✓Model correct — prediction Sassuolo
U. Garcia
50'
A. Pinamonti
(ast. D. Bakola)
78'
(pen.)
30'
S. Esposito
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sassuolo a 50% win probability (draw 29%, Cagliari 20%). The final result was Sassuolo 2–1 Cagliari. In 1 previous meetings, Sassuolo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cagliari.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
3
0.46
Actual xG
1.63
2
Saves
0
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
2
13
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
28'
30'
(pen.)
S. Esposito⚽
⚽U. Garcia
50'
C. Volpato
/ N. Matic
58'
F. Romagna
/ W. Coulibaly
58'
I. Kone
/ L. Lipani
69'
A. Lauriente
/ D. Bakola
69'
74'
G. Borrelli
/
M. Folorunsho
75'
I. Sulemana
/
G. Gaetano
⚽A. Pinamonti
· ast. D. Bakola
78'
Andrea Pinamonti
79'
A. Pinamonti
/ M. Nzola
82'
83'
S. Kilicsoy
/
J. Pedro
89'
P. Mendy
/
S. Esposito
90'
G. Zappa
/
M. Adopo
Pre-match prediction
50.43%
Sassuolo ←
29.45%
X
20.12%
Cagliari
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sassuolo)
50.43%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
0.46
-0.79
0.79
1.63
+0.84
Cagliari dominated by xG (1.63 vs 0.46).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
49
G
23
U. Garcia
1 ⚽
D
U. Garcia
1 ⚽
D
21
J. Idzes
D
J. Idzes
D
19
F. Romagna
58'
D
6
S. Walukiewicz
D
S. Walukiewicz
D
42
K. Thorstvedt
M
K. Thorstvedt
M
90
I. Koné
69'
M
I. Koné
69'
M
45
A. Laurienté
69'
M
A. Laurienté
69'
M
7
C. Volpato
58'
M
C. Volpato
58'
M
10
D. Berardi
M
D. Berardi
M
99
A. Pinamonti
1 ⚽
82'
F
A. Pinamonti
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
20
A. Fadera
F
A. Fadera
F
3
J. Doig
D
J. Doig
D
35
L. Lipani
21'
M
L. Lipani
21'
M
8
M'Bala Nzola
8'
F
M'Bala Nzola
8'
F
18
N. Matić
32'
M
N. Matić
32'
M
80
T. Muharemović
D
T. Muharemović
D
1
G
15
J. Rodríguez
D
J. Rodríguez
D
26
D
32
Zé Pedro
83'
D
Zé Pedro
83'
D
33
A. Obert
M
A. Obert
M
14
A. Deiola
M
A. Deiola
M
10
G. Gaetano
75'
M
G. Gaetano
75'
M
8
M. Adopo
89'
M
M. Adopo
89'
M
2
M. Palestra
M
M. Palestra
M
90
M. Folorunsho
74'
F
M. Folorunsho
74'
F
94
S. Esposito
1 ⚽
89'
F
S. Esposito
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
29
Gennaro Borrelli
16'
F
Gennaro Borrelli
16'
F
25
I. Sulemana
15'
M
I. Sulemana
15'
M
4
L. Mazzitelli
M
L. Mazzitelli
M
31
P. Mendy
9'
F
P. Mendy
9'
F
Best on the pitch
K. Thorstvedt
M · Sassuolo
7.50
1 shots
· 51 pass
A. Pinamonti
F · Sassuolo
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
M. Palestra
M · Cagliari
7.30
· 22 pass
U. Garcia
D · Sassuolo
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 49 pass
S. Esposito
F · Cagliari
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
I. Koné
M · Sassuolo
7.00
1 shots
· 45 pass
Sassuolo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| U. Garcia | D | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 49 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Idzes | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Romagna | D | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | — | — | — |
| S. Walukiewicz | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| K. Thorstvedt | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Koné | M | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Laurienté | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Volpato | M | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Berardi | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Pinamonti | F | 82 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Lipani | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M'Bala Nzola | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| N. Matić | M | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
Cagliari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 82 | 75% | 2 | — | — | |
| Zé Pedro | D | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Obert | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Deiola | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Gaetano | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Adopo | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| M. Palestra | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Folorunsho | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Esposito | F | 89 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Gennaro Borrelli | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| I. Sulemana | M | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| P. Mendy | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Cagliari?
The final score was Sassuolo 2–1 Cagliari.
What did the model predict before Sassuolo vs Cagliari?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Sassuolo win, 29% to a draw, and 20% to an Cagliari win.