✓Model correct — prediction Sassuolo
U. Garcia
50'
A. Pinamonti
(ast. D. Bakola)
78'
(pen.)
30'
S. Esposito
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sassuolo a 50% win probability (draw 29%, Cagliari 20%). The final result was Sassuolo 2–1 Cagliari. In 1 previous meetings, Sassuolo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cagliari.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
3
0.46
Actual xG
1.63
2
Saves
0
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
2
13
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
28'
30'
(pen.)
S. Esposito⚽
⚽U. Garcia
50'
C. Volpato
/ N. Matic
58'
F. Romagna
/ W. Coulibaly
58'
I. Kone
/ L. Lipani
69'
A. Lauriente
/ D. Bakola
69'
74'
G. Borrelli
/
M. Folorunsho
75'
I. Sulemana
/
G. Gaetano
⚽A. Pinamonti
· ast. D. Bakola
78'
Andrea Pinamonti
79'
A. Pinamonti
/ M. Nzola
82'
83'
S. Kilicsoy
/
J. Pedro
89'
P. Mendy
/
S. Esposito
90'
G. Zappa
/
M. Adopo
Pre-match prediction
50.43%
Sassuolo ←
29.45%
X
20.12%
Cagliari
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sassuolo)
50.43%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
0.46
-0.79
0.79
1.63
+0.84
Cagliari dominated by xG (1.63 vs 0.46).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
49
G
23
Ulisses Garcia
1 ⚽
D
Ulisses Garcia
1 ⚽
D
21
Jay Idzes
D
Jay Idzes
D
19
F. Romagna
58'
D
6
S. Walukiewicz
D
42
Kristian Thorstvedt
M
Kristian Thorstvedt
M
90
I. Koné
69'
M
I. Koné
69'
M
45
A. Laurienté
69'
M
A. Laurienté
69'
M
7
Cristian Volpato
58'
M
Cristian Volpato
58'
M
10
D. Berardi
M
D. Berardi
M
99
A. Pinamonti
1 ⚽
82'
F
A. Pinamonti
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
20
Alieu Fadera
F
Alieu Fadera
F
3
Josh Doig
D
Josh Doig
D
35
Luca Lipani
21'
M
Luca Lipani
21'
M
8
M'bala Nzola
8'
F
M'bala Nzola
8'
F
18
Nemanja Matić
32'
M
Nemanja Matić
32'
M
80
T. Muharemović
D
T. Muharemović
D
1
G
15
Juan Rodríguez
D
Juan Rodríguez
D
26
D
32
Zé Pedro
83'
D
Zé Pedro
83'
D
33
Adam Obert
M
14
Alessandro Deiola
M
Alessandro Deiola
M
10
Gianluca Gaetano
75'
M
Gianluca Gaetano
75'
M
8
Michel Adopo
89'
M
Michel Adopo
89'
M
2
Marco Palestra
M
Marco Palestra
M
90
M. Folorunsho
74'
F
M. Folorunsho
74'
F
94
S. Esposito
1 ⚽
89'
F
S. Esposito
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
29
Gennaro Borrelli
16'
F
Gennaro Borrelli
16'
F
4
Luca Mazzitelli
M
Luca Mazzitelli
M
31
Paul Mendy
9'
F
Paul Mendy
9'
F
25
Sulemana
15'
M
Sulemana
15'
M
Best on the pitch
Kristian Thorstvedt
M · Sassuolo
7.50
1 shots
· 51 pass
A. Pinamonti
F · Sassuolo
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Marco Palestra
M · Cagliari
7.30
· 22 pass
Ulisses Garcia
D · Sassuolo
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 49 pass
S. Esposito
F · Cagliari
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
Gianluca Gaetano
M · Cagliari
7.00
· 41 pass
Sassuolo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Ulisses Garcia | D | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 49 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Jay Idzes | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Romagna | D | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | — | — | — |
| S. Walukiewicz | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Kristian Thorstvedt | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Koné | M | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Laurienté | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristian Volpato | M | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Berardi | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Pinamonti | F | 82 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Luca Lipani | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M'bala Nzola | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Nemanja Matić | M | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
Cagliari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Juan Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 82 | 75% | 2 | — | — | |
| Zé Pedro | D | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Adam Obert | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Alessandro Deiola | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Gianluca Gaetano | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Michel Adopo | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Marco Palestra | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Folorunsho | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Esposito | F | 89 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Gennaro Borrelli | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Paul Mendy | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Sulemana | M | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Cagliari?
The final score was Sassuolo 2–1 Cagliari.
What did the model predict before Sassuolo vs Cagliari?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Sassuolo win, 29% to a draw, and 20% to an Cagliari win.