← Serie A
Serie A · Regular Season - 31 April 04, 2026 17:00
Sassuolo
#11 · 49 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Cagliari
#16 · 37 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Sassuolo
U. Garcia 50'
A. Pinamonti (ast. D. Bakola) 78'
(pen.) 30' S. Esposito

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sassuolo a 50% win probability (draw 29%, Cagliari 20%). The final result was Sassuolo 2–1 Cagliari. In 1 previous meetings, Sassuolo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cagliari.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
3
0.46
Actual xG
1.63
2
Saves
0
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
2
13
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
28'
30'
(pen.) S. Esposito⚽
⚽U. Garcia
50'
↕ C. Volpato / N. Matic
58'
↕ F. Romagna / W. Coulibaly
58'
↕ I. Kone / L. Lipani
69'
↕ A. Lauriente / D. Bakola
69'
74'
G. Borrelli / M. Folorunsho ↕
75'
I. Sulemana / G. Gaetano ↕
⚽A. Pinamonti · ast. D. Bakola
78'
Andrea Pinamonti
79'
↕ A. Pinamonti / M. Nzola
82'
83'
S. Kilicsoy / J. Pedro ↕
89'
P. Mendy / S. Esposito ↕
90'
G. Zappa / M. Adopo ↕
Pre-match prediction
50.43%
Sassuolo ←
29.45%
X
20.12%
Cagliari
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sassuolo) 50.43% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sassuolo
1.25
0.46
-0.79
Cagliari
0.79
1.63
+0.84
Cagliari dominated by xG (1.63 vs 0.46). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Inter Inter 36 85
2 Napoli Napoli 36 70
3 Juventus Juventus 36 68
4 AC Milan AC Milan 36 67
5 AS Roma AS Roma 36 67
6 Como Como 36 65
7 Atalanta Atalanta 36 58
8 Bologna Bologna 36 52
9 Lazio Lazio 36 51
10 Udinese Udinese 36 50
11 Sassuolo Sassuolo 36 49
12 Torino Torino 36 44
13 Parma Parma 36 42
14 Genoa Genoa 36 41
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 36 38
16 Cagliari Cagliari 36 37
17 Lecce Lecce 36 32
18 Cremonese Cremonese 36 31
19 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 36 20
20 Pisa Pisa 36 18
Lineups
Sassuolo Sassuolo 4-2-3-1
49
G 6.30
23
U. Garcia 1 ⚽ D 7.20
21
J. Idzes D 6.30
19
F. Romagna 58' D 6.90
6
S. Walukiewicz D 6.50
42 K. Thorstvedt K. Thorstvedt M 7.50
90
I. Kone 69' M 7.00
45 A. Laurienté A. Laurienté 69' M 6.70
7
C. Volpato 58' M 6.50
10 D. Berardi D. Berardi M 6.30
99 A. Pinamonti A. Pinamonti 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.50
Bench
20
A. Fadera F
3
J. Doig D
35
L. Lipani 21' M 6.70
8
M. Nzola 8' F 6.30
18
N. Matic 32' M 6.60
80
Tarik Muharemović D
Cagliari Cagliari 3-5-2
1
G 6.30
15
J. Rodriguez D 6.50
26
D 6.90
32
J. Pedro 83' D 6.50
33 A. Obert A. Obert M 6.60
14
A. Deiola M 6.20
10
G. Gaetano 75' M 7.00
8
M. Adopo 89' M 6.30
2
M. Palestra M 7.30
90
M. Folorunsho 74' F 6.90
94 S. Esposito S. Esposito 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.20
Bench
29
G. Borrelli 16' F 6.30
25
I. Sulemana 15' M 6.20
4
L. Mazzitelli M
31
P. Mendy 9' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
K. Thorstvedt
K. Thorstvedt
M · Sassuolo
7.50
1 shots · 51 pass
A. Pinamonti
A. Pinamonti
F · Sassuolo
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
M. Palestra
M · Cagliari
7.30
· 22 pass
U. Garcia
D · Sassuolo
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 49 pass
S. Esposito
S. Esposito
F · Cagliari
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 30 pass
I. Kone
M · Sassuolo
7.00
1 shots · 45 pass
Sassuolo Sassuolo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 23 16% — — —
U. Garcia D 90 7.20 1 — 1 49 38% 3 — —
J. Idzes D 90 6.30 — — — 57 54% 2 — —
F. Romagna D 58 6.90 — — — 35 34% — — —
S. Walukiewicz D 90 6.50 — — 1 31 25% — — —
K. Thorstvedt M 90 7.50 — — 1 51 43% 3 — —
I. Kone M 69 7.00 — — 1 45 41% 2 — —
A. Laurienté M 69 6.70 — — — 24 21% 1 — —
C. Volpato M 58 6.50 — — — 28 19% 1 — —
D. Berardi M 90 6.30 — — — 27 20% — — —
A. Pinamonti F 82 7.50 1 — 1 11 10% — 1 —
L. Lipani M 21 6.70 — — — 7 4% 1 — —
M. Nzola F 8 6.30 — — 1 9 9% — — —
N. Matic M 32 6.60 — — — 17 16% — — —
Cagliari Cagliari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 27 18% — — —
J. Rodriguez D 90 6.50 — — — 53 48% 3 — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 82 75% 2 — —
J. Pedro D 83 6.50 — — — 47 43% 2 — —
A. Obert M 90 6.60 — — 1 26 21% 3 — —
A. Deiola M 90 6.20 — — 3 30 24% 1 — —
G. Gaetano M 75 7.00 — — — 41 32% 2 — —
M. Adopo M 89 6.30 — — 1 36 29% — — —
M. Palestra M 90 7.30 — — — 22 18% 2 — —
M. Folorunsho F 74 6.90 — — 1 17 11% 1 — —
S. Esposito F 89 7.20 1 — 2 30 21% 1 — —
G. Borrelli F 16 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
I. Sulemana M 15 6.20 — — — 15 14% — — —
P. Mendy F 9 6.70 — — — 2 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Cagliari?
The final score was Sassuolo 2–1 Cagliari.
What did the model predict before Sassuolo vs Cagliari?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Sassuolo win, 29% to a draw, and 20% to an Cagliari win.