3
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
2
7
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
30'
S. Molina
⚽O. Abildgaard
· ast. M. Brunori
31'
M. Palma
53'
61'
S. Verdi
/
K. Zedadka
61'
D. Crnigoj
/
S. Tronchin
62'
D. Crnigoj
M. Palma
/ D. Hadzikadunic
69'
L. Cherubini
/ M. Cicconi
69'
L. Henderson
/ F. Conti
74'
77'
F. Davi
/
H. El Kaouakibi
82'
R. Tonin
/
S. Merkaj
82'
R. Odogwu
/
S. Molina
M. Brunori
/ M. Coda
90'+1
T. Begic
/ N. Pierini
90'+2
F. Conti
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
46.07%
Sampdoria ←
33.59%
X
20.34%
Sudtirol
we assigned to the actual result (Sampdoria)
46.07%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.17
1.10
-0.07
0.64
0.57
-0.08
Sampdoria dominated by xG (1.10 vs 0.57).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
50
G
21
Simone Giordano
D
Simone Giordano
D
2
M. Viti
D
M. Viti
D
13
M. Palma
69'
D
M. Palma
69'
D
29
A. Di Pardo
D
A. Di Pardo
D
28
O. Abildgaard
1 ⚽
M
O. Abildgaard
1 ⚽
M
8
M. Ricci
M
M. Ricci
M
16
L. Henderson
74'
M
L. Henderson
74'
M
10
L. Cherubini
69'
F
L. Cherubini
69'
F
99
M. Brunori
1 👟
89'
F
11
T. Begić
89'
F
T. Begić
89'
F
Bench
17
D. Hadžikadunić
21'
D
D. Hadžikadunić
21'
D
92
E. Soleri
F
23
F. Depaoli
D
F. Depaoli
D
7
M. Cicconi
21'
M
M. Cicconi
21'
M
9
M. Coda
1'
F
77
N. Pierini
1'
F
N. Pierini
1'
F
94
S. Esposito
M
S. Esposito
M
31
G
24
S. Davì
D
S. Davì
D
94
Hamza El Kaouakibi
77'
D
Hamza El Kaouakibi
77'
D
19
N. Pietrangeli
D
N. Pietrangeli
D
34
Frédéric Veseli
D
Frédéric Veseli
D
7
K. Zedadka
61'
M
K. Zedadka
61'
M
18
S. Tronchin
61'
M
S. Tronchin
61'
M
21
F. Tait
M
F. Tait
M
79
S. Molina
82'
M
S. Molina
82'
M
9
E. Pecorino
F
E. Pecorino
F
33
S. Merkaj
82'
F
S. Merkaj
82'
F
Bench
5
A. Masiello
D
17
D. Casiraghi
M
D. Casiraghi
M
89
D. Črnigoj
29'
M
23
F. Davi
13'
D
F. Davi
13'
D
26
Marco Romano Frigerio
M
Marco Romano Frigerio
M
90
Raphael Odogwu
8'
F
Raphael Odogwu
8'
F
11
Riccardo Tonin
8'
F
Riccardo Tonin
8'
F
Best on the pitch
O. Abildgaard
M · Sampdoria
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
G · Sampdoria
7.70
· 23 pass
M. Ricci
M · Sampdoria
7.70
· 50 pass
N. Pietrangeli
D · Sudtirol
7.30
2 shots
· 28 pass
A. Di Pardo
D · Sampdoria
7.20
· 44 pass
L. Henderson
M · Sampdoria
6.90
· 28 pass
Sampdoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Simone Giordano | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 24% | — | — | — |
| M. Viti | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Palma | D | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Di Pardo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Abildgaard | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ricci | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Henderson | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Cherubini | F | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Brunori | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| T. Begić | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D. Hadžikadunić | D | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Cicconi | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Coda | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| N. Pierini | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Sudtirol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| S. Davì | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Hamza El Kaouakibi | D | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Pietrangeli | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Frédéric Veseli | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Zedadka | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Tronchin | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Tait | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Molina | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Pecorino | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Merkaj | F | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Črnigoj | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Davi | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Raphael Odogwu | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Tonin | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Sudtirol?
The final score was Sampdoria 1–0 Sudtirol.
What did the model predict before Sampdoria vs Sudtirol?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Sampdoria win, 33% to a draw, and 20% to an Sudtirol win.