← Bundesliga
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30 April 19, 2026 17:30
SC Freiburg
#7 · 44 pts
2 – 1
Final score
1. FC Heidenheim
#17 · 26 pts
✓Model correct — prediction SC Freiburg
J. Manzambi (ast. V. Grifo) 24'
M. Eggestein (ast. V. Grifo) 83'
58' (ast. M. Honsak) B. Zivzivadze

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 59% win probability (draw 21%, 1. FC Heidenheim 19%). The final result was SC Freiburg 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim. In 1 previous meetings, SC Freiburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Heidenheim.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
2
1.62
Actual xG
1.57
1
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
4
18
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽J. Manzambi · ast. V. Grifo
24'
46'
B. Zivzivadze / J. Niehues ↕
58'
ast. M. Honsak · B. Zivzivadze⚽
↕ I. Matanovic / Y. Suzuki
68'
↕ D. Scherhant / J. Beste
68'
↕ J. Manzambi / N. Hofler
68'
N. Hofler
70'
72'
C. Conteh / A. Ibrahimovic ↕
76'
A. Beck / N. Dorsch ↕
76'
S. Schimmer / M. Honsak ↕
↕ C. Gunter / J. Makengo
78'
⚽M. Eggestein · ast. V. Grifo
83'
↕ L. Kubler / P. Lienhart
85'
Pre-match prediction
59.21%
SC ←
21.55%
X
19.24%
1.
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (SC Freiburg) 59.21% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SC
2.04
1.62
-0.42
1.
1.13
1.57
+0.44
xG dominance was balanced (1.62 – 1.57). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
1 Noah Atubolu Noah Atubolu G 6.30
30 Christian Günter Christian Günter 78' D 6.30
43 Bruno Ogbus Bruno Ogbus D 7.20
28 Matthias Ginter Matthias Ginter D 7.30
17 Lukas Kübler Lukas Kübler 85' D 6.70
44 Johan Manzambi Johan Manzambi 1 ⚽ 68' M 8.30
8 Maximilian Eggestein Maximilian Eggestein 1 ⚽ M 7.90
32 V. Grifo V. Grifo 2 👟 M 7.30
9 L. Höler L. Höler M 7.70
7 Derry Scherhant Derry Scherhant 68' M 6.50
31 I. Matanović I. Matanović 68' F 6.30
Bench
22 Cyriaque Irié Cyriaque Irié F
19 J. Beste J. Beste 24' D 6.90
33 Jordy Makengo Jordy Makengo 14' D 6.30
27 Nicolas Höfler Nicolas Höfler 24' M 6.70
3 Philipp Lienhart Philipp Lienhart 7' D
29 Philipp Treu Philipp Treu D
14 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki 24' M 6.90
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 4-1-4-1
41 Diant Ramaj Diant Ramaj G 6.60
26 Hennes Behrens Hennes Behrens D 7.30
19
D 6.90
6 Patrick Mainka Patrick Mainka D 6.20
2
M. Busch D 6.30
16 Julian Niehues Julian Niehues 45' M 6.60
17 Mathias Honsak Mathias Honsak 1 👟 76' M 6.70
30 Niklas Dorsch Niklas Dorsch 76' M 6.20
3 Jan Schöppner Jan Schöppner M 6.90
22 A. Ibrahimović A. Ibrahimović 72' M 6.50
18 Marvin Pieringer Marvin Pieringer F 6.30
Bench
21 Adrian Beck Adrian Beck 16' M 6.60
11 Budu Zivzivadze Budu Zivzivadze 1 ⚽ 47' F 7.50
9 Stefan Schimmer Stefan Schimmer 16' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi
M · SC
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 29 pass
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein
M · SC
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
L. Höler
L. Höler
M · SC
7.70
1 shots · 22 pass
Budu Zivzivadze
Budu Zivzivadze
F · 1.
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Matthias Ginter
Matthias Ginter
D · SC
7.30
1 shots · 48 pass
V. Grifo
V. Grifo
M · SC
7.30
2 👟
· 27 pass
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Noah Atubolu G 92 6.30 — — — 43 27% — — —
Christian Günter D 78 6.30 — — — 21 13% 2 — —
Bruno Ogbus D 92 7.20 — — — 38 33% 4 — —
Matthias Ginter D 92 7.30 — — 1 48 36% 3 — —
Lukas Kübler D 85 6.70 — — — 22 18% 2 — —
Johan Manzambi M 68 8.30 1 — 3 29 25% 2 — —
Maximilian Eggestein M 92 7.90 1 — 1 44 40% 1 — —
V. Grifo M 92 7.30 — 2 — 27 21% — — —
L. Höler M 92 7.70 — — 1 22 16% 2 1 —
Derry Scherhant M 68 6.50 — — 1 10 7% — — —
I. Matanović F 68 6.30 — — 2 9 5% — — —
J. Beste D 24 6.90 — — — 11 8% 1 — —
Jordy Makengo D 14 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Nicolas Höfler M 24 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
Philipp Lienhart D 7 — — — — 1 — — — —
Y. Suzuki M 24 6.90 — — 1 9 7% 1 — —
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Diant Ramaj G 92 6.60 — — — 62 43% — — —
Hennes Behrens D 92 7.30 — — — 34 27% 3 — —
D 92 6.90 — — — 48 44% 2 — —
Patrick Mainka D 92 6.20 — — — 40 34% — — —
M. Busch D 92 6.30 — — — 34 27% 1 — —
Julian Niehues M 45 6.60 — — — 17 15% — — —
Mathias Honsak M 76 6.70 — 1 2 15 12% — — —
Niklas Dorsch M 76 6.20 — — 1 30 29% — — —
Jan Schöppner M 92 6.90 — — — 28 24% 1 — —
A. Ibrahimović M 72 6.50 — — 1 22 16% — — —
Marvin Pieringer F 92 6.30 — — 1 22 16% 1 — —
Adrian Beck M 16 6.60 — — — 7 7% — — —
Budu Zivzivadze F 47 7.50 1 — 1 14 10% — — —
Stefan Schimmer F 16 6.70 — — 2 4 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The final score was SC Freiburg 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim.
What did the model predict before SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The model assigned 59% probability to a SC Freiburg win, 21% to a draw, and 19% to an 1. FC Heidenheim win.